Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs v Army Black Knights

2026-10-03 23:30 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

39%

61%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (Local)

Prediction 39.18%2.55fair odd

EV -2.05%

Edge -0.820%

Kelly -1.37%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

38.42%39.22%39.22%40.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.352.422.402.5042.55%41.39%41.67%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Army Black Knights (Visit)

Prediction 60.82%1.64fair odd

EV -2.08%

Edge -1.29%

Kelly -3.41%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

59.85%60.78%60.78%61.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.531.561.561.6165.36%63.98%64.10%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (Local): 39.18%; Army Black Knights (Visit): 60.82%. For Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.55. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.50, with an expected value of -2.05%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
DraftKings🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.05%E -0.820%K -1.37%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.12%E -3.28%K -9.14%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-09-27 19:25
Fanatics🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.05%E -0.820%K -1.37%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.12%E -3.28%K -9.14%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-09-27 19:30
Caesars🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -4.01%E -1.64%K -2.76%G +0.000%	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.90%E -2.47%K -6.73%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-09-27 18:08
MyBookie.ag🎯	2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -4.79%E -1.97%K -3.35%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.12%E -3.28%K -9.14%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-27 19:24
theScore Bet🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -5.97%E -2.49%K -4.26%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.08%E -1.29%K -3.41%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-09-27 19:25
FanDuel🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.97%E -2.49%K -4.26%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.30%E -2.07%K -5.59%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-09-27 19:30
Unibet (UK)🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.97%E -2.49%K -4.26%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.73%E -3.70%K -10.42%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-09-27 19:20
ReBet🎯	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -6.75%E -2.84%K -4.89%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -6.34%E -4.11%K -11.74%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-09-27 19:20
SportsBet🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.93%E -3.37%K -5.87%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.73%E -3.70%K -10.42%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-09-27 19:25
LeoVegas🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -7.93%E -3.37%K -5.87%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.95%E -4.54%K -13.10%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-09-27 19:20

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Kalshi◎	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%	1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%	2.9%	2026-09-27 19:50
Novig◎	2.44I 40.98%NM 38.85%	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.15%	5.5%	2026-09-27 19:25
ProphetX◎	2.27I 44.05%NM 40.42%	1.54I 64.94%NM 59.58%	9.0%	2026-09-27 19:30