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Michigan Wolverines v Iowa Hawkeyes
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Michigan Wolverines (Local)
Prediction 64.15%1.56fair odd
EV -1.86%
Edge -1.21%
Kelly -3.50%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.53
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.25%64.10%64.15%65.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.481.481.5369.93%67.68%67.57%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Iowa Hawkeyes (Visit)
Prediction 35.85%2.79fair odd
EV -0.327%
Edge -0.117%
Kelly -0.183%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.78
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.28%35.90%35.85%37.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.492.652.692.7840.16%37.66%37.24%35.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Michigan Wolverines (Local): 64.15%; Iowa Hawkeyes (Visit): 35.85%. For Iowa Hawkeyes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.79. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.78, with an expected value of -0.327%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -1.86%E -1.21%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -5.70%E -2.17%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-26 19:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.72%EV -2.50%E -1.64%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.28%EV -4.27%E -1.60%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-26 19:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -2.50%E -1.64%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -8.57%E -3.36%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-26 19:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.14%E -2.08%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -4.99%E -1.88%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-26 19:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -3.14%E -2.08%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -6.06%E -2.31%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-26 19:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.25%EV -3.14%E -2.08%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.75%EV -10.72%E -4.31%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-26 19:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -3.78%E -2.52%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -1.76%E -0.643%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-26 19:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -3.78%E -2.52%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -1.76%E -0.643%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-26 19:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.78%E -2.52%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.99%E -1.88%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-26 17:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.78%E -2.52%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.78%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-26 19:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.78%E -2.52%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.78%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-26 19:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.78%E -2.52%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.78%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-26 19:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.78%E -2.52%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.57%E -3.36%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-26 19:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.78%E -2.52%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.37%E -4.15%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-26 19:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.42%E -2.97%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.19%E -1.18%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-26 19:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.39%EV -4.42%E -2.97%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.61%EV -7.50%E -2.91%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-26 19:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.06%E -3.42%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.40%E -0.510%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-26 19:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.06%E -3.42%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.40%E -0.510%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-26 19:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.06%E -3.42%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.19%E -1.18%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-26 19:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.06%E -3.42%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.99%E -1.88%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-26 19:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.06%E -3.42%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.99%E -1.88%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-26 19:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.06%E -3.42%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.78%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-26 19:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.06%E -3.42%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.78%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-26 19:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.70%E -3.88%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.19%E -1.18%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-26 16:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.70%E -3.88%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.19%E -1.18%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-26 16:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.70%E -3.88%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.19%E -1.18%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-26 16:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.70%E -3.88%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.19%E -1.18%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-26 16:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.70%E -3.88%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.19%E -1.18%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-26 16:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.70%E -3.88%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.19%E -1.18%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-26 16:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.70%E -3.88%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.19%E -1.18%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-26 16:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -5.70%E -3.88%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -8.57%E -3.36%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-26 19:27 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -6.35%E -4.35%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -3.19%E -1.18%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-26 16:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -6.99%E -4.82%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -0.327%E -0.117%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-26 13:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.99%E -4.82%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -1.40%E -0.510%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-26 13:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.99%E -4.82%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -1.40%E -0.510%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-26 19:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.99%E -4.82%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.19%E -1.18%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-26 19:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.99%E -4.82%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.19%E -1.18%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-26 19:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.99%E -4.82%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.19%E -1.18%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-26 16:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -6.99%E -4.82%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -8.57%E -3.36%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-26 19:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -6.99%E -4.82%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -8.57%E -3.36%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-26 19:33 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.38%EV -7.63%E -5.30%K -17.34%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.62%EV -2.48%E -0.911%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-26 19:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.63%E -5.30%K -17.34%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.78%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-26 19:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.63%E -5.30%K -17.34%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.78%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-26 19:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -8.27%E -5.78%K -19.23%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -3.19%E -1.18%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-26 19:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01% | 0.6% | 2026-09-26 19:29 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.1% | 2026-09-26 19:35 |
| Novig◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.12% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.88% | 1.6% | 2026-09-26 19:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.00% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.00% | 2.1% | 2026-09-26 19:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.81% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.19% | 3.1% | 2026-09-26 19:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.81% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.19% | 3.1% | 2026-09-26 19:35 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03% | 3.1% | 2026-09-26 19:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.11% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.89% | 4.0% | 2026-09-26 19:35 |