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Louisville Cardinals v Wake Forest Demon Deacons
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Louisville Cardinals (Local)
Prediction 78.97%1.27fair odd
EV -2.08%
Edge -1.68%
Kelly -8.67%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.24
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.78%78.68%79.18%80.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.181.211.201.2484.75%82.91%83.33%80.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Wake Forest Demon Deacons (Visit)
Prediction 21.03%4.75fair odd
EV +3.06%
Edge +0.625%
Kelly +0.786%
Growth +0.024%
assuming max odds 4.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.67%21.32%20.82%24.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.884.464.504.9025.77%22.40%22.22%20.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Louisville Cardinals (Local): 78.97%; Wake Forest Demon Deacons (Visit): 21.03%. For Wake Forest Demon Deacons (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.75. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.06%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.20%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV +3.06%E +0.625%K +0.786%G +0.024% | 3.7% | 2026-09-26 13:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.20%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV +0.961%E +0.200%K +0.253%G +0.002% | 4.2% | 2026-09-26 14:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.80%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 4.78I 20.92%NM 20.20%EV +0.540%E +0.113%K +0.143%G +0.001% | 3.6% | 2026-09-26 15:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.70%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.30%EV -0.091%E -0.019%K -0.024%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-26 15:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -1.14%E -0.243%K -0.309%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-26 15:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -1.14%E -0.243%K -0.309%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-26 15:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -1.14%E -0.243%K -0.309%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-26 15:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.18%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.64%G +0.000% | 4.64I 21.55%NM 20.82%EV -2.40%E -0.518%K -0.661%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-26 15:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -3.25%E -0.706%K -0.902%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-26 14:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -3.25%E -0.706%K -0.902%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-26 14:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -3.25%E -0.706%K -0.902%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-26 14:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -3.25%E -0.706%K -0.902%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-26 14:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -3.25%E -0.706%K -0.902%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-26 15:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.20%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.25%E -0.706%K -0.902%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-26 14:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.20%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.25%E -0.706%K -0.902%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-26 14:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.20%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.25%E -0.706%K -0.902%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-26 14:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.20%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.25%E -0.706%K -0.902%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-26 14:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.20%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.25%E -0.706%K -0.902%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-26 15:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.20%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.25%E -0.706%K -0.902%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-26 15:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.86%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.64%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.14%EV -4.30%E -0.944%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-26 15:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.27%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.74%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.73%EV -4.30%E -0.944%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-26 15:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -5.35%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-26 15:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.35%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-26 15:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.20%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.35%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-26 16:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.74%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.35%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-26 14:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.74%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.35%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-26 14:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.89%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -5.35%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-26 15:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.90%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.74%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.10%EV -6.40%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-26 15:59 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -7.45%E -1.69%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-26 15:33 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -7.45%E -1.69%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-26 15:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -7.45%E -1.69%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-26 15:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.20%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.45%E -1.69%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-26 15:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.20%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.45%E -1.69%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-26 15:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.20%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -8.92%E -2.06%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-26 14:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.89%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -8.92%E -2.06%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-26 15:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.89%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -8.92%E -2.06%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-26 15:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.64%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -9.56%E -2.22%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-26 14:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.20%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -9.56%E -2.22%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-26 16:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.64%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -10.61%E -2.50%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-26 15:29 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.64%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -10.61%E -2.50%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-26 15:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.20%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -10.61%E -2.50%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-26 15:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.20%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -10.61%E -2.50%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-26 15:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -2.08%E -1.68%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -11.66%E -2.78%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-26 16:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -11.66%E -2.78%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-26 15:28 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.47%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.20%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -17.97%E -4.61%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-26 15:51 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.47%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.20%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -17.97%E -4.61%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-26 15:52 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.78%EV -2.08%E -1.68%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.22%EV -18.39%E -4.74%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-26 16:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 81.05% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.95% | 0.3% | 2026-09-26 14:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 0.5% | 2026-09-26 15:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 0.5% | 2026-09-26 15:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 0.5% | 2026-09-26 15:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.17% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83% | 1.0% | 2026-09-26 14:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.00% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.00% | 1.2% | 2026-09-26 15:59 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.60% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.40% | 2.1% | 2026-09-26 16:00 |