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Michigan Wolverines v Indiana Hoosiers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Michigan Wolverines (Local)
Prediction 28.23%3.54fair odd
EV +4.45%
Edge +1.20%
Kelly +1.65%
Growth +0.073%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.85%28.17%28.27%30.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.383.363.7032.26%29.60%29.76%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Indiana Hoosiers (Visit)
Prediction 71.77%1.39fair odd
EV -3.11%
Edge -2.30%
Kelly -8.88%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.98%71.83%71.73%74.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.321.321.3580.00%75.96%75.76%74.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Michigan Wolverines (Local): 28.23%; Indiana Hoosiers (Visit): 71.77%. For Michigan Wolverines (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.54. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.45%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV +4.45%E +1.20%K +1.65%G +0.073% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -7.42%E -5.75%K -25.57%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-24 16:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +1.62%E +0.451%K +0.624%G +0.010% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.98%E -4.56%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-23 21:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +1.62%E +0.451%K +0.624%G +0.010% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -6.70%E -5.15%K -22.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-24 15:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +1.62%E +0.451%K +0.624%G +0.010% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -6.70%E -5.15%K -22.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-24 15:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +1.62%E +0.451%K +0.624%G +0.010% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -6.70%E -5.15%K -22.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-24 15:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +1.62%E +0.451%K +0.624%G +0.010% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -6.70%E -5.15%K -22.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-24 15:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +1.62%E +0.451%K +0.624%G +0.010% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -7.42%E -5.75%K -25.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-24 15:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +1.62%E +0.451%K +0.624%G +0.010% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -7.42%E -5.75%K -25.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-24 15:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +1.62%E +0.451%K +0.624%G +0.010% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -7.42%E -5.75%K -25.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-24 15:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV +1.62%E +0.451%K +0.624%G +0.010% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -8.13%E -6.35%K -29.05%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-24 15:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV +1.62%E +0.451%K +0.624%G +0.010% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -8.13%E -6.35%K -29.05%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-24 15:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV +0.212%E +0.060%K +0.083%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -5.98%E -4.56%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-24 16:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.52%EV -0.352%E -0.100%K -0.139%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.48%EV -3.83%E -2.86%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-10-24 16:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -1.20%E -0.343%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.54%E -3.42%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-24 16:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -1.20%E -0.343%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -5.26%E -3.99%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-24 16:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.59%EV -1.48%E -0.425%K -0.595%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.41%EV -4.54%E -3.42%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-24 15:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.59%EV -1.48%E -0.425%K -0.595%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.41%EV -4.54%E -3.42%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-24 16:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -4.02%E -1.18%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.83%E -2.86%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-23 22:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -4.02%E -1.18%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.83%E -2.86%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-24 15:44 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -4.02%E -1.18%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.83%E -2.86%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-24 07:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.02%E -1.18%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.54%E -3.42%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-24 15:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.02%E -1.18%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.26%E -3.99%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-24 15:48 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.02%E -1.18%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.26%E -3.99%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-24 15:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -4.87%E -1.44%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -3.83%E -2.86%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-24 16:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.43%E -1.62%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.26%E -3.99%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-24 16:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -5.43%E -1.62%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.98%E -4.56%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-24 15:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -5.43%E -1.62%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -7.42%E -5.75%K -25.57%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-24 16:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -6.28%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -6.70%E -5.15%K -22.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-24 16:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.85%E -2.07%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.26%E -3.99%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-24 15:44 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.85%E -2.07%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.26%E -3.99%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-24 16:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.85%E -2.07%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.98%E -4.56%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-24 15:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -6.85%E -2.07%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.53%EV -10.29%E -8.23%K -41.14%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-24 16:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -8.26%E -2.54%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.11%E -2.30%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-24 15:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.26%E -2.54%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.54%E -3.42%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-24 16:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.26%E -2.54%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.54%E -3.42%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-24 16:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.26%E -2.54%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.54%E -3.42%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-24 16:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.26%E -2.54%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.54%E -3.42%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-22 16:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.26%E -2.54%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.54%E -3.42%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-23 09:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -9.67%E -3.02%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.11%E -2.30%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-24 16:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -9.67%E -3.02%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.70%E -5.15%K -22.32%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-24 15:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -9.67%E -3.02%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.70%E -5.15%K -22.32%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-24 15:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -9.67%E -3.02%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.70%E -5.15%K -22.32%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-24 16:10 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -11.08%E -3.52%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -3.11%E -2.30%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-24 15:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -11.08%E -3.52%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -3.11%E -2.30%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-24 16:01 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -11.08%E -3.52%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -3.11%E -2.30%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-24 16:04 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -12.49%E -4.03%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.54%E -3.42%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-24 15:57 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -12.49%E -4.03%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.54%E -3.42%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-24 15:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -12.49%E -4.03%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.62%EV -7.42%E -5.75%K -25.57%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-24 16:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 0.6% | 2026-10-24 16:09 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.85% | 0.9% | 2026-10-24 15:20 |
| Polymarket◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 1.1% | 2026-10-24 16:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15% | 1.2% | 2026-10-24 16:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.02% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.98% | 1.4% | 2026-10-24 15:59 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.56% | 2.1% | 2026-10-24 16:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.16% | 2.6% | 2026-10-24 16:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.16% | 2.6% | 2026-10-24 16:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.16% | 2.6% | 2026-10-24 16:10 |