Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Michigan State Spartans v Eastern Michigan Eagles

2026-09-12 19:30 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

86%

14%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Michigan State Spartans (Local)

Prediction 85.91%1.16fair odd

EV -4.64%

Edge -4.18%

Kelly -42.22%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.11

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

84.51%85.91%85.91%86.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.101.101.101.1190.91%90.70%90.91%90.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Eastern Michigan Eagles (Visit)

Prediction 14.09%7.10fair odd

EV +0.063%

Edge +0.009%

Kelly +0.010%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 7.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

13.50%14.09%14.09%15.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

6.006.646.727.1016.67%15.07%14.87%14.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Michigan State Spartans (Local): 85.91%; Eastern Michigan Eagles (Visit): 14.09%. For Eastern Michigan Eagles (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.096. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 7.100, producing a positive expected value of +0.063%.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
FanDuel🎯	1.11I 90.09%NM 86.48%EV -4.64%E -4.18%K -42.22%G +0.000%	7.10I 14.08%NM 13.52%EV +0.063%E +0.009%K +0.010%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-09-04 07:15
Fliff🎯	1.10I 90.91%NM 86.50%EV -5.50%E -5.00%K -55.03%G +0.000%	7.05I 14.18%NM 13.50%EV -0.642%E -0.091%K -0.106%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-04 08:15
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%EV -5.50%E -5.00%K -55.03%G +0.000%	6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -9.80%E -1.53%K -1.82%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-09-04 08:10
SportsBet🎯	1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.50%E -5.00%K -55.03%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -15.44%E -2.57%K -3.09%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-09-04 07:14

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.