Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs v Louisiana Ragin Cajuns

2026-10-10 23:30 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (Local)

Prediction 54.00%1.85fair odd
EV -3.87%
Edge -2.18%
Kelly -4.96%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.60%54.01%54.04%54.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.751.761.7858.14%57.02%56.82%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Louisiana Ragin Cajuns (Visit)

Prediction 46.00%2.17fair odd
EV -3.41%
Edge -1.62%
Kelly -3.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.60%45.99%45.96%46.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.042.052.1050.00%48.91%48.78%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (Local): 54.00%; Louisiana Ragin Cajuns (Visit): 46.00%. For Louisiana Ragin Cajuns (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.17. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.10, with an expected value of -3.41%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.87%E -2.18%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.25%E -2.55%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-04 19:00
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.41%E -2.49%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.41%E -1.62%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-04 19:00
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.41%E -2.49%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.41%E -1.62%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-04 18:55
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.41%E -2.49%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.71%E -2.78%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 19:00
Neds🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.41%E -2.49%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.71%E -2.78%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 19:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.41%E -2.49%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.71%E -2.78%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 19:05
Caesars🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.95%E -2.81%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.41%E -1.62%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-04 18:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -5.49%E -3.14%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -6.17%E -3.02%K -5.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-04 18:55
ReBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -6.03%E -3.47%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.28%EV -7.09%E -3.51%K -6.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-04 18:54
SportsBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.60%EV -6.03%E -3.47%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.40%EV -7.55%E -3.76%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-04 19:00
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.57%E -3.80%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.01%E -4.00%K -8.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-04 18:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.57%E -3.80%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.01%E -4.00%K -8.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-04 18:55
LeoVegas🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -7.11%E -4.14%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -8.01%E -4.00%K -8.01%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-04 18:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-10-04 18:50
Novig◎1.82I 54.95%NM 53.09%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.91%3.5%2026-10-04 19:00