Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Marshall Thundering Herd v Coastal Carolina Chanticleers

2026-10-10 23:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Marshall Thundering Herd (Local)

Prediction 56.02%1.78fair odd
EV -1.40%
Edge -0.795%
Kelly -1.84%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.97%55.94%55.96%58.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.691.701.7660.61%59.08%58.82%56.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (Visit)

Prediction 43.98%2.27fair odd
EV +1.15%
Edge +0.499%
Kelly +0.882%
Growth +0.010%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.77%44.06%44.04%46.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.042.152.152.3049.02%46.53%46.51%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Marshall Thundering Herd (Local): 56.02%; Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (Visit): 43.98%. For Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.27. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.30, producing a positive expected value of +1.15%.

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV +1.15%E +0.499%K +0.882%G +0.010%4.1%2026-10-04 19:05
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.20%E -2.46%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.25%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-04 18:55
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.76%E -2.80%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.25%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-04 15:39
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.32%E -3.15%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.25%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-04 18:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.76%E -2.80%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.57%E -2.11%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-04 16:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.76%E -2.80%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.57%E -2.11%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-04 16:19
betPARX🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.76%E -2.80%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.57%E -2.11%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-04 16:19
Bally Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.76%E -2.80%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.57%E -2.11%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-04 16:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.76%E -2.80%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.01%E -2.32%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-04 16:19
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.76%E -2.80%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.01%E -2.32%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-04 16:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.76%E -2.80%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.01%E -2.32%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-04 16:20
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.20%E -2.46%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.45%E -2.53%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-04 18:55
Coolbet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.20%E -2.46%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.45%E -2.53%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-04 18:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.76%E -2.80%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.45%E -2.53%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 18:49
Bet Right🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.76%E -2.80%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.45%E -2.53%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 18:55
betfred_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.76%E -2.80%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.45%E -2.53%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 18:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.32%E -3.15%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.45%E -2.53%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-04 18:55
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.88%E -3.50%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.45%E -2.53%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-04 16:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.88%E -3.50%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.45%E -2.53%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-04 16:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.88%E -3.50%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.45%E -2.53%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-04 18:55
Neds🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.88%E -3.50%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.45%E -2.53%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-04 18:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.44%E -3.86%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.45%E -2.53%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-04 15:40
ReBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.05%EV -6.44%E -3.86%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.95%EV -6.33%E -2.97%K -5.60%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-04 15:40
FanDuel🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -1.40%E -0.795%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-04 15:55
LeoVegas🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-04 15:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-04 18:55
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-04 18:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -2.52%E -1.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -10.29%E -5.04%K -9.89%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-04 16:27
SportsBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.26%EV -3.64%E -2.12%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.74%EV -10.29%E -5.04%K -9.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-04 16:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-10-04 18:10
Novig◎1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%7.1%2026-10-04 19:00