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Michigan State Spartans v Nebraska Cornhuskers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Michigan State Spartans (Local)
Prediction 33.52%2.98fair odd
EV +0.221%
Edge +0.074%
Kelly +0.111%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.99
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.18%33.73%33.41%35.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.812.802.9938.46%35.61%35.71%33.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Nebraska Cornhuskers (Visit)
Prediction 66.48%1.50fair odd
EV -1.61%
Edge -1.09%
Kelly -3.35%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.48
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.20%66.27%66.59%67.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.431.441.4871.43%69.78%69.44%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Michigan State Spartans (Local): 33.52%; Nebraska Cornhuskers (Visit): 66.48%. For Michigan State Spartans (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.98. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.99, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.221%.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.35%EV +0.221%E +0.074%K +0.111%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.65%EV -4.93%E -3.45%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-26 20:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -1.12%E -0.380%K -0.574%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.93%E -3.45%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-26 19:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -1.12%E -0.380%K -0.574%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.93%E -3.45%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-26 19:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -1.12%E -0.380%K -0.574%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-26 19:14 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.41%EV -1.46%E -0.495%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.59%EV -6.26%E -4.44%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-26 19:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.80%E -0.964%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.93%E -3.45%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-26 19:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.80%E -0.964%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.60%E -3.94%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-25 16:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.80%E -0.964%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-26 19:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.80%E -0.964%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-24 16:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -3.13%E -1.08%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -4.27%E -2.96%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-25 11:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -3.13%E -1.08%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -4.27%E -2.96%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-25 11:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -3.47%E -1.20%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -4.93%E -3.45%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-25 16:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -4.47%E -1.57%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.60%E -2.48%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-26 14:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.47%E -1.57%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.27%E -2.96%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-25 00:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.47%E -1.57%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.27%E -2.96%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-25 00:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.47%E -1.57%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.93%E -3.45%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-25 16:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.47%E -1.57%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.93%E -3.45%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-26 18:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.47%E -1.57%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.93%E -3.45%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-26 20:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -4.81%E -1.69%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -4.27%E -2.96%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-26 05:07 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.15%E -2.20%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.27%E -2.96%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-26 19:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.15%E -2.20%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.27%E -2.96%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-26 19:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.15%E -2.20%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.93%E -3.45%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-26 19:34 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.15%E -2.20%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.93%E -3.45%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-26 20:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.15%E -2.20%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.60%E -3.94%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-26 18:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.79I 35.84%NM 33.41%EV -6.48%E -2.32%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.59%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-26 14:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.82%E -2.84%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.60%E -2.48%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-21 19:39 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.82%E -2.84%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.60%E -2.48%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-26 19:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.82%E -2.84%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.27%E -2.96%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-26 20:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.82%E -2.84%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.27%E -2.96%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-26 20:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.82%E -2.84%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.27%E -2.96%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-26 20:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.82%E -2.84%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.27%E -2.96%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-26 20:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.82%E -2.84%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.27%E -2.96%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-26 20:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.82%E -2.84%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.27%E -2.96%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-26 20:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.82%E -2.84%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.27%E -2.96%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-26 20:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.82%E -2.84%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.27%E -2.96%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-26 20:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.82%E -2.84%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -4.93%E -3.45%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-26 20:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.82%E -2.84%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-26 19:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.82%E -2.84%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-26 19:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -9.50%E -3.52%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -1.61%E -1.09%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-26 16:24 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -9.50%E -3.52%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.60%E -2.48%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-22 05:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.61%EV -11.51%E -4.36%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.39%EV -2.94%E -2.01%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-26 19:49 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -12.85%E -4.94%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -3.60%E -2.48%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-26 20:48 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -12.85%E -4.94%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -3.60%E -2.48%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-26 20:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33% | 0.4% | 2026-09-26 20:45 |
| Novig◎ | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33% | 1.0% | 2026-09-26 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.22% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.78% | 1.8% | 2026-09-26 20:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.22% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.78% | 1.8% | 2026-09-26 20:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.22% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.78% | 1.8% | 2026-09-26 20:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.22% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.78% | 1.8% | 2026-09-26 20:45 |