The School of College Oddsodds.college
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Marshall Thundering Herd v Gardner-Webb Runnin Bulldogs

Kickoff: 2026-09-26 19:30 UTC

Final: Marshall Thundering Herd 36–35 Gardner-Webb Runnin Bulldogs

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

23 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Marshall Thundering Herd (Local)

Prediction 92.28%1.08fair odd
EV -3.11%
Edge -2.96%
Kelly -62.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
90.99%92.48%92.03%94.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.011.031.031.0599.01%97.29%97.09%95.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Gardner-Webb Runnin Bulldogs (Visit)

Prediction 7.72%12.95fair odd
EV +23.59%
Edge +1.47%
Kelly +1.57%
Growth +0.371%

assuming max odds 16.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
5.94%7.52%7.97%9.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
10.5012.9312.0016.009.52%7.74%8.33%6.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Marshall Thundering Herd (Local): 92.28%; Gardner-Webb Runnin Bulldogs (Visit): 7.72%. For Gardner-Webb Runnin Bulldogs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 12.95. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 16.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +23.59%.

Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -5.88%E -5.76%K -293.93%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +23.59%E +1.47%K +1.57%G +0.371%4.3%2026-09-25 00:09
betPARX🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -6.80%E -6.73%K -680.14%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV +23.59%E +1.47%K +1.57%G +0.371%5.3%2026-09-26 13:45
Bally Bet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -6.80%E -6.73%K -680.14%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV +23.59%E +1.47%K +1.57%G +0.371%5.3%2026-09-26 13:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -6.80%E -6.73%K -680.14%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV +23.59%E +1.47%K +1.57%G +0.371%5.3%2026-09-26 13:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -6.80%E -6.73%K -680.14%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV +23.59%E +1.47%K +1.57%G +0.371%5.3%2026-09-26 13:45
FanDuel🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.88%E -5.76%K -293.93%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +15.86%E +1.06%K +1.13%G +0.180%4.7%2026-09-26 13:45
BetMGM🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 93.09%EV -4.03%E -3.88%K -100.83%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.91%EV +8.14%E +0.581%K +0.626%G +0.051%3.3%2026-09-26 17:03
Fliff🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.00%EV -5.88%E -5.76%K -293.93%G +0.000%13.55I 7.38%NM 7.00%EV +4.66%E +0.344%K +0.371%G +0.017%5.4%2026-09-26 19:25
GTbets🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.38%EV -4.03%E -3.88%K -100.83%G +0.000%12.60I 7.94%NM 7.62%EV -2.68%E -0.212%K -0.231%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-26 14:10
Neds🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -5.88%E -5.76%K -293.93%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -3.45%E -0.276%K -0.300%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-26 17:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -5.88%E -5.76%K -293.93%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -3.45%E -0.276%K -0.300%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-26 17:50
DraftKings🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -3.11%E -2.96%K -62.21%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV -7.31%E -0.609%K -0.665%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-26 13:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.03%E -3.88%K -100.83%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -7.31%E -0.609%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-26 14:05
Betway🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.96%E -4.81%K -165.20%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -7.31%E -0.609%K -0.665%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-26 13:40
Bovada🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.96%E -4.81%K -165.20%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -7.31%E -0.609%K -0.665%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-26 13:40
Pinnacle🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.97%EV -4.03%E -3.88%K -100.83%G +0.000%11.91I 8.40%NM 8.03%EV -8.01%E -0.672%K -0.734%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-26 15:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.03%E -3.88%K -100.83%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -11.17%E -0.972%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-26 15:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.61%EV -4.96%E -4.81%K -165.20%G +0.000%11.25I 8.89%NM 8.39%EV -13.10%E -1.16%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-26 13:45
Betsson🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.03%E -3.88%K -100.83%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -15.03%E -1.37%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-26 18:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.96%E -4.81%K -165.20%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -15.03%E -1.37%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-26 17:50
Coral🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.96%E -4.81%K -165.20%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -15.03%E -1.37%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-26 17:50
SportsBet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.88%E -5.76%K -293.93%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -15.03%E -1.37%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-26 15:35
LeoVegas🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.03%E -3.88%K -100.83%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -18.90%E -1.80%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-26 15:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.08I 92.59%NM 92.97%14.29I 7.00%NM 7.03%-0.4%2026-09-26 19:25
ProphetX◎1.07I 93.46%NM 92.90%14.00I 7.14%NM 7.10%0.6%2026-09-26 19:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 93.19%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.81%1.2%2026-09-26 19:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 93.19%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.81%1.2%2026-09-26 19:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 93.19%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.81%1.2%2026-09-26 19:25
Novig◎1.06I 94.34%NM 93.09%14.29I 7.00%NM 6.91%1.3%2026-09-26 19:24