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Louisiana Tech Bulldogs v Northwestern State Demons

2026-09-05 23:30 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (Local)

Prediction 99.50%1.00fair odd
EV +0.500%
Edge +0.495%
Kelly +50.00%
Growth +0.250%

assuming max odds 1.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
93.38%99.50%99.50%99.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.001.001.001.01100.00%99.50%99.50%99.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Northwestern State Demons (Visit)

Prediction 0.50%202.00fair odd
EV -0.495%
Edge -0.002%
Kelly -0.002%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 201.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
0.50%0.50%0.50%6.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
14.25107.63107.63201.007.02%0.93%0.93%0.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (Local): 99.50%; Northwestern State Demons (Visit): 0.50%. For Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.00. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 1.01, producing a positive expected value of +0.500%.

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Betr (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.38%EV +0.500%E +0.495%K +50.00%G +0.250%14.25I 7.02%NM 6.62%EV -92.95%E -6.52%K -7.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-29 05:44
Fanatics🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 99.50%EV -0.495%E -0.495%K +0.000%G +0.000%201.00I 0.50%NM 0.50%EV -0.495%E -0.002%K -0.002%G +0.000%0.5%2026-08-17 17:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Arbitrage (1 combination) +0.50%Betr (AU) 1.01 (99.5%) / Fanatics 201.00 (0.5%)Show details
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (Local)Northwestern State Demons (Visit)Margin
Betr (AU)🎯 1.01 (99.5%)Fanatics🎯 201.00 (0.5%)+0.495%

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