Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

LSU Tigers v Texas A&M Aggies

Kickoff: 2026-09-26 23:45 UTC

Final: LSU Tigers 35–6 Texas A&M Aggies

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

43 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

LSU Tigers (Local)

Prediction 74.30%1.35fair odd
EV +0.307%
Edge +0.227%
Kelly +0.877%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 1.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.95%74.18%74.40%76.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.291.291.3580.00%77.79%77.52%74.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Texas A&M Aggies (Visit)

Prediction 25.70%3.89fair odd
EV +2.79%
Edge +0.699%
Kelly +0.931%
Growth +0.026%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.81%25.82%25.60%29.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.643.604.0031.25%27.51%27.78%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: LSU Tigers (Local): 74.30%; Texas A&M Aggies (Visit): 25.70%. For Texas A&M Aggies (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.89. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.79%.

Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.12%E -5.70%K -28.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +2.79%E +0.699%K +0.931%G +0.026%5.0%2026-09-26 23:39
FanDuel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -5.64%E -4.44%K -20.88%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -1.06%E -0.276%K -0.372%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-26 23:20
Bet Right🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -6.38%E -5.06%K -24.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -1.06%E -0.276%K -0.372%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-26 23:10
Pinnacle🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.71%EV -4.15%E -3.22%K -14.31%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.29%EV -2.09%E -0.548%K -0.743%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-26 23:40
BetMGM🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.15%E -3.22%K -14.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -2.35%E -0.617%K -0.838%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-26 23:20
BetAnything🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.15%E -3.22%K -14.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -2.35%E -0.617%K -0.838%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-26 16:10
Bovada🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.89%E -3.82%K -17.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -2.35%E -0.617%K -0.838%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-26 23:23
BetOnline.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.56%EV -4.15%E -3.22%K -14.31%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.44%EV -2.86%E -0.757%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-26 23:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.56%EV -4.15%E -3.22%K -14.31%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.44%EV -2.86%E -0.757%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-26 23:34
BetUS🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.56%EV -4.15%E -3.22%K -14.31%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.44%EV -2.86%E -0.757%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-26 23:29
DraftKings🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.15%E -3.22%K -14.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.63%E -0.968%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-25 20:59
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.15%E -3.22%K -14.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.63%E -0.968%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-26 20:55
GTbets🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.15%E -3.22%K -14.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.63%E -0.968%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-25 21:00
Caesars🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.15%E -3.22%K -14.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.63%E -0.968%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-26 05:07
Coolbet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.89%E -3.82%K -17.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.92%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-26 22:14
Fliff🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.64%E -4.44%K -20.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.92%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-26 23:30
SportsBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.12%E -5.70%K -28.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.92%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-26 23:20
LeoVegas🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.89%E -3.82%K -17.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -6.20%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-26 22:15
Betsson🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.89%E -3.82%K -17.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -6.20%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-26 23:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.64%E -4.44%K -20.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -6.20%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-26 23:20
NordicBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.98%EV -5.64%E -4.44%K -20.88%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.02%EV -7.23%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-26 23:29
TAB🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.41%E -2.62%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-25 14:50
Bally Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.15%E -3.22%K -14.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-26 20:49
betPARX🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.15%E -3.22%K -14.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-26 20:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.15%E -3.22%K -14.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-26 20:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.15%E -3.22%K -14.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-26 20:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.89%E -3.82%K -17.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-26 23:20
Neds🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.89%E -3.82%K -17.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-26 23:20
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.12%E -5.70%K -28.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-26 23:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.12%E -5.70%K -28.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-26 23:40
PlayUp🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.41%E -2.62%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -8.77%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-25 15:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.15%E -3.22%K -14.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -8.77%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-26 20:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.15%E -3.22%K -14.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -8.77%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-26 20:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.15%E -3.22%K -14.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -8.77%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-26 20:50
BetRivers🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.15%E -3.22%K -14.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -8.77%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-26 20:50
Unibet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.15%E -3.22%K -14.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -8.77%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-26 20:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -5.64%E -4.44%K -20.88%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -8.77%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-26 23:30
Dabble (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.41%E -2.62%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.06%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-26 23:40
Betway🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.15%E -3.22%K -14.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.06%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-26 23:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV +0.307%E +0.227%K +0.877%G +0.003%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -13.91%E -4.15%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-26 23:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -1.18%E -0.886%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -13.91%E -4.15%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-26 23:30
betano_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -3.41%E -2.62%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -16.48%E -5.07%K -7.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-26 23:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.95%EV -2.67%E -2.03%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -17.76%E -5.55%K -8.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-26 23:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX◎1.31I 76.34%NM 76.23%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.77%0.1%2026-09-26 23:40
BetOpenly◎1.32I 75.76%NM 75.60%4.09I 24.45%NM 24.40%0.2%2026-09-26 23:25
Novig◎1.31I 76.34%NM 75.70%4.08I 24.51%NM 24.30%0.8%2026-09-26 23:40
Matchbook◎1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%1.3%2026-09-26 23:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.32I 75.76%NM 74.71%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29%1.4%2026-09-26 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.32I 75.76%NM 74.71%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29%1.4%2026-09-26 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.29I 77.52%NM 76.07%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.93%1.9%2026-09-26 23:40
Kalshi◎1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53%1.9%2026-09-26 23:35