Language:English
Kentucky Wildcats v Alabama Crimson Tide
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Kentucky Wildcats (Local)
Prediction 24.69%4.05fair odd
EV +1.24%
Edge +0.302%
Kelly +0.400%
Growth +0.005%
assuming max odds 4.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.36%24.99%24.49%29.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.793.854.1031.25%26.39%25.97%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Alabama Crimson Tide (Visit)
Prediction 75.31%1.33fair odd
EV -0.594%
Edge -0.450%
Kelly -1.86%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.32
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.95%75.01%75.51%76.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.271.271.3283.33%79.00%78.74%75.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kentucky Wildcats (Local): 24.69%; Alabama Crimson Tide (Visit): 75.31%. For Kentucky Wildcats (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.05. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.24%.
Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV +1.24%E +0.302%K +0.400%G +0.005% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.87%E -4.69%K -23.46%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-12 19:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.09I 24.45%NM 23.55%EV +0.993%E +0.243%K +0.321%G +0.003% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.45%EV -5.11%E -4.06%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-12 19:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.91%EV -0.982%E -0.245%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.09%EV -5.11%E -4.06%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-12 19:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -1.23%E -0.307%K -0.410%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.36%E -3.43%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-12 18:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -1.23%E -0.307%K -0.410%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -5.11%E -4.06%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-12 19:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.23%E -0.307%K -0.410%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.87%E -4.69%K -23.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-12 19:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.99I 25.06%NM 24.14%EV -1.48%E -0.370%K -0.494%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.86%EV -4.36%E -3.43%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-12 18:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.99I 25.06%NM 24.14%EV -1.48%E -0.370%K -0.494%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.86%EV -4.36%E -3.43%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-12 18:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.97I 25.19%NM 24.24%EV -1.97%E -0.496%K -0.663%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.76%EV -4.36%E -3.43%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-12 18:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -2.46%E -0.624%K -0.835%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -4.36%E -3.43%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-12 18:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -3.70%E -0.948%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.36%E -3.43%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-12 19:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.41%EV -4.44%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.59%EV -5.87%E -4.69%K -23.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-12 19:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -4.93%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -3.61%E -2.82%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-12 19:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -4.93%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -3.61%E -2.82%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-12 19:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -4.93%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -3.61%E -2.82%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-12 19:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -4.93%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -3.61%E -2.82%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-12 19:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -4.93%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -6.62%E -5.34%K -27.58%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-12 19:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -4.93%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -6.62%E -5.34%K -27.58%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-12 19:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -4.93%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -7.37%E -5.99%K -32.05%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-12 18:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -4.93%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.94%EV -8.13%E -6.66%K -36.93%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-12 19:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -4.93%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.24%EV -9.63%E -8.03%K -48.16%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-12 19:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -6.17%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.36%E -3.43%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-12 19:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -6.17%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.36%E -3.43%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-12 19:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -7.40%E -1.97%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -2.85%E -2.21%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-12 15:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -7.40%E -1.97%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.61%E -2.82%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-12 19:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -7.40%E -1.97%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.11%E -4.06%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-12 15:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -7.40%E -1.97%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.11%E -4.06%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-12 19:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -8.64%E -2.33%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.61%E -2.82%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-12 19:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -8.64%E -2.33%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.61%E -2.82%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-12 19:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -8.64%E -2.33%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -5.11%E -4.06%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-12 19:27 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.64%E -2.33%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.87%E -4.69%K -23.46%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-12 15:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.64%E -2.33%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.87%E -4.69%K -23.46%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-12 19:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.64%E -2.33%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.87%E -4.69%K -23.46%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-12 19:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.51%EV -9.13%E -2.48%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.49%EV -5.11%E -4.06%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-12 19:40 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -11.11%E -3.09%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.61%E -2.82%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-12 15:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -11.11%E -3.09%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.11%E -4.06%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-12 19:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -16.04%E -4.72%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -0.594%E -0.450%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-12 19:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -16.04%E -4.72%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -2.10%E -1.62%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-12 19:33 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -16.04%E -4.72%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -2.10%E -1.62%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-12 19:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -20.98%E -6.56%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.95%EV -1.35%E -1.03%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-12 19:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.91% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 76.09% | 0.3% | 2026-09-12 18:43 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 0.9% | 2026-09-12 19:29 |
| Kalshi◎ | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26% | 1.1% | 2026-09-12 19:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06% | 1.4% | 2026-09-12 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60% | 1.5% | 2026-09-12 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60% | 1.5% | 2026-09-12 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.20% | 2.0% | 2026-09-12 19:40 |