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Michigan State Spartans v Eastern Michigan Eagles
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Michigan State Spartans (Local)
Prediction 87.00%1.15fair odd
EV -2.56%
Edge -2.28%
Kelly -21.31%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.12
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
84.27%86.90%87.11%87.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.081.101.101.1292.59%90.99%90.91%89.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Eastern Michigan Eagles (Visit)
Prediction 13.00%7.69fair odd
EV -2.26%
Edge -0.300%
Kelly -0.346%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 7.52
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.59%13.10%12.89%15.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.007.167.257.5216.67%13.97%13.79%13.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Michigan State Spartans (Local): 87.00%; Eastern Michigan Eagles (Visit): 13.00%. For Eastern Michigan Eagles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.69. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 7.52, with an expected value of -2.26%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -2.56%E -2.28%K -21.31%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -18.76%E -3.00%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -2.56%E -2.28%K -21.31%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -22.01%E -3.67%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-12 18:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -3.43%E -3.09%K -31.16%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV -2.52%E -0.336%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-09 06:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -3.43%E -3.09%K -31.16%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV -2.52%E -0.336%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-09 09:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.72%EV -3.43%E -3.09%K -31.16%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.28%EV -5.77%E -0.795%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-12 18:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.72%EV -3.43%E -3.09%K -31.16%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.28%EV -5.77%E -0.795%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.72%EV -3.43%E -3.09%K -31.16%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.28%EV -5.77%E -0.795%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-12 14:18 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.71%EV -3.43%E -3.09%K -31.16%G +0.000% | 7.24I 13.81%NM 13.29%EV -5.90%E -0.814%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.71%EV -3.43%E -3.09%K -31.16%G +0.000% | 7.24I 13.81%NM 13.29%EV -5.90%E -0.814%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.56%EV -3.43%E -3.09%K -31.16%G +0.000% | 7.15I 13.99%NM 13.44%EV -7.07%E -0.988%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.43%E -3.09%K -31.16%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -9.02%E -1.29%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-12 18:40 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.43%E -3.09%K -31.16%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -15.52%E -2.39%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-12 18:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.24%EV -4.30%E -3.91%K -42.97%G +0.000% | 7.52I 13.30%NM 12.76%EV -2.26%E -0.300%K -0.346%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-12 18:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.30%E -3.91%K -42.97%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -2.52%E -0.336%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-12 14:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.30%E -3.91%K -42.97%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -2.52%E -0.336%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-12 19:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.30%E -3.91%K -42.97%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -2.52%E -0.336%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-09 03:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.30%E -3.91%K -42.97%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -2.52%E -0.336%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-07 14:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.06%EV -4.30%E -3.91%K -42.97%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.94%EV -3.82%E -0.516%K -0.596%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -4.30%E -3.91%K -42.97%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV -5.77%E -0.795%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 00:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -4.30%E -3.91%K -42.97%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV -5.77%E -0.795%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-12 14:19 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.75%EV -4.30%E -3.91%K -42.97%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.25%EV -6.42%E -0.891%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-12 14:53 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.67%EV -4.30%E -3.91%K -42.97%G +0.000% | 7.15I 13.99%NM 13.33%EV -7.07%E -0.988%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-12 19:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.59%EV -4.30%E -3.91%K -42.97%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.41%EV -7.72%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.30%E -3.91%K -42.97%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.02%E -1.29%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.30%E -3.91%K -42.97%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.02%E -1.29%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-12 14:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.08%EV -4.30%E -3.91%K -42.97%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.92%EV -11.62%E -1.71%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-12 16:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.08%EV -4.30%E -3.91%K -42.97%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.92%EV -11.62%E -1.71%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-12 16:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.79%EV -4.30%E -3.91%K -42.97%G +0.000% | 6.64I 15.06%NM 14.21%EV -13.70%E -2.06%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-12 19:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.79%EV -4.30%E -3.91%K -42.97%G +0.000% | 6.64I 15.06%NM 14.21%EV -13.70%E -2.06%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-12 19:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -4.30%E -3.91%K -42.97%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -22.01%E -3.67%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.17%E -4.74%K -57.42%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -2.52%E -0.336%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-09 15:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.17%E -4.74%K -57.42%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -2.52%E -0.336%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-09 15:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.17%E -4.74%K -57.42%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -2.52%E -0.336%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-09 15:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.17%E -4.74%K -57.42%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -2.52%E -0.336%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-09 15:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.17%E -4.74%K -57.42%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -9.02%E -1.29%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-12 19:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.36%EV -5.17%E -4.74%K -57.42%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.64%EV -10.32%E -1.50%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-12 14:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.47%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -2.52%E -0.336%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-09 15:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.47%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -2.52%E -0.336%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-09 15:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.47%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -2.52%E -0.336%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-09 15:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.47%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -2.52%E -0.336%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-09 15:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.47%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -2.52%E -0.336%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-09 15:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.26%EV -6.04%E -5.59%K -75.47%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.74%EV -3.82%E -0.516%K -0.596%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-12 14:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 88.14% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86% | 0.4% | 2026-09-12 15:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.89% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11% | 0.7% | 2026-09-12 18:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.89% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11% | 0.7% | 2026-09-12 19:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.89% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11% | 0.7% | 2026-09-12 19:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.89% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11% | 0.7% | 2026-09-12 19:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.15% | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.85% | 1.3% | 2026-09-12 19:25 |