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Louisiana Tech Bulldogs v Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles

2026-11-14 22:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

22 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (Local)

Prediction 88.31%1.13fair odd
EV -2.86%
Edge -2.60%
Kelly -28.59%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
83.71%88.19%88.63%89.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.061.081.081.1094.34%92.55%92.59%90.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles (Visit)

Prediction 11.69%8.55fair odd
EV +11.06%
Edge +1.16%
Kelly +1.30%
Growth +0.144%

assuming max odds 9.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.12%11.81%11.37%16.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.507.547.509.5018.18%13.26%13.33%10.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (Local): 88.31%; Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles (Visit): 11.69%. For Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.55. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 9.50, producing a positive expected value of +11.06%.

Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.69%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +11.06%E +1.16%K +1.30%G +0.144%4.0%2026-11-08 15:49
Caesars🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.69%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +5.21%E +0.579%K +0.651%G +0.034%4.6%2026-11-08 19:09
BetMGM🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -3.74%E -3.43%K -41.58%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV -0.633%E -0.075%K -0.084%G +0.000%3.5%2026-11-08 18:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.63%E -4.28%K -57.82%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -0.633%E -0.075%K -0.084%G +0.000%4.4%2026-11-08 19:10
Fanatics🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.63%E -4.28%K -57.82%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -0.633%E -0.075%K -0.084%G +0.000%4.4%2026-11-08 19:00
PlayUp🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.63%E -4.28%K -57.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -6.48%E -0.810%K -0.926%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-08 19:10
Bet Right🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.63%E -4.28%K -57.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -6.48%E -0.810%K -0.926%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-08 18:29
Coolbet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.63%E -4.28%K -57.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -6.48%E -0.810%K -0.926%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-08 18:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.69%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -6.48%E -0.810%K -0.926%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-08 19:10
FanDuel🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.36%EV -2.86%E -2.60%K -28.59%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.64%EV -11.15%E -1.47%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-08 17:10
Coral🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.69%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -12.32%E -1.64%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-08 18:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.69%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -12.32%E -1.64%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-08 18:29
Neds🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.93%EV -3.74%E -3.43%K -41.58%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.07%EV -15.25%E -2.10%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-08 18:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.93%EV -3.74%E -3.43%K -41.58%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.07%EV -15.25%E -2.10%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-08 18:29
theScore Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -2.86%E -2.60%K -28.59%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -18.17%E -2.60%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-08 19:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -3.74%E -3.43%K -41.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -18.17%E -2.60%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-08 17:20
betfred_uk🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.63%E -4.28%K -57.82%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -18.17%E -2.60%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-08 18:29
Paddy Power🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 86.85%EV -6.39%E -6.03%K -106.53%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -18.17%E -2.60%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-08 17:15
ReBet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.83%EV -3.74%E -3.43%K -41.58%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.17%EV -22.84%E -3.46%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-08 18:30
SportsBet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -4.63%E -4.28%K -57.82%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -24.01%E -3.69%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.0%2026-11-08 17:10
LeoVegas🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.27%EV -4.63%E -4.28%K -57.82%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV -26.94%E -4.31%K -5.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-08 17:20
picklebet_au🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 83.71%EV -5.51%E -5.15%K -78.69%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.29%EV -35.70%E -6.49%K -7.93%G +0.000%11.6%2026-11-08 16:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.12I 89.29%NM 87.29%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.71%2.3%2026-11-08 17:50
Polymarket◎1.10I 90.91%NM 85.84%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.16%5.9%2026-11-08 19:50
Novig◎1.06I 94.34%NM 65.36%2.00I 50.00%NM 34.64%44.3%2026-11-08 19:35
ProphetX◎1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%100.0%2026-11-08 18:05

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