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Kentucky Wildcats v South Alabama Jaguars
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Kentucky Wildcats (Local)
Prediction 90.13%1.11fair odd
EV -2.66%
Edge -2.46%
Kelly -33.20%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.08
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
86.85%89.96%90.22%91.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.031.061.061.0897.09%94.51%94.34%92.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
South Alabama Jaguars (Visit)
Prediction 9.87%10.14fair odd
EV +8.53%
Edge +0.775%
Kelly +0.853%
Growth +0.073%
assuming max odds 11.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.56%10.04%9.78%13.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.009.379.5011.0014.29%10.67%10.53%9.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kentucky Wildcats (Local): 90.13%; South Alabama Jaguars (Visit): 9.87%. For South Alabama Jaguars (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 10.14. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 11.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.53%.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.36%E -5.10%K -107.19%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +8.53%E +0.775%K +0.853%G +0.073% | 4.3% | 2026-09-26 16:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -7.16%E -6.95%K -238.75%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +8.53%E +0.775%K +0.853%G +0.073% | 6.2% | 2026-09-26 06:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.14%EV -5.36%E -5.10%K -107.19%G +0.000% | 10.80I 9.26%NM 8.86%EV +6.56%E +0.607%K +0.669%G +0.044% | 4.5% | 2026-09-26 16:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.75%EV -3.56%E -3.32%K -50.81%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.25%EV +3.60%E +0.343%K +0.379%G +0.014% | 3.0% | 2026-09-26 16:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.54%EV -5.36%E -5.10%K -107.19%G +0.000% | 10.05I 9.95%NM 9.46%EV -0.843%E -0.084%K -0.093%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-26 16:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.33%EV -3.56%E -3.32%K -50.81%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.67%EV -1.34%E -0.134%K -0.148%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-26 12:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.46%E -4.21%K -74.31%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -1.34%E -0.134%K -0.148%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-25 11:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.36%E -5.10%K -107.19%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -1.34%E -0.134%K -0.148%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-21 21:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.36%E -5.10%K -107.19%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -1.34%E -0.134%K -0.148%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-22 16:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.36%E -5.10%K -107.19%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -1.34%E -0.134%K -0.148%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-21 21:24 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.36%E -5.10%K -107.19%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -1.34%E -0.134%K -0.148%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-22 16:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.36%E -5.10%K -107.19%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -1.34%E -0.134%K -0.148%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-22 16:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.36%E -5.10%K -107.19%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -1.34%E -0.134%K -0.148%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-22 16:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.36%E -5.10%K -107.19%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -1.34%E -0.134%K -0.148%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-22 16:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.26%E -6.02%K -156.53%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -1.34%E -0.134%K -0.148%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-22 16:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.26%E -6.02%K -156.53%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -1.34%E -0.134%K -0.148%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-22 16:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.10%EV -3.56%E -3.32%K -50.81%G +0.000% | 9.74I 10.27%NM 9.90%EV -3.90%E -0.401%K -0.446%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-21 18:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.10%EV -3.56%E -3.32%K -50.81%G +0.000% | 9.74I 10.27%NM 9.90%EV -3.90%E -0.401%K -0.446%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-21 18:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.02%EV -3.56%E -3.32%K -50.81%G +0.000% | 9.65I 10.36%NM 9.98%EV -4.79%E -0.496%K -0.554%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-22 00:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.00%EV -3.56%E -3.32%K -50.81%G +0.000% | 9.63I 10.38%NM 10.00%EV -4.99%E -0.518%K -0.578%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-26 12:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -3.56%E -3.32%K -50.81%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV -6.27%E -0.660%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-25 17:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.46%E -4.21%K -74.31%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -6.27%E -0.660%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-25 11:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.46%E -4.21%K -74.31%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -6.27%E -0.660%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-24 20:25 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.82%EV -4.46%E -4.21%K -74.31%G +0.000% | 9.35I 10.70%NM 10.18%EV -7.75%E -0.829%K -0.928%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-26 16:28 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.72%EV -4.46%E -4.21%K -74.31%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.28%EV -8.74%E -0.944%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-26 16:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.72%EV -4.46%E -4.21%K -74.31%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.28%EV -8.74%E -0.944%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-26 16:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -5.36%E -5.10%K -107.19%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -8.74%E -0.944%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-26 16:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -2.66%E -2.46%K -33.20%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV -11.20%E -1.24%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-26 15:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.56%E -3.32%K -50.81%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -11.20%E -1.24%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-26 14:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.36%E -5.10%K -107.19%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -11.20%E -1.24%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-26 16:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.34%EV -5.36%E -5.10%K -107.19%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.66%EV -13.18%E -1.50%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-26 16:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -3.56%E -3.32%K -50.81%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -13.67%E -1.56%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-21 20:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.88%EV -3.56%E -3.32%K -50.81%G +0.000% | 8.55I 11.70%NM 11.12%EV -15.64%E -1.83%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-26 16:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.56%E -3.32%K -50.81%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -16.14%E -1.90%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-26 05:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.56%E -3.32%K -50.81%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -16.14%E -1.90%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-26 15:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.36%E -5.10%K -107.19%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -16.14%E -1.90%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-20 23:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.36%E -5.10%K -107.19%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -16.14%E -1.90%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-26 16:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.36%E -5.10%K -107.19%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -16.14%E -1.90%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-26 16:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.52%EV -3.56%E -3.32%K -50.81%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -18.60%E -2.25%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-26 14:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.46%E -4.21%K -74.31%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -21.07%E -2.63%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-26 06:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.85%EV -4.46%E -4.21%K -74.31%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -30.94%E -4.42%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-26 16:33 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.85%EV -4.46%E -4.21%K -74.31%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -30.94%E -4.42%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-26 16:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 91.07% | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.93% | 0.7% | 2026-09-26 15:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 91.07% | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.93% | 0.7% | 2026-09-26 16:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26% | 0.9% | 2026-09-26 04:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26% | 0.9% | 2026-09-26 04:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26% | 0.9% | 2026-09-26 04:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26% | 0.9% | 2026-09-26 11:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.41% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.59% | 1.3% | 2026-09-26 16:35 |