Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Maryland Terrapins v Illinois Fighting Illini

2026-10-31 16:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

45%

55%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Maryland Terrapins (Local)

Prediction 45.45%2.20fair odd

EV -3.64%

Edge -1.72%

Kelly -3.25%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

45.09%45.45%45.41%45.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.952.052.052.1251.28%48.81%48.78%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Illinois Fighting Illini (Visit)

Prediction 54.55%1.83fair odd

EV -3.45%

Edge -1.95%

Kelly -4.49%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

54.17%54.55%54.59%54.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.651.711.701.7760.61%58.59%58.82%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Maryland Terrapins (Local): 45.45%; Illinois Fighting Illini (Visit): 54.55%. For Illinois Fighting Illini (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.83. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.77, with an expected value of -3.45%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
FanDuel🎯	2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.64%E -1.72%K -3.25%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.55%E -2.60%K -6.06%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-10-25 06:20
Fanatics🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.55%E -2.16%K -4.13%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.45%E -1.95%K -4.49%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-10-25 05:30
Unibet (UK)🎯	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -5.46%E -2.62%K -5.05%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -5.64%E -3.26%K -7.72%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-10-25 06:20
SportsBet🎯	2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -5.91%E -2.85%K -5.52%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -7.27%E -4.28%K -10.39%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-10-25 06:20
ReBet🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -6.82%E -3.33%K -6.49%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.73%E -3.93%K -9.47%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-10-25 06:19
William Hill🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.82%E -3.33%K -6.49%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.27%E -4.28%K -10.39%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-10-25 06:20
LeoVegas🎯	2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV -8.18%E -4.05%K -8.02%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -8.36%E -4.98%K -12.30%G +0.000%	9.0%	2026-10-25 06:19
Paddy Power🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%EV -9.09%E -4.55%K -9.09%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -8.91%E -5.33%K -13.30%G +0.000%	9.9%	2026-10-25 05:05
picklebet_au🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -11.36%E -5.83%K -11.96%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 54.17%EV -10.00%E -6.06%K -15.38%G +0.000%	11.9%	2026-10-25 06:20

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Kalshi◎	2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%	1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%	2.2%	2026-10-25 06:30
Polymarket◎	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%	1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%	6.2%	2026-10-25 06:25
ProphetX◎	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%	7.1%	2026-10-25 06:35
Novig◎	1.90I 52.63%NM 45.09%	1.56I 64.10%NM 54.91%	16.7%	2026-10-25 06:40