Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

LSU Tigers v Alabama Crimson Tide

2026-11-07 16:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

61%

39%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

LSU Tigers (Local)

Prediction 60.85%1.64fair odd

EV -4.46%

Edge -2.84%

Kelly -7.83%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

60.57%60.84%60.85%61.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.531.551.561.5765.36%64.41%64.31%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Alabama Crimson Tide (Visit)

Prediction 39.15%2.55fair odd

EV -4.09%

Edge -1.67%

Kelly -2.82%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

38.90%39.16%39.15%39.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.352.412.422.4542.55%41.45%41.24%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: LSU Tigers (Local): 60.85%; Alabama Crimson Tide (Visit): 39.15%. For Alabama Crimson Tide (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.55. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.45, with an expected value of -4.09%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
DraftKings🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.46%E -2.84%K -7.83%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.09%E -1.67%K -2.82%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-08-11 15:59
Coolbet🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.07%E -3.25%K -9.05%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.09%E -1.67%K -2.82%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-08-11 15:59
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.68%E -3.66%K -10.33%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.05%E -2.52%K -4.32%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-11 16:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.90%E -4.51%K -13.01%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -8.00%E -3.41%K -5.93%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-08-11 15:59

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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