Sign in with Sole Account
Language:English
LSU Tigers v Mississippi State Bulldogs
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
LSU Tigers (Local)
Prediction 86.47%1.16fair odd
EV -2.29%
Edge -2.03%
Kelly -17.61%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.13
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
84.05%86.36%86.59%88.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.071.101.101.1393.46%90.98%90.91%88.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Mississippi State Bulldogs (Visit)
Prediction 13.53%7.39fair odd
EV +8.25%
Edge +1.03%
Kelly +1.18%
Growth +0.097%
assuming max odds 8.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.89%13.64%13.41%15.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.906.946.978.0016.95%14.41%14.34%12.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: LSU Tigers (Local): 86.47%; Mississippi State Bulldogs (Visit): 13.53%. For Mississippi State Bulldogs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.39. 19 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.25%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -5.75%E -5.27%K -63.87%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +8.25%E +1.03%K +1.18%G +0.097% | 4.2% | 2026-10-17 14:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.61%E -6.12%K -82.67%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +8.25%E +1.03%K +1.18%G +0.097% | 5.1% | 2026-10-17 15:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.56%EV -4.88%E -4.44%K -48.84%G +0.000% | 7.74I 12.92%NM 12.44%EV +4.73%E +0.611%K +0.702%G +0.033% | 3.8% | 2026-10-17 14:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.56%EV -4.88%E -4.44%K -48.84%G +0.000% | 7.74I 12.92%NM 12.44%EV +4.73%E +0.611%K +0.702%G +0.033% | 3.8% | 2026-10-17 14:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -4.02%E -3.62%K -36.54%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV +1.48%E +0.198%K +0.228%G +0.003% | 3.4% | 2026-10-17 16:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -4.02%E -3.62%K -36.54%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV +1.48%E +0.198%K +0.228%G +0.003% | 3.4% | 2026-10-17 15:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.88%E -4.44%K -48.84%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +1.48%E +0.198%K +0.228%G +0.003% | 4.2% | 2026-10-17 16:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.88%E -4.44%K -48.84%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +1.48%E +0.198%K +0.228%G +0.003% | 4.2% | 2026-10-17 15:43 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.75%E -5.27%K -63.87%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +1.48%E +0.198%K +0.228%G +0.003% | 5.1% | 2026-10-17 13:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.75%E -5.27%K -63.87%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +1.48%E +0.198%K +0.228%G +0.003% | 5.1% | 2026-10-17 13:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.75%E -5.27%K -63.87%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +1.48%E +0.198%K +0.228%G +0.003% | 5.1% | 2026-10-17 13:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.75%E -5.27%K -63.87%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +1.48%E +0.198%K +0.228%G +0.003% | 5.1% | 2026-10-17 13:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.75%E -5.27%K -63.87%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +1.48%E +0.198%K +0.228%G +0.003% | 5.1% | 2026-10-17 13:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.75%E -5.27%K -63.87%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +1.48%E +0.198%K +0.228%G +0.003% | 5.1% | 2026-10-17 13:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.75%E -5.27%K -63.87%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +1.48%E +0.198%K +0.228%G +0.003% | 5.1% | 2026-10-17 13:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.75%E -5.27%K -63.87%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +1.48%E +0.198%K +0.228%G +0.003% | 5.1% | 2026-10-17 13:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.61%E -6.12%K -82.67%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +1.48%E +0.198%K +0.228%G +0.003% | 5.9% | 2026-10-17 13:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.61%E -6.12%K -82.67%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +1.48%E +0.198%K +0.228%G +0.003% | 5.9% | 2026-10-17 13:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.03%EV -4.02%E -3.62%K -36.54%G +0.000% | 7.45I 13.42%NM 12.97%EV +0.805%E +0.108%K +0.125%G +0.001% | 3.5% | 2026-10-17 15:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.72%EV -4.02%E -3.62%K -36.54%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.28%EV -1.90%E -0.262%K -0.304%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-17 14:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.72%EV -4.02%E -3.62%K -36.54%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.28%EV -1.90%E -0.262%K -0.304%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-17 14:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.88%EV -6.61%E -6.12%K -82.67%G +0.000% | 7.15I 13.99%NM 13.12%EV -3.25%E -0.455%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-17 16:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.59%EV -4.88%E -4.44%K -48.84%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.41%EV -3.93%E -0.554%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-17 14:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.88%E -4.44%K -48.84%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.28%E -0.755%K -0.881%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-17 14:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.34%EV -4.88%E -4.44%K -48.84%G +0.000% | 6.95I 14.39%NM 13.66%EV -5.96%E -0.858%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-17 16:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.14%EV -4.02%E -3.62%K -36.54%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.86%EV -6.64%E -0.962%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-17 16:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.24%EV -5.75%E -5.27%K -63.87%G +0.000% | 6.83I 14.64%NM 13.76%EV -7.58%E -1.11%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-17 16:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.86%EV -3.15%E -2.82%K -26.29%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.14%EV -7.99%E -1.17%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-17 16:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.08%EV -4.88%E -4.44%K -48.84%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.92%EV -7.99%E -1.17%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-17 15:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.08%EV -4.88%E -4.44%K -48.84%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.92%EV -7.99%E -1.17%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-17 15:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.15%E -2.82%K -26.29%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -12.05%E -1.85%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-17 15:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.88%E -4.44%K -48.84%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -12.05%E -1.85%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-17 13:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.88%E -4.44%K -48.84%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -12.05%E -1.85%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-17 05:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.88%E -4.44%K -48.84%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -12.05%E -1.85%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-17 16:00 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.88%E -4.44%K -48.84%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -12.05%E -1.85%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-17 04:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -5.75%E -5.27%K -63.87%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -12.05%E -1.85%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-17 16:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -5.75%E -5.27%K -63.87%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -12.05%E -1.85%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-17 14:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -5.75%E -5.27%K -63.87%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -12.05%E -1.85%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-17 14:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -5.75%E -5.27%K -63.87%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -12.05%E -1.85%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-17 15:53 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -2.29%E -2.03%K -17.61%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -18.81%E -3.14%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-17 16:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.15%E -2.82%K -26.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -18.81%E -3.14%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-17 16:04 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.15%E -2.82%K -26.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -18.81%E -3.14%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-17 14:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.15%E -2.82%K -26.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -18.81%E -3.14%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-17 13:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.02%E -3.62%K -36.54%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -18.81%E -3.14%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-17 16:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -4.88%E -4.44%K -48.84%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -18.81%E -3.14%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-17 15:48 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -5.75%E -5.27%K -63.87%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -18.81%E -3.14%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-17 12:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 84.87%EV -7.48%E -6.99%K -106.83%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.13%EV -18.81%E -3.14%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-17 16:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.05%EV -3.15%E -2.82%K -26.29%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV -20.17%E -3.42%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-17 16:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 89.85% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 10.15% | -1.5% | 2026-10-17 15:59 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91% | 0.7% | 2026-10-17 14:25 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91% | 0.7% | 2026-10-17 16:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.76% | 8.10I 12.35%NM 12.24% | 0.8% | 2026-10-17 16:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38% | 1.0% | 2026-10-17 16:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38% | 1.0% | 2026-10-17 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.54% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.46% | 2.9% | 2026-10-17 16:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.54% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.46% | 2.9% | 2026-10-17 16:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.54% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.46% | 2.9% | 2026-10-17 16:05 |