Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.55
assuming max odds 2.69
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Marshall Thundering Herd (Local): 63.03%; Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (Visit): 36.97%. For Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.71. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.69, with an expected value of -0.561%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -2.30%E -1.48%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -14.98%E -6.51%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-10 22:53 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -2.30%E -1.48%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -14.98%E -6.51%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-10 22:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.56%E -2.33%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -2.04%E -0.770%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.56%E -2.33%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -2.04%E -0.770%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.56%E -2.33%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -2.04%E -0.770%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-10-10 20:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -3.56%E -2.33%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -4.63%E -1.79%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.56%E -2.33%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.74%E -2.25%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-10 15:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.56%E -2.33%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.74%E -2.25%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.56%E -2.33%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.58%E -3.03%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-10 15:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.56%E -2.33%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.58%E -3.03%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.56%E -2.33%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.58%E -3.03%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.56%E -2.33%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.58%E -3.03%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-10 15:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.56%E -2.33%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.58%E -3.03%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-10 23:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.90%EV -4.19%E -2.76%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 36.10%EV -0.561%E -0.209%K -0.332%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-10-10 23:01 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -4.19%E -2.76%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -4.63%E -1.79%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-10 20:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.19%E -2.76%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.74%E -2.25%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-10 15:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.19%E -2.76%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.74%E -2.25%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-10 22:55 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.19%E -2.76%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -7.58%E -3.03%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-10 22:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.19%E -2.76%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -7.58%E -3.03%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-10 23:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.88%EV -4.82%E -3.19%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.12%EV -1.30%E -0.487%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-10 22:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.82%E -3.19%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -2.04%E -0.770%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-10 22:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.82%E -3.19%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -2.04%E -0.770%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-10 22:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.82%E -3.19%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -2.04%E -0.770%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-10 20:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.82%E -3.19%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -2.04%E -0.770%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-10 22:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -4.82%E -3.19%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -2.41%E -0.913%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-10 22:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.82%E -3.19%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.89%E -1.50%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-10 23:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.17%EV -4.82%E -3.19%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.83%EV -4.26%E -1.64%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-10 22:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.82%E -3.19%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.74%E -2.25%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-10 23:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.89%E -1.50%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-10 21:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.89%E -1.50%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-10 14:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.89%E -1.50%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-10 14:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.89%E -1.50%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-10 14:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.89%E -1.50%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-10 14:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.89%E -1.50%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-10 14:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.89%E -1.50%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-10 14:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.89%E -1.50%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-10 14:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.89%E -1.50%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-10 14:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.74%E -2.25%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-10 22:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.74%E -2.25%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-10 22:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.78%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.22%EV -6.48%E -2.56%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-10 23:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.58%E -3.03%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-10 23:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -6.08%E -4.08%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -7.58%E -3.03%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-10 20:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -6.08%E -4.08%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -7.58%E -3.03%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-10 23:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.71%E -4.53%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.89%E -1.50%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-10 14:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.71%E -4.53%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.89%E -1.50%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-10 14:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.60%E -5.93%K -19.11%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -7.58%E -3.03%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-10 23:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -9.23%E -6.41%K -20.98%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -11.28%E -4.70%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-10 20:09 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 65.00% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 35.00% | -0.1% | 2026-10-10 22:35 |
| Novig◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85% | 0.3% | 2026-10-10 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80% | 0.5% | 2026-10-10 23:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80% | 0.5% | 2026-10-10 22:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-10-10 23:01 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-10-10 22:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-10-10 23:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-10-10 22:59 |