Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Memphis Tigers v UAB Blazers

2026-10-10 23:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Memphis Tigers (Local)

Prediction 85.29%1.17fair odd
EV -3.63%
Edge -3.21%
Kelly -27.89%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.13

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
82.28%85.17%85.25%86.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.091.111.121.1391.74%89.80%89.29%88.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UAB Blazers (Visit)

Prediction 14.71%6.80fair odd
EV +2.99%
Edge +0.428%
Kelly +0.499%
Growth +0.015%

assuming max odds 7.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.47%14.83%14.75%17.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.206.376.457.0019.23%15.70%15.50%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Memphis Tigers (Local): 85.29%; UAB Blazers (Visit): 14.71%. For UAB Blazers (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.80. 10 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 7.00, producing a positive expected value of +2.99%.

Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -5.33%E -4.80%K -48.47%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +2.99%E +0.428%K +0.499%G +0.015%4.4%2026-10-04 15:44
Unibet (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.18%E -5.62%K -61.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +2.99%E +0.428%K +0.499%G +0.015%5.2%2026-10-04 16:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.18%E -5.62%K -61.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +2.99%E +0.428%K +0.499%G +0.015%5.2%2026-10-04 16:05
BetRivers🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.18%E -5.62%K -61.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +2.99%E +0.428%K +0.499%G +0.015%5.2%2026-10-04 16:05
Bally Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.18%E -5.62%K -61.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +2.99%E +0.428%K +0.499%G +0.015%5.2%2026-10-04 16:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.18%E -5.62%K -61.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +2.99%E +0.428%K +0.499%G +0.015%5.2%2026-10-04 16:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.18%E -5.62%K -61.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +2.99%E +0.428%K +0.499%G +0.015%5.2%2026-10-04 16:05
betPARX🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.18%E -5.62%K -61.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +2.99%E +0.428%K +0.499%G +0.015%5.2%2026-10-04 16:05
Unibet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -7.04%E -6.46%K -78.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV +2.99%E +0.428%K +0.499%G +0.015%6.0%2026-10-04 16:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -7.04%E -6.46%K -78.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV +2.99%E +0.428%K +0.499%G +0.015%6.0%2026-10-04 16:05
Fanatics🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.48%E -4.00%K -37.32%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -0.685%E -0.101%K -0.119%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-04 17:45
Caesars🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.48%E -4.00%K -37.32%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -0.685%E -0.101%K -0.119%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-04 18:20
BetMGM🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -3.63%E -3.21%K -27.89%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV -4.36%E -0.671%K -0.793%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-04 19:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.48%E -4.00%K -37.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -4.36%E -0.671%K -0.793%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-04 18:15
Coolbet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.48%E -4.00%K -37.32%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -5.83%E -0.912%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-04 18:14
Bet Right🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.48%E -4.00%K -37.32%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -8.04%E -1.29%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 18:15
FanDuel🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.58%EV -3.63%E -3.21%K -27.89%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.42%EV -8.78%E -1.42%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-04 15:34
betfred_uk🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.63%E -3.21%K -27.89%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -11.72%E -1.95%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-04 18:15
Neds🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.48%E -4.00%K -37.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.72%E -1.95%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-04 19:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.48%E -4.00%K -37.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.72%E -1.95%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-04 19:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.48%E -4.00%K -37.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.72%E -1.95%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-04 18:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.05%EV -4.48%E -4.00%K -37.32%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV -13.19%E -2.24%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-04 16:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -5.33%E -4.80%K -48.47%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -15.40%E -2.68%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-04 19:00
Coral🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -5.33%E -4.80%K -48.47%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -15.40%E -2.68%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-04 19:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -3.63%E -3.21%K -27.89%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -17.61%E -3.14%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-04 19:05
SportsBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -3.63%E -3.21%K -27.89%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -20.55%E -3.81%K -4.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-04 15:35
ReBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.82%EV -4.48%E -4.00%K -37.32%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -20.55%E -3.81%K -4.67%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-04 19:00
LeoVegas🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.28%EV -4.48%E -4.00%K -37.32%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -23.49%E -4.52%K -5.59%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-04 19:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.15I 86.96%NM 86.13%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.87%1.0%2026-10-04 19:00
Novig◎1.14I 87.72%NM 85.40%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.60%2.7%2026-10-04 19:05