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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Louisville Cardinals v SMU Mustangs

开赛时间： 2026-09-19 19:30 UTC

最终结果： Louisville Cardinals 41–31 SMU Mustangs

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

45 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Louisville Cardinals (主队)

预测 56.67%1.76公平赔率
EV -2.53%
优势 -1.47%
Kelly -3.52%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.72

博彩公司预测分布
55.91%56.80%56.63%58.54%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.641.671.671.7260.98%59.81%59.88%58.14%最小值均值中位数最大值

SMU Mustangs (客队)

预测 43.33%2.31公平赔率
EV +0.968%
优势 +0.415%
Kelly +0.728%
增长率 +0.007%

假设最高赔率为 2.33

博彩公司预测分布
41.46%43.20%43.37%44.09%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.102.212.202.3347.62%45.33%45.45%42.92%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Louisville Cardinals (主队)：56.67%；SMU Mustangs (客队)：43.33%。 对于“SMU Mustangs (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.31。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.33，对应+0.968%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (45 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -6.50%E -3.94%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV +0.968%E +0.415%K +0.728%G +0.007%3.5%2026-09-19 19:24
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -6.50%E -3.94%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV +0.968%E +0.415%K +0.728%G +0.007%3.5%2026-09-19 19:24
BetAnything🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -5.37%E -3.21%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -0.332%E -0.144%K -0.255%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-19 18:59
BetUS🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -5.93%E -3.57%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -0.332%E -0.144%K -0.255%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-19 19:24
GTbets🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.23%E -2.51%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.50%E -1.11%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-19 18:54
Everygame🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.23%E -2.51%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.50%E -1.11%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-19 18:59
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.37%E -3.21%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.50%E -1.11%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-19 18:59
Bally Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.93%E -3.57%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -2.50%E -1.11%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-19 19:19
betPARX🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.93%E -3.57%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -2.50%E -1.11%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-19 19:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.93%E -3.57%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -2.50%E -1.11%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-19 19:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.93%E -3.57%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -2.50%E -1.11%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-19 19:19
Pinnacle🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -2.53%E -1.47%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -3.37%E -1.51%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-19 18:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.50%E -3.94%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -3.37%E -1.51%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-19 19:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.50%E -3.94%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -3.37%E -1.51%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-19 19:19
BetRivers🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.50%E -3.94%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -3.37%E -1.51%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-19 19:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -7.07%E -4.31%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -3.37%E -1.51%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-19 19:19
Unibet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -7.07%E -4.31%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -3.37%E -1.51%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-19 19:19
Caesars🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -3.67%E -2.16%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -3.80%E -1.71%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-19 18:52
FanDuel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -4.80%E -2.86%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -3.80%E -1.71%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-19 18:49
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.10%E -1.81%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.67%E -2.12%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-19 18:54
Bovada🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.10%E -1.81%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.67%E -2.12%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-19 18:59
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.67%E -2.16%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.67%E -2.12%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-19 18:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.23%E -2.51%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.67%E -2.12%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-19 18:53
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.23%E -2.51%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.67%E -2.12%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-19 18:59
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.23%E -2.51%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.67%E -2.12%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-19 18:49
MyBookie.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.80%E -2.86%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.67%E -2.12%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-19 19:04
Coolbet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.80%E -2.86%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.67%E -2.12%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-19 18:54
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.80%E -2.86%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.67%E -2.12%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-19 19:24
Dabble (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.80%E -2.86%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.67%E -2.12%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-19 19:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.37%E -3.21%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.67%E -2.12%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-19 18:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.37%E -3.21%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.67%E -2.12%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-19 18:55
Bet Right🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.80%E -2.86%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.53%E -2.54%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-19 19:19
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.80%E -2.86%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.53%E -2.54%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-19 19:14
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -5.37%E -3.21%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -5.53%E -2.54%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-19 19:05
SportsBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -7.07%E -4.31%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -5.97%E -2.75%K -5.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-19 19:14
NordicBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -5.93%E -3.57%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -6.40%E -2.96%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-19 19:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.80%E -2.86%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.83%E -3.18%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-19 18:59
Neds🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.80%E -2.86%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.83%E -3.18%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-19 18:59
TAB🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.80%E -2.86%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.83%E -3.18%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-19 18:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.37%E -3.21%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.83%E -3.18%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-19 19:19
Fliff🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.37%E -3.21%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.83%E -3.18%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-19 19:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.91%EV -4.80%E -2.86%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.09%EV -7.70%E -3.61%K -6.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-19 19:23
betano_uk🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.50%E -3.94%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.00%E -4.29%K -8.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-19 19:22
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.50%E -3.94%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.00%E -4.29%K -8.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-19 19:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.50%E -3.94%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.00%E -4.29%K -8.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-19 19:15
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
ProphetX◎1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00%2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00%0.2%2026-09-19 19:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00%2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00%0.2%2026-09-19 19:24
Matchbook◎1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-09-19 19:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-09-19 19:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-09-19 19:09
Kalshi◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-09-19 18:45