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Miami (OH) RedHawks v Bowling Green Falcons
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Miami (OH) RedHawks (Local)
Prediction 78.91%1.27fair odd
EV +0.219%
Edge +0.172%
Kelly +0.811%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 1.27
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.03%78.63%78.95%80.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.171.201.201.2785.47%83.11%83.33%78.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Bowling Green Falcons (Visit)
Prediction 21.09%4.74fair odd
EV +1.64%
Edge +0.341%
Kelly +0.430%
Growth +0.007%
assuming max odds 4.82
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.73%21.37%21.05%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.624.524.604.8227.62%22.11%21.74%20.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Miami (OH) RedHawks (Local): 78.91%; Bowling Green Falcons (Visit): 21.09%. For Bowling Green Falcons (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.74. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.82, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.64%.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.07%EV -5.31%E -4.42%K -26.53%G +0.000% | 4.82I 20.75%NM 19.93%EV +1.64%E +0.341%K +0.430%G +0.007% | 4.1% | 2026-10-03 19:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -6.09%E -5.12%K -32.07%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV +1.22%E +0.254%K +0.321%G +0.004% | 4.9% | 2026-10-03 19:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -6.09%E -5.12%K -32.07%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV +1.22%E +0.254%K +0.321%G +0.004% | 4.9% | 2026-10-03 19:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -6.09%E -5.12%K -32.07%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV +1.22%E +0.254%K +0.321%G +0.004% | 4.9% | 2026-10-03 19:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -6.09%E -5.12%K -32.07%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV +1.22%E +0.254%K +0.321%G +0.004% | 4.9% | 2026-10-03 19:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.88%E -5.83%K -38.24%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +1.22%E +0.254%K +0.321%G +0.004% | 5.6% | 2026-10-03 16:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.88%E -5.83%K -38.24%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +1.22%E +0.254%K +0.321%G +0.004% | 5.6% | 2026-10-03 16:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.88%E -5.83%K -38.24%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +1.22%E +0.254%K +0.321%G +0.004% | 5.6% | 2026-10-03 16:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.88%E -5.83%K -38.24%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +1.22%E +0.254%K +0.321%G +0.004% | 5.6% | 2026-10-03 16:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.88%E -5.83%K -38.24%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +1.22%E +0.254%K +0.321%G +0.004% | 5.6% | 2026-10-03 16:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -6.09%E -5.12%K -32.07%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV +0.166%E +0.035%K +0.044%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 16:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -6.09%E -5.12%K -32.07%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV +0.166%E +0.035%K +0.044%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 19:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -5.31%E -4.42%K -26.53%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -0.889%E -0.189%K -0.240%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-03 19:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.35%EV -4.52%E -3.73%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.65%EV -1.94%E -0.418%K -0.532%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-03 14:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -6.09%E -5.12%K -32.07%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -1.94%E -0.418%K -0.532%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-03 19:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.76%EV -6.88%E -5.83%K -38.24%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.24%EV -1.94%E -0.418%K -0.532%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-03 16:31 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -3.73%E -3.05%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -3.00%E -0.652%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-03 18:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.52%E -3.73%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -3.00%E -0.652%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-03 14:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.52%E -3.73%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -3.00%E -0.652%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-03 16:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.52%E -3.73%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -3.00%E -0.652%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-03 16:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.31%E -4.42%K -26.53%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.00%E -0.652%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 16:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.86%EV -3.73%E -3.05%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.14%EV -4.05%E -0.891%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-03 16:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.73%E -3.05%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -5.11%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-03 18:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.73%E -3.05%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -5.11%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-03 14:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.73%E -3.05%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -5.11%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-03 14:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.73%E -3.05%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -5.11%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-03 14:38 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.31%E -4.42%K -26.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.11%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-03 19:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.73%E -3.05%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -7.21%E -1.64%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 16:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -6.09%E -5.12%K -32.07%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -7.21%E -1.64%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-03 19:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -7.67%E -6.56%K -45.13%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -7.21%E -1.64%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-03 16:47 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -3.73%E -3.05%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -9.32%E -2.17%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 14:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -4.52%E -3.73%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -9.32%E -2.17%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-03 19:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.73%E -3.05%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -10.38%E -2.44%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-03 18:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.73%E -3.05%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -10.38%E -2.44%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-03 18:55 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.73%E -3.05%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -10.38%E -2.44%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-03 15:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -5.31%E -4.42%K -26.53%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -10.38%E -2.44%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-03 16:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -2.15%E -1.73%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -11.43%E -2.72%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-03 16:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.73%E -3.05%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -11.43%E -2.72%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-03 14:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -6.88%E -5.83%K -38.24%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -11.43%E -2.72%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-03 15:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -6.88%E -5.83%K -38.24%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -11.43%E -2.72%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-03 15:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.03%EV +0.219%E +0.172%K +0.811%G +0.002% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.97%EV -23.66%E -6.54%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-03 19:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.61% | 4.88I 20.49%NM 20.39% | 0.5% | 2026-10-03 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 0.6% | 2026-10-03 19:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 0.6% | 2026-10-03 19:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.20% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80% | 1.0% | 2026-10-03 19:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90% | 5.0% | 2026-10-03 19:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53% | 8.0% | 2026-10-03 19:30 |