Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Louisiana Ragin Cajuns v Arkansas State Red Wolves

2026-10-04 00:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

66%

34%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Louisiana Ragin Cajuns (Local)

Prediction 66.31%1.51fair odd

EV -0.540%

Edge -0.360%

Kelly -1.08%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

64.29%66.20%66.97%68.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.381.421.401.5072.46%70.42%71.43%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Arkansas State Red Wolves (Visit)

Prediction 33.69%2.97fair odd

EV +0.744%

Edge +0.249%

Kelly +0.374%

Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 2.99

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

31.89%33.80%33.03%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.702.872.902.9937.04%34.86%34.48%33.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Louisiana Ragin Cajuns (Local): 66.31%; Arkansas State Red Wolves (Visit): 33.69%. For Arkansas State Red Wolves (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.97. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.99, producing a positive expected value of +0.744%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 68.11%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.93%G +0.000%	2.99I 33.44%NM 31.89%EV +0.744%E +0.249%K +0.374%G +0.003%	4.9%	2026-09-27 19:54
FanDuel🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -5.84%E -4.12%K -13.92%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -0.604%E -0.205%K -0.310%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-09-27 19:50
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.93%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -0.604%E -0.205%K -0.310%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-27 19:54
Fanatics🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.29%E -0.789%K -1.20%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-09-27 19:54
ReBet🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -8.50%E -6.16%K -22.36%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -2.29%E -0.789%K -1.20%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-09-27 19:54
SportsBet🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -8.50%E -6.16%K -22.36%G +0.000%	2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -2.96%E -1.03%K -1.58%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-09-27 19:55
LeoVegas🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -8.50%E -6.16%K -22.36%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -3.97%E -1.39%K -2.15%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-09-27 19:55
theScore Bet🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -0.540%E -0.360%K -1.08%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -9.03%E -3.34%K -5.31%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-09-27 19:55
DraftKings🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -1.20%E -0.808%K -2.46%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -9.03%E -3.34%K -5.31%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-09-27 19:50

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Novig◎	1.00I 100.00%NM 68.94%	2.22I 45.05%NM 31.06%	45.0%	2026-09-27 19:55