Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

LSU Tigers v Alabama Crimson Tide

2026-11-07 16:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

62%

38%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

LSU Tigers (Local)

Prediction 61.80%1.62fair odd

EV -4.83%

Edge -3.14%

Kelly -8.95%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

60.57%61.60%61.80%62.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.521.531.541.5465.79%65.25%65.15%64.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Alabama Crimson Tide (Visit)

Prediction 38.20%2.62fair odd

EV -2.96%

Edge -1.17%

Kelly -1.92%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

37.75%38.40%38.20%39.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.352.462.482.5442.55%40.65%40.40%39.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: LSU Tigers (Local): 61.80%; Alabama Crimson Tide (Visit): 38.20%. For Alabama Crimson Tide (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.62. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.54, with an expected value of -2.96%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
DraftKings🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -4.83%E -3.14%K -8.95%G +0.000%	2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -2.96%E -1.17%K -1.92%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-09-01 16:30
Coolbet🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.83%E -3.14%K -8.95%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.49%E -1.80%K -3.00%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-09-03 22:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -5.45%E -3.56%K -10.28%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -10.22%E -4.35%K -7.57%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-08-11 15:59
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.07%E -3.99%K -11.67%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.40%E -2.61%K -4.42%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-09-03 22:50

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.