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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Liberty Flames v Ball State Cardinals

开赛时间： 2026-09-19 20:00 UTC

最终结果： Liberty Flames 51–15 Ball State Cardinals

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

41 家博彩公司 (13 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Liberty Flames (主队)

预测 83.02%1.20公平赔率
EV -0.382%
优势 -0.318%
Kelly -1.91%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.20

博彩公司预测分布
78.38%82.78%83.21%85.41%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.111.141.141.2090.09%87.61%87.72%83.33%最小值均值中位数最大值

Ball State Cardinals (客队)

预测 16.98%5.89公平赔率
EV +10.40%
优势 +1.60%
Kelly +1.89%
增长率 +0.197%

假设最高赔率为 6.50

博彩公司预测分布
14.59%17.22%16.79%21.62%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.355.745.756.5022.99%17.43%17.39%15.38%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Liberty Flames (主队)：83.02%；Ball State Cardinals (客队)：16.98%。 对于“Ball State Cardinals (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.89。 当时有13家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为6.50，对应+10.40%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (41 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
Svenska Spel🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -7.02%E -6.27%K -58.52%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +10.40%E +1.60%K +1.89%G +0.197%4.7%2026-09-19 19:15
Bally Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -7.02%E -6.27%K -58.52%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +10.40%E +1.60%K +1.89%G +0.197%4.7%2026-09-19 19:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -7.02%E -6.27%K -58.52%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +10.40%E +1.60%K +1.89%G +0.197%4.7%2026-09-19 19:15
betPARX🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -7.02%E -6.27%K -58.52%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +10.40%E +1.60%K +1.89%G +0.197%4.7%2026-09-19 19:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -7.85%E -7.07%K -71.39%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +10.40%E +1.60%K +1.89%G +0.197%5.5%2026-09-19 19:15
BetRivers🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -7.85%E -7.07%K -71.39%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +10.40%E +1.60%K +1.89%G +0.197%5.5%2026-09-19 19:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -7.85%E -7.07%K -71.39%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +10.40%E +1.60%K +1.89%G +0.197%5.5%2026-09-19 19:15
Unibet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -7.85%E -7.07%K -71.39%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +10.40%E +1.60%K +1.89%G +0.197%5.5%2026-09-19 19:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -7.85%E -7.07%K -71.39%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +10.40%E +1.60%K +1.89%G +0.197%5.5%2026-09-19 19:15
Betway🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.36%E -4.70%K -38.30%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +1.91%E +0.318%K +0.382%G +0.007%4.4%2026-09-17 20:15
BetAnything🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.36%E -4.70%K -38.30%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +1.91%E +0.318%K +0.382%G +0.007%4.4%2026-09-19 14:01
Unibet (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.19%E -5.48%K -47.64%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +1.91%E +0.318%K +0.382%G +0.007%5.2%2026-09-17 20:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.19%E -5.48%K -47.64%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +1.91%E +0.318%K +0.382%G +0.007%5.2%2026-09-17 20:14
Pinnacle🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.59%EV -4.53%E -3.94%K -30.22%G +0.000%5.86I 17.06%NM 16.41%EV -0.470%E -0.080%K -0.097%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-19 19:44
Fliff🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.36%E -4.70%K -38.30%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -1.49%E -0.257%K -0.310%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-19 19:49
MyBookie.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.36%E -4.70%K -38.30%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -1.49%E -0.257%K -0.310%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-19 15:48
BetOnline.ag🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -4.53%E -3.94%K -30.22%G +0.000%5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -2.17%E -0.376%K -0.456%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-19 14:01
LowVig.ag🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -4.53%E -3.94%K -30.22%G +0.000%5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -2.17%E -0.376%K -0.456%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-19 14:01
BetMGM🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.21%EV -3.70%E -3.19%K -23.14%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV -2.34%E -0.407%K -0.492%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-19 19:49
GTbets🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -4.53%E -3.94%K -30.22%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -2.34%E -0.407%K -0.492%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-19 19:49
BetUS🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -4.53%E -3.94%K -30.22%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -2.34%E -0.407%K -0.492%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-19 14:01
Bovada🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.36%E -4.70%K -38.30%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -2.34%E -0.407%K -0.492%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-19 19:47
DraftKings🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -4.53%E -3.94%K -30.22%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV -3.19%E -0.559%K -0.678%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-19 14:01
Everygame🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -4.53%E -3.94%K -30.22%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV -3.19%E -0.559%K -0.678%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-17 17:05
LeoVegas🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.36%E -4.70%K -38.30%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -4.89%E -0.872%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-19 14:01
Coolbet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.53%E -3.94%K -30.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.58%E -1.20%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-19 14:01
Bet Right🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.53%E -3.94%K -30.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.58%E -1.20%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-19 14:01
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.53%E -3.94%K -30.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.58%E -1.20%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-19 14:01
Betr (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.36%E -4.70%K -38.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.58%E -1.20%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-19 18:49
FanDuel🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -3.70%E -3.19%K -23.14%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -8.28%E -1.53%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-19 17:25
Betsson🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.70%E -3.19%K -23.14%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -9.98%E -1.88%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-19 19:49
NordicBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.19%EV -5.36%E -4.70%K -38.30%G +0.000%5.26I 19.01%NM 17.81%EV -10.66%E -2.03%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-19 19:54
PlayUp🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -3.70%E -3.19%K -23.14%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -10.83%E -2.06%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-17 17:05
Neds🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.53%E -3.94%K -30.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -10.83%E -2.06%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-19 18:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.53%E -3.94%K -30.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -10.83%E -2.06%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-19 19:49
Dabble (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.53%E -3.94%K -30.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -10.83%E -2.06%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-19 19:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.29%EV -6.19%E -5.48%K -47.64%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -10.83%E -2.06%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 19:49
SportsBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -5.36%E -4.70%K -38.30%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -11.68%E -2.25%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-19 14:01
theScore Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.87%E -2.45%K -16.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -15.08%E -3.02%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-19 17:29
TAB🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -3.70%E -3.19%K -23.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -15.08%E -3.02%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-14 23:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -0.382%E -0.318%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -26.12%E -6.00%K -7.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 19:49
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
BetOpenly◎1.18I 84.75%NM 84.64%6.50I 15.38%NM 15.36%0.1%2026-09-19 19:49
ProphetX◎1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57%0.4%2026-09-19 19:44
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%0.7%2026-09-19 19:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%0.7%2026-09-19 19:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%0.7%2026-09-19 19:49
Matchbook◎1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%0.7%2026-09-19 19:34