Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Miami (OH) RedHawks v Bowling Green Falcons

2026-10-03 19:30 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

86%

14%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Miami (OH) RedHawks (Local)

Prediction 85.86%1.16fair odd

EV -3.84%

Edge -3.43%

Kelly -32.02%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

83.94%85.77%85.77%86.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.101.111.121.1290.91%89.94%89.29%89.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Bowling Green Falcons (Visit)

Prediction 14.14%7.07fair odd

EV -0.989%

Edge -0.141%

Kelly -0.165%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 7.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

13.58%14.23%14.23%16.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

5.756.426.507.0017.39%15.58%15.38%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Miami (OH) RedHawks (Local): 85.86%; Bowling Green Falcons (Visit): 14.14%. For Bowling Green Falcons (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.07. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 7.00, with an expected value of -0.989%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
BetMGM🎯	1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -3.84%E -3.43%K -32.02%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV -0.989%E -0.141%K -0.165%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-09-27 19:40
DraftKings🎯	1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -3.84%E -3.43%K -32.02%G +0.000%	6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -4.52%E -0.670%K -0.787%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-09-27 17:20
Fanatics🎯	1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -3.84%E -3.43%K -32.02%G +0.000%	6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -4.52%E -0.670%K -0.787%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-09-27 19:35
FanDuel🎯	1.12I 89.29%NM 85.68%EV -3.84%E -3.43%K -32.02%G +0.000%	6.70I 14.93%NM 14.32%EV -5.23%E -0.781%K -0.918%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-09-27 19:20
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.84%E -3.43%K -32.02%G +0.000%	6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -8.06%E -1.24%K -1.47%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-27 19:49
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.84%E -3.43%K -32.02%G +0.000%	6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -11.60%E -1.86%K -2.21%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-27 19:14
SportsBet🎯	1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.70%E -4.23%K -42.73%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -15.13%E -2.52%K -3.03%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-09-27 19:20
theScore Bet🎯	1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.56%E -5.05%K -55.59%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -0.989%E -0.141%K -0.165%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-09-27 19:19
ReBet🎯	1.10I 90.91%NM 84.72%EV -5.56%E -5.05%K -55.59%G +0.000%	6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV -13.72%E -2.25%K -2.69%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-09-27 19:50
LeoVegas🎯	1.10I 90.91%NM 84.06%EV -5.56%E -5.05%K -55.59%G +0.000%	5.80I 17.24%NM 15.94%EV -17.96%E -3.10%K -3.74%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-09-27 19:45
betano_uk🎯	1.10I 90.91%NM 83.94%EV -5.56%E -5.05%K -55.59%G +0.000%	5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -18.67%E -3.25%K -3.93%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-09-27 19:13

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Kalshi◎	1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09%	7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91%	0.7%	2026-09-27 19:25
Novig◎	1.10I 90.91%NM 85.84%	6.67I 14.99%NM 14.16%	5.9%	2026-09-27 19:25
ProphetX◎	1.08I 92.59%NM 83.95%	5.65I 17.70%NM 16.05%	10.3%	2026-09-27 19:40