Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Michigan Wolverines v UTEP Miners

2026-09-19 19:30 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

96%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Michigan Wolverines (Local)

Prediction 95.88%1.04fair odd

EV -3.17%

Edge -3.13%

Kelly -316.58%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

93.38%95.88%95.88%97.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.001.001.001.01100.00%99.75%100.00%99.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UTEP Miners (Visit)

Prediction 4.12%24.24fair odd

EV +40.24%

Edge +1.18%

Kelly +1.22%

Growth +0.491%

assuming max odds 34.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

2.86%4.12%4.12%6.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

14.2523.8123.5034.007.02%4.20%4.26%2.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Michigan Wolverines (Local): 95.88%; UTEP Miners (Visit): 4.12%. For UTEP Miners (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 24.24. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 34.00, producing a positive expected value of +40.24%.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
betfred_uk🎯	1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -4.12%E -4.12%K +0.000%G +0.000%	34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV +40.24%E +1.18%K +1.22%G +0.491%	2.9%	2026-09-13 11:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.00I 100.00%NM 96.30%EV -4.12%E -4.12%K +0.000%G +0.000%	26.00I 3.85%NM 3.70%EV +7.24%E +0.278%K +0.290%G +0.021%	3.8%	2026-09-13 11:25
Coolbet🎯	1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -4.12%E -4.12%K +0.000%G +0.000%	21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV -13.38%E -0.637%K -0.669%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-09-13 11:25
Betr (AU)🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 93.38%EV -3.17%E -3.13%K -316.58%G +0.000%	14.25I 7.02%NM 6.62%EV -41.22%E -2.89%K -3.11%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-09-13 11:25

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Kalshi◎	1.01I 99.01%NM 98.02%	50.00I 2.00%NM 1.98%	1.0%	2026-09-13 11:20