Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

LSU Tigers v Alabama Crimson Tide

2026-11-07 20:30 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

LSU Tigers (Local)

Prediction 61.98%1.61fair odd
EV -3.31%
Edge -2.12%
Kelly -5.90%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.19%62.02%62.03%62.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.491.521.531.5667.11%65.68%65.36%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Alabama Crimson Tide (Visit)

Prediction 38.02%2.63fair odd
EV -3.06%
Edge -1.20%
Kelly -1.97%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.04%37.98%37.97%38.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.502.502.5541.67%40.02%40.00%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: LSU Tigers (Local): 61.98%; Alabama Crimson Tide (Visit): 38.02%. For Alabama Crimson Tide (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.63. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.55, with an expected value of -3.06%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -3.31%E -2.12%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -6.48%E -2.63%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-31 15:45
Coolbet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.55%E -2.95%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.96%E -1.98%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-31 16:04
betPARX🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.17%E -3.38%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.06%E -1.20%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-31 13:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.17%E -3.38%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.06%E -1.20%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-31 13:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.17%E -3.38%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.06%E -1.20%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-31 13:50
Bally Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.17%E -3.38%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.06%E -1.20%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-31 13:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.17%E -3.38%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.96%E -1.98%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-31 16:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.17%E -3.38%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.96%E -1.98%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-31 13:50
BetRivers🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.17%E -3.38%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.96%E -1.98%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-31 13:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.17%E -3.38%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.96%E -1.98%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-31 13:50
Bet Right🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.17%E -3.38%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.96%E -1.98%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-31 16:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.17%E -3.38%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.86%E -2.80%K -4.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-31 16:05
Unibet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.78%E -3.81%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.96%E -1.98%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-31 13:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -6.40%E -4.24%K -12.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -4.96%E -1.98%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-31 13:49
SportsBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -6.40%E -4.24%K -12.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.86%E -2.80%K -4.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-31 15:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.02%E -4.68%K -14.05%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.06%E -1.20%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-30 14:55
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.02%E -4.68%K -14.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.86%E -2.80%K -4.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-31 16:05
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.02%E -4.68%K -14.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.76%E -3.65%K -6.26%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-31 15:45
ReBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.84%EV -7.64%E -5.13%K -15.60%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.16%EV -4.20%E -1.67%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-31 19:22
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%4.1%2026-10-31 20:30
Novig◎1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%7.1%2026-10-31 20:30