Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Miami Hurricanes v Florida State Seminoles

2026-10-17 16:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

87%

13%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Miami Hurricanes (Local)

Prediction 87.06%1.15fair odd

EV -5.11%

Edge -4.69%

Kelly -56.74%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.09

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

85.75%87.06%87.41%88.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.081.081.081.0992.59%92.31%92.59%91.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Florida State Seminoles (Visit)

Prediction 12.94%7.73fair odd

EV +3.54%

Edge +0.442%

Kelly +0.505%

Growth +0.018%

assuming max odds 8.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

11.99%12.94%12.59%14.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

6.507.337.508.0015.38%13.64%13.33%12.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Miami Hurricanes (Local): 87.06%; Florida State Seminoles (Visit): 12.94%. For Florida State Seminoles (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.73. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 8.00, producing a positive expected value of +3.54%.

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
DraftKings🎯	1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -5.11%E -4.69%K -56.74%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +3.54%E +0.442%K +0.505%G +0.018%	4.2%	2026-08-11 15:59
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.98%E -5.53%K -74.72%G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -2.93%E -0.391%K -0.451%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-11 16:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -5.98%E -5.53%K -74.72%G +0.000%	6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -15.88%E -2.44%K -2.89%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-08-11 16:12

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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