Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.08
assuming max odds 12.50
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Louisville Cardinals (Local): 91.29%; Stanford Cardinal (Visit): 8.71%. For Stanford Cardinal (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 11.48. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 12.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.89%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.25%EV -4.15%E -3.95%K -82.94%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.75%EV +8.89%E +0.711%K +0.773%G +0.069% | 3.2% | 2026-10-31 19:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.31%EV -6.89%E -6.75%K -344.27%G +0.000% | 12.25I 8.16%NM 7.69%EV +6.71%E +0.548%K +0.597%G +0.040% | 6.2% | 2026-10-31 18:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.15%E -3.95%K -82.94%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +4.54%E +0.378%K +0.412%G +0.019% | 3.6% | 2026-10-27 04:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.06%E -4.87%K -126.49%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +4.54%E +0.378%K +0.412%G +0.019% | 4.5% | 2026-10-31 03:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.06%E -4.87%K -126.49%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +4.54%E +0.378%K +0.412%G +0.019% | 4.5% | 2026-10-25 20:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.80%EV -4.15%E -3.95%K -82.94%G +0.000% | 11.75I 8.51%NM 8.20%EV +2.36%E +0.201%K +0.219%G +0.005% | 3.7% | 2026-10-30 15:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.70%EV -4.15%E -3.95%K -82.94%G +0.000% | 11.60I 8.62%NM 8.30%EV +1.05%E +0.091%K +0.099%G +0.001% | 3.9% | 2026-10-31 17:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.62%EV -3.23%E -3.05%K -53.90%G +0.000% | 11.59I 8.63%NM 8.38%EV +0.964%E +0.083%K +0.091%G +0.001% | 3.0% | 2026-10-31 18:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.56%EV -3.23%E -3.05%K -53.90%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.44%EV +0.180%E +0.016%K +0.017%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-10-25 19:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -4.15%E -3.95%K -82.94%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV +0.180%E +0.016%K +0.017%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-30 04:04 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -4.15%E -3.95%K -82.94%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV +0.180%E +0.016%K +0.017%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-27 12:38 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.57%EV -4.15%E -3.95%K -82.94%G +0.000% | 11.41I 8.76%NM 8.43%EV -0.604%E -0.053%K -0.058%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-30 04:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.57%EV -4.15%E -3.95%K -82.94%G +0.000% | 11.41I 8.76%NM 8.43%EV -0.604%E -0.053%K -0.058%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-30 04:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.61%EV -5.06%E -4.87%K -126.49%G +0.000% | 11.35I 8.81%NM 8.39%EV -1.13%E -0.099%K -0.109%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-31 18:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.15%E -3.95%K -82.94%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -4.18%E -0.380%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-25 20:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.06%E -4.87%K -126.49%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -4.18%E -0.380%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-27 16:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.06%E -4.87%K -126.49%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -4.18%E -0.380%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-27 16:04 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.06%E -4.87%K -126.49%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -4.18%E -0.380%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-28 17:06 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -6.89%E -6.75%K -344.27%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -4.18%E -0.380%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-31 17:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.15%EV -4.15%E -3.95%K -82.94%G +0.000% | 10.82I 9.24%NM 8.85%EV -5.74%E -0.531%K -0.585%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-31 17:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.15%E -3.95%K -82.94%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -8.53%E -0.813%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-30 03:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.79%EV -5.06%E -4.87%K -126.49%G +0.000% | 10.25I 9.76%NM 9.21%EV -10.71%E -1.04%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-26 03:41 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.23%E -3.05%K -53.90%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -12.89%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-31 13:03 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.23%E -3.05%K -53.90%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -12.89%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-31 18:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.15%E -3.95%K -82.94%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.89%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-31 12:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.15%E -3.95%K -82.94%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.89%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-31 12:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.15%E -3.95%K -82.94%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.89%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-31 12:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.15%E -3.95%K -82.94%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.89%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-31 12:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.15%E -3.95%K -82.94%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.89%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-31 12:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.15%E -3.95%K -82.94%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.89%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-31 12:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.15%E -3.95%K -82.94%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.89%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-31 12:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.15%E -3.95%K -82.94%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.89%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-26 03:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.15%E -3.95%K -82.94%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.89%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-31 18:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.15%E -3.95%K -82.94%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.89%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-31 12:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.06%E -4.87%K -126.49%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -12.89%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-31 12:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.06%E -4.87%K -126.49%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -12.89%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-31 12:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.06%E -4.87%K -126.49%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -12.89%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-26 03:41 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.06%E -4.87%K -126.49%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -12.89%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-25 20:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.06%E -4.87%K -126.49%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -12.89%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-27 16:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.06%E -4.87%K -126.49%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -12.89%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-27 16:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -5.06%E -4.87%K -126.49%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -17.24%E -1.82%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-26 07:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -2.32%E -2.17%K -33.16%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -21.60%E -2.40%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-31 17:24 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -2.32%E -2.17%K -33.16%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -21.60%E -2.40%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-31 17:40 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -3.23%E -3.05%K -53.90%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -25.95%E -3.05%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-31 18:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -3.23%E -3.05%K -53.90%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -25.95%E -3.05%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-31 17:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -4.15%E -3.95%K -82.94%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -25.95%E -3.05%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-31 19:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -3.23%E -3.05%K -53.90%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -34.67%E -4.62%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-31 18:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 87.72%EV -4.15%E -3.95%K -82.94%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -34.67%E -4.62%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-31 11:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -1.41%E -1.30%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -39.02%E -5.57%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-25 07:10 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 92.51% | 13.33I 7.50%NM 7.49% | 0.1% | 2026-10-31 19:00 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.07I 93.46%NM 93.13% | 14.51I 6.89%NM 6.87% | 0.3% | 2026-10-31 18:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.90% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.10% | 0.6% | 2026-10-31 18:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.09% | 14.29I 7.00%NM 6.91% | 1.3% | 2026-10-31 18:55 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.09% | 14.29I 7.00%NM 6.91% | 1.3% | 2026-10-30 13:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 92.96% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.04% | 1.5% | 2026-10-31 18:35 |