Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.27
assuming max odds 4.60
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kentucky Wildcats (Local): 77.74%; Vanderbilt Commodores (Visit): 22.26%. For Vanderbilt Commodores (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.49. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.41%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.72%E -5.60%K -33.58%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +2.41%E +0.524%K +0.670%G +0.016% | 5.1% | 2026-10-24 22:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.72%E -5.60%K -33.58%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +2.41%E +0.524%K +0.670%G +0.016% | 5.1% | 2026-10-24 22:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.72%E -5.60%K -33.58%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +2.41%E +0.524%K +0.670%G +0.016% | 5.1% | 2026-10-24 22:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.72%E -5.60%K -33.58%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +2.41%E +0.524%K +0.670%G +0.016% | 5.1% | 2026-10-24 22:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.72%E -5.60%K -33.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +0.184%E +0.041%K +0.053%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-24 22:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.72%E -5.60%K -33.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +0.184%E +0.041%K +0.053%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-24 22:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.72%E -5.60%K -33.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +0.184%E +0.041%K +0.053%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-24 22:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.72%E -5.60%K -33.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +0.184%E +0.041%K +0.053%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-24 22:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.72%E -5.60%K -33.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +0.184%E +0.041%K +0.053%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-24 22:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.72%E -5.60%K -33.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +0.184%E +0.041%K +0.053%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-24 22:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.21%EV -3.61%E -2.91%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.79%EV -0.929%E -0.209%K -0.269%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-10-24 23:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.35%EV -4.38%E -3.56%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.65%EV -0.929%E -0.209%K -0.269%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-24 23:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.31%EV -4.38%E -3.56%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 4.44I 22.52%NM 21.69%EV -1.15%E -0.259%K -0.335%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-24 23:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.31%EV -4.38%E -3.56%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 4.44I 22.52%NM 21.69%EV -1.15%E -0.259%K -0.335%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-24 23:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.38%E -3.56%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.04%E -0.464%K -0.601%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-24 23:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.38%E -3.56%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.04%E -0.464%K -0.601%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-18 21:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.16%E -4.23%K -23.46%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -2.04%E -0.464%K -0.601%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-24 23:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.16%E -4.23%K -23.46%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -2.04%E -0.464%K -0.601%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-20 01:13 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.16%E -4.23%K -23.46%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -2.04%E -0.464%K -0.601%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-24 23:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -7.49%E -6.30%K -39.44%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -2.04%E -0.464%K -0.601%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-24 23:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.61%E -2.91%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -4.27%E -0.993%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-24 23:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.61%E -2.91%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -4.27%E -0.993%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-24 23:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -4.38%E -3.56%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -4.27%E -0.993%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-24 23:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.16%E -4.23%K -23.46%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.27%E -0.993%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-20 15:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.16%E -4.23%K -23.46%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.27%E -0.993%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-20 15:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.16%E -4.23%K -23.46%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -5.38%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-24 23:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.72%E -5.60%K -33.58%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -5.38%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-24 23:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.76%EV -5.94%E -4.91%K -28.28%G +0.000% | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.24%EV -5.83%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-24 23:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.61%E -2.91%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -6.49%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-24 20:22 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.38%E -3.56%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.49%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-24 23:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -5.16%E -4.23%K -23.46%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -7.61%E -1.83%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-24 23:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.61%E -2.91%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -8.72%E -2.13%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-24 23:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.61%E -2.91%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -8.72%E -2.13%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-24 23:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.16%E -4.23%K -23.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -8.72%E -2.13%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-24 23:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -5.94%E -4.91%K -28.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -8.72%E -2.13%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-24 23:35 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.61%E -2.91%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -10.95%E -2.74%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-24 13:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.61%E -2.91%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -10.95%E -2.74%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-24 23:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.16%E -4.23%K -23.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.95%E -2.74%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-24 23:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.72%E -5.60%K -33.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.95%E -2.74%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-24 23:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.72%E -5.60%K -33.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.95%E -2.74%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-24 23:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -9.05%E -7.73%K -53.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -10.95%E -2.74%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-24 23:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.70%EV -6.72%E -5.60%K -33.58%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -12.06%E -3.05%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-24 23:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -5.16%E -4.23%K -23.46%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -15.40%E -4.05%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-24 23:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -2.83%E -2.26%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -16.51%E -4.40%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-24 23:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -2.83%E -2.26%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -16.51%E -4.40%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-24 23:25 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -1.27%E -1.00%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -17.63%E -4.76%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-24 23:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -2.83%E -2.26%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -19.85%E -5.51%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-24 23:23 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -2.83%E -2.26%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -19.85%E -5.51%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-24 23:19 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.55% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 21.45% | 0.2% | 2026-10-24 23:30 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82% | 0.7% | 2026-10-24 23:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-10-24 23:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50% | 1.1% | 2026-10-24 23:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50% | 1.1% | 2026-10-24 23:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50% | 1.1% | 2026-10-24 23:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.13% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88% | 1.6% | 2026-10-24 23:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.45% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55% | 2.0% | 2026-10-24 23:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24% | 4.6% | 2026-10-24 23:29 |