The School of College Oddsodds.college
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Miami (OH) RedHawks v Holy Cross Crusaders

Kickoff: 2026-09-12 17:05 UTC

Final: Miami (OH) RedHawks 45–7 Holy Cross Crusaders

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Miami (OH) RedHawks (Local)

Prediction 95.99%1.04fair odd
EV -2.09%
Edge -2.05%
Kelly -104.67%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
93.27%95.80%96.26%96.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.011.011.011.0299.01%98.86%99.01%98.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Holy Cross Crusaders (Visit)

Prediction 4.01%24.92fair odd
EV +16.38%
Edge +0.565%
Kelly +0.585%
Growth +0.096%

assuming max odds 29.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
3.37%4.20%3.74%6.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
14.0022.4021.0029.007.14%4.46%4.76%3.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Miami (OH) RedHawks (Local): 95.99%; Holy Cross Crusaders (Visit): 4.01%. For Holy Cross Crusaders (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 24.92. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 29.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +16.38%.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Fanatics🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 96.63%EV -3.05%E -3.02%K -305.32%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.37%EV +16.38%E +0.565%K +0.585%G +0.096%2.5%2026-09-12 15:25
Neds🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 96.63%EV -3.05%E -3.02%K -305.32%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.37%EV +16.38%E +0.565%K +0.585%G +0.096%2.5%2026-09-12 16:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 96.63%EV -3.05%E -3.02%K -305.32%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.37%EV +16.38%E +0.565%K +0.585%G +0.096%2.5%2026-09-12 16:50
BetMGM🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 96.63%EV -3.05%E -3.02%K -305.32%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.37%EV +16.38%E +0.565%K +0.585%G +0.096%2.5%2026-09-12 16:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -3.05%E -3.02%K -305.32%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +4.34%E +0.167%K +0.174%G +0.008%2.9%2026-09-12 16:50
theScore Bet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -3.05%E -3.02%K -305.32%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +4.34%E +0.167%K +0.174%G +0.008%2.9%2026-09-12 14:25
DraftKings🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%EV -2.09%E -2.05%K -104.67%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%EV -15.73%E -0.749%K -0.786%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-12 14:20
GTbets🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%EV -2.09%E -2.05%K -104.67%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%EV -15.73%E -0.749%K -0.786%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-12 14:20
FanDuel🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -3.05%E -3.02%K -305.32%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV -15.73%E -0.749%K -0.786%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-12 16:45
Betsson🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -3.05%E -3.02%K -305.32%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -35.79%E -2.24%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 16:55
NordicBet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -3.05%E -3.02%K -305.32%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -35.79%E -2.24%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 17:01
Betr (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.38%EV -3.05%E -3.02%K -305.32%G +0.000%14.25I 7.02%NM 6.62%EV -42.81%E -3.00%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-07 06:55
SportsBet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -3.05%E -3.02%K -305.32%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -43.82%E -3.13%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 16:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.02I 98.04%NM 98.00%50.00I 2.00%NM 2.00%0.0%2026-09-12 16:40
Novig◎1.02I 98.04%NM 97.22%35.71I 2.80%NM 2.78%0.8%2026-09-12 16:48
ProphetX◎1.01I 99.01%NM 97.03%33.00I 3.03%NM 2.97%2.0%2026-09-12 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 95.96%24.00I 4.17%NM 4.04%3.2%2026-09-12 15:41
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 95.96%24.00I 4.17%NM 4.04%3.2%2026-09-12 15:41
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 95.96%24.00I 4.17%NM 4.04%3.2%2026-09-12 15:45