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Louisiana Ragin Cajuns v Arkansas State Red Wolves
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Louisiana Ragin Cajuns (Local)
Prediction 64.10%1.56fair odd
EV -1.92%
Edge -1.26%
Kelly -3.63%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.53
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.81%64.23%64.20%66.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.491.501.5369.93%67.26%66.89%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Arkansas State Red Wolves (Visit)
Prediction 35.90%2.79fair odd
EV +0.510%
Edge +0.182%
Kelly +0.283%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 2.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.81%35.77%35.80%37.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.632.632.8040.00%37.98%38.10%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Louisiana Ragin Cajuns (Local): 64.10%; Arkansas State Red Wolves (Visit): 35.90%. For Arkansas State Red Wolves (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.79. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.510%.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -7.05%E -4.86%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV +0.510%E +0.182%K +0.283%G +0.001% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 21:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -7.69%E -5.34%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV +0.510%E +0.182%K +0.283%G +0.001% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 21:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -8.33%E -5.83%K -19.38%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +0.510%E +0.182%K +0.283%G +0.001% | 5.6% | 2026-10-03 23:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.22%EV -3.20%E -2.12%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.78%EV -2.72%E -1.00%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-10-03 23:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.84%E -2.56%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.08%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-03 23:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.84%E -2.56%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.08%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-03 23:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.84%E -2.56%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.08%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-03 23:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.84%E -2.56%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.08%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-03 23:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.49%E -3.01%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.08%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-03 21:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.05%E -4.86%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.08%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-03 23:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -4.49%E -3.01%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -3.80%E -1.42%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-03 23:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -5.13%E -3.46%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -4.16%E -1.56%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-03 23:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.64%EV -2.56%E -1.69%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.36%EV -4.52%E -1.70%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-03 21:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.64%EV -2.56%E -1.69%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.36%EV -4.52%E -1.70%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-03 20:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -1.92%E -1.26%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -4.87%E -1.84%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-10-03 21:01 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.84%E -2.56%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.87%E -1.84%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-04 00:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.84%E -2.56%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.87%E -1.84%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-03 23:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.13%E -3.46%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.87%E -1.84%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 23:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.13%E -3.46%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.87%E -1.84%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 00:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.77%E -3.92%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.87%E -1.84%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-03 23:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.77%E -3.92%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.87%E -1.84%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-04 00:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.46%EV -2.56%E -1.69%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.54%EV -5.23%E -1.98%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-03 20:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.13%EV -6.41%E -4.39%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 35.87%EV -6.31%E -2.42%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-03 23:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.84%E -2.56%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.67%E -2.57%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 23:35 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.84%E -2.56%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.67%E -2.57%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 23:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.84%E -2.56%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.67%E -2.57%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 23:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.84%E -2.56%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.67%E -2.57%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 23:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.84%E -2.56%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.67%E -2.57%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 23:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.84%E -2.56%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.67%E -2.57%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 23:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.84%E -2.56%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.67%E -2.57%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 23:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.84%E -2.56%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.67%E -2.57%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 23:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.84%E -2.56%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.67%E -2.57%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 23:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -4.49%E -3.01%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -6.67%E -2.57%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-03 23:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -4.49%E -3.01%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -6.67%E -2.57%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-03 23:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.13%E -3.46%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.67%E -2.57%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-03 23:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.05%E -4.86%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.67%E -2.57%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-04 00:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.46%EV -5.13%E -3.46%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.54%EV -7.75%E -3.01%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-03 23:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.84%E -2.56%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.46%E -3.32%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-03 23:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.84%E -2.56%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.46%E -3.32%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-03 23:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.05%E -4.86%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -8.46%E -3.32%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-03 23:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.05%E -4.86%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -8.46%E -3.32%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-03 23:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.13%E -3.46%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -10.26%E -4.10%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-03 23:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.13%E -3.46%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -10.26%E -4.10%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-04 00:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.13%E -3.46%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -10.26%E -4.10%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-03 23:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-10-04 00:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-10-03 23:59 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-10-03 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.14% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.86% | 1.0% | 2026-10-04 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.14% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.86% | 1.0% | 2026-10-04 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.14% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.86% | 1.0% | 2026-10-04 00:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.45% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.55% | 1.2% | 2026-10-04 00:00 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.13% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.87% | 1.7% | 2026-10-03 23:50 |