Language:English
Kentucky Wildcats v LSU Tigers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Kentucky Wildcats (Local)
Prediction 25.66%3.90fair odd
EV +2.65%
Edge +0.662%
Kelly +0.883%
Growth +0.023%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.52%25.70%25.60%26.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.753.754.0028.57%26.67%26.67%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
LSU Tigers (Visit)
Prediction 74.34%1.35fair odd
EV -2.62%
Edge -2.00%
Kelly -8.44%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.31
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.20%74.30%74.40%76.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.271.281.3181.97%78.71%78.13%76.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kentucky Wildcats (Local): 25.66%; LSU Tigers (Visit): 74.34%. For Kentucky Wildcats (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.90. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.65%.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +2.65%E +0.662%K +0.883%G +0.023% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.82%E -6.31%K -32.59%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-10 23:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +2.65%E +0.662%K +0.883%G +0.023% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.82%E -6.31%K -32.59%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-10 23:01 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +2.65%E +0.662%K +0.883%G +0.023% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.82%E -6.31%K -32.59%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-10 23:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +2.65%E +0.662%K +0.883%G +0.023% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.82%E -6.31%K -32.59%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-10 22:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +2.65%E +0.662%K +0.883%G +0.023% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.82%E -6.31%K -32.59%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-10 23:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +2.65%E +0.662%K +0.883%G +0.023% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.82%E -6.31%K -32.59%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-10 23:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +2.65%E +0.662%K +0.883%G +0.023% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.82%E -6.31%K -32.59%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-10 23:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV +2.65%E +0.662%K +0.883%G +0.023% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -8.56%E -6.96%K -37.24%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-10 23:01 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV +2.65%E +0.662%K +0.883%G +0.023% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -8.56%E -6.96%K -37.24%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-10 23:01 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.87I 25.84%NM 25.00%EV -0.688%E -0.178%K -0.240%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.00%EV -4.10%E -3.18%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-10 22:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -1.20%E -0.312%K -0.422%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -4.85%E -3.79%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-10 21:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -1.20%E -0.312%K -0.422%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -5.59%E -4.40%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-10 22:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -2.48%E -0.654%K -0.887%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.10%E -3.18%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-10 20:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -2.48%E -0.654%K -0.887%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.10%E -3.18%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-10 13:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -2.48%E -0.654%K -0.887%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.10%E -3.18%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-10 13:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -2.48%E -0.654%K -0.887%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.85%E -3.79%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-10 23:01 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -2.48%E -0.654%K -0.887%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.85%E -3.79%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -2.48%E -0.654%K -0.887%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.85%E -3.79%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.77%E -1.00%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.10%E -3.18%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.77%E -1.00%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.10%E -3.18%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.77%E -1.00%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.10%E -3.18%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.77%E -1.00%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.10%E -3.18%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-10 20:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.77%E -1.00%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.59%E -4.40%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-10 23:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -3.77%E -1.00%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -6.33%E -5.03%K -24.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-10 22:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.65%EV -4.02%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.35%EV -4.10%E -3.18%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.65%EV -4.02%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.35%EV -4.10%E -3.18%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.05%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.85%E -3.79%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-10 22:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.05%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.85%E -3.79%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-10 22:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -5.05%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -6.33%E -5.03%K -24.36%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-10 23:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -5.05%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.08%E -5.66%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-10 14:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -6.33%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -3.36%E -2.58%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-10 22:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -6.33%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.59%E -4.40%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-10 21:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -7.62%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -2.62%E -2.00%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-10 22:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.62%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.10%E -3.18%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-10 23:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -7.62%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.85%E -3.79%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -7.62%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.85%E -3.79%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -7.62%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.85%E -3.79%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-10 19:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -7.62%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.85%E -3.79%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-10 15:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.62%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.33%E -5.03%K -24.36%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-10 23:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -7.62%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -9.31%E -7.63%K -42.31%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-10 15:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.13%EV -7.87%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.87%EV -5.59%E -4.40%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-10 23:03 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -8.90%E -2.51%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.36%E -2.58%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-10 23:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -8.90%E -2.51%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.36%E -2.58%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-10 22:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -8.90%E -2.51%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -5.59%E -4.40%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-10 23:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -10.18%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.08%E -5.66%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-10 22:48 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -10.18%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.08%E -5.66%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-10 22:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 0.6% | 2026-10-10 23:05 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 4.12I 24.27%NM 24.13% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.87% | 0.6% | 2026-10-10 22:59 |
| Polymarket◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-10-10 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.95% | 1.1% | 2026-10-10 23:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 1.2% | 2026-10-10 23:05 |
| Novig◎ | 3.92I 25.51%NM 25.19% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.81% | 1.3% | 2026-10-10 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.90% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.10% | 1.7% | 2026-10-10 23:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.90% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.10% | 1.7% | 2026-10-10 23:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.90% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.10% | 1.7% | 2026-10-10 22:59 |