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Marshall Thundering Herd v Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Marshall Thundering Herd (Local)
Prediction 78.64%1.27fair odd
EV -2.48%
Edge -2.00%
Kelly -10.34%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.24
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.78%78.57%78.69%81.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.171.201.201.2485.47%83.39%83.33%80.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (Visit)
Prediction 21.36%4.68fair odd
EV +11.48%
Edge +2.20%
Kelly +2.72%
Growth +0.312%
assuming max odds 5.22
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.44%21.43%21.31%24.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.544.605.2226.32%22.04%21.74%19.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Marshall Thundering Herd (Local): 78.64%; Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (Visit): 21.36%. For Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.68. 17 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.22, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.48%.
Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.56%EV -7.20%E -6.10%K -40.01%G +0.000% | 5.22I 19.16%NM 18.44%EV +11.48%E +2.20%K +2.72%G +0.312% | 3.9% | 2026-09-12 22:45 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.56%EV -7.20%E -6.10%K -40.01%G +0.000% | 4.89I 20.45%NM 19.44%EV +4.43%E +0.907%K +1.14%G +0.051% | 5.2% | 2026-09-12 22:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.07%EV -5.63%E -4.69%K -28.14%G +0.000% | 4.82I 20.75%NM 19.93%EV +2.94%E +0.610%K +0.769%G +0.023% | 4.1% | 2026-09-12 23:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -7.20%E -6.10%K -40.01%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +2.51%E +0.523%K +0.661%G +0.017% | 5.6% | 2026-09-12 22:56 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -7.20%E -6.10%K -40.01%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +2.51%E +0.523%K +0.661%G +0.017% | 5.6% | 2026-09-12 23:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -7.20%E -6.10%K -40.01%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +2.51%E +0.523%K +0.661%G +0.017% | 5.6% | 2026-09-12 22:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -7.20%E -6.10%K -40.01%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +2.51%E +0.523%K +0.661%G +0.017% | 5.6% | 2026-09-12 23:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -7.20%E -6.10%K -40.01%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +2.51%E +0.523%K +0.661%G +0.017% | 5.6% | 2026-09-12 23:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -7.20%E -6.10%K -40.01%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +2.51%E +0.523%K +0.661%G +0.017% | 5.6% | 2026-09-12 23:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -7.20%E -6.10%K -40.01%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +2.51%E +0.523%K +0.661%G +0.017% | 5.6% | 2026-09-12 23:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.63%E -4.69%K -28.14%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +1.44%E +0.304%K +0.385%G +0.006% | 4.4% | 2026-09-12 22:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.63%E -4.69%K -28.14%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +1.44%E +0.304%K +0.385%G +0.006% | 4.4% | 2026-09-12 22:58 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -6.41%E -5.39%K -33.76%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV +1.44%E +0.304%K +0.385%G +0.006% | 5.1% | 2026-09-12 22:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -7.20%E -6.10%K -40.01%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV +1.44%E +0.304%K +0.385%G +0.006% | 5.8% | 2026-09-12 23:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -7.20%E -6.10%K -40.01%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV +1.44%E +0.304%K +0.385%G +0.006% | 5.8% | 2026-09-12 23:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -7.20%E -6.10%K -40.01%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV +0.377%E +0.080%K +0.102%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-12 22:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -7.99%E -6.83%K -46.98%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV +0.377%E +0.080%K +0.102%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-12 23:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.35%EV -4.84%E -4.00%K -23.06%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.65%EV -0.691%E -0.149%K -0.189%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-12 22:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.84%E -4.00%K -23.06%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -1.76%E -0.382%K -0.489%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-12 22:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.84%E -4.00%K -23.06%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -1.76%E -0.382%K -0.489%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-12 23:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.63%E -4.69%K -28.14%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.76%E -0.382%K -0.489%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-12 22:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.27%EV -6.41%E -5.39%K -33.76%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.73%EV -2.83%E -0.621%K -0.796%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-12 22:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.06%E -3.32%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.89%E -0.865%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-12 23:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.06%E -3.32%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.89%E -0.865%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-12 23:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.06%E -3.32%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.89%E -0.865%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-12 22:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.06%E -3.32%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.89%E -0.865%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-12 23:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.63%E -4.69%K -28.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.89%E -0.865%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-12 22:58 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.90%EV -6.41%E -5.39%K -33.76%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.10%EV -4.96%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-12 23:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.06%E -3.32%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -6.03%E -1.37%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-12 22:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.06%E -3.32%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -6.03%E -1.37%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-12 22:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.06%E -3.32%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -6.03%E -1.37%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-12 22:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -6.41%E -5.39%K -33.76%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -6.03%E -1.37%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-12 23:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.27%E -2.66%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -8.17%E -1.90%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-12 22:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.63%E -4.69%K -28.14%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.30%E -2.45%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-12 23:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -5.63%E -4.69%K -28.14%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -12.44%E -3.03%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-12 22:57 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.06%E -3.32%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.57%E -3.64%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-12 23:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.06%E -3.32%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.57%E -3.64%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-12 23:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.63%E -4.69%K -28.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -14.57%E -3.64%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-12 22:56 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.78%EV -2.48%E -2.00%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.22%EV -17.14%E -4.42%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-12 22:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.00%EV -5.63%E -4.69%K -28.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -18.84%E -4.96%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-12 22:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 80.00% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 20.00% | 0.0% | 2026-09-12 23:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82% | 0.7% | 2026-09-12 22:58 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.17% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.83% | 1.1% | 2026-09-12 23:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.47% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53% | 1.5% | 2026-09-12 22:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.60% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.40% | 2.1% | 2026-09-12 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.60% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.40% | 2.1% | 2026-09-12 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.60% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.40% | 2.1% | 2026-09-12 23:00 |