Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kentucky Wildcats v Alabama Crimson Tide

2026-09-12 19:30 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

26 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kentucky Wildcats (Local)

Prediction 22.40%4.46fair odd
EV +0.802%
Edge +0.178%
Kelly +0.229%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.91%22.26%22.35%24.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.854.304.304.5025.97%23.25%23.26%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Alabama Crimson Tide (Visit)

Prediction 77.60%1.29fair odd
EV -3.78%
Edge -3.05%
Kelly -15.74%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.24

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.64%77.74%77.65%79.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.191.211.211.2484.03%82.36%82.64%80.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Kentucky Wildcats (Local): 22.40%; Alabama Crimson Tide (Visit): 77.60%. For Kentucky Wildcats (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.46. 10 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.50, producing a positive expected value of +0.802%.

Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +0.802%E +0.178%K +0.229%G +0.002%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.10%E -5.05%K -29.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-06 14:55
betPARX🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +0.802%E +0.178%K +0.229%G +0.002%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.88%E -5.73%K -34.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 14:55
Svenska Spel🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +0.802%E +0.178%K +0.229%G +0.002%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.88%E -5.73%K -34.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 14:55
ATG (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +0.802%E +0.178%K +0.229%G +0.002%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.88%E -5.73%K -34.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 14:55
Bally Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +0.802%E +0.178%K +0.229%G +0.002%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.88%E -5.73%K -34.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 14:55
BetRivers🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV +0.802%E +0.178%K +0.229%G +0.002%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -7.66%E -6.43%K -40.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 14:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV +0.802%E +0.178%K +0.229%G +0.002%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -7.66%E -6.43%K -40.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 14:55
Unibet (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV +0.802%E +0.178%K +0.229%G +0.002%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -7.66%E -6.43%K -40.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 14:55
Unibet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV +0.802%E +0.178%K +0.229%G +0.002%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -7.66%E -6.43%K -40.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 14:54
Unibet (NL)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV +0.802%E +0.178%K +0.229%G +0.002%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -7.66%E -6.43%K -40.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 14:55
BetMGM🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 22.26%EV -3.01%E -0.694%K -0.903%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.74%EV -3.78%E -3.05%K -15.74%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-06 15:24
FanDuel🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -3.68%E -0.855%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -4.55%E -3.70%K -19.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 12:30
Fliff🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -3.68%E -0.855%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.33%E -4.37%K -24.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-06 14:55
Unibet (UK)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -3.68%E -0.855%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -6.10%E -5.05%K -29.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 14:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -4.80%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.55%E -3.70%K -19.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 12:30
Bet Right🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -4.80%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.55%E -3.70%K -19.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 12:30
DraftKings🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.78%E -3.05%K -15.74%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 04:20
theScore Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.78%E -3.05%K -15.74%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 15:30
Coolbet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.55%E -3.70%K -19.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 12:30
SportsBet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.88%E -5.73%K -34.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 12:28
ReBet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.88%E -5.73%K -34.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 14:55
Betr (AU)🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -7.04%E -1.70%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -5.33%E -4.37%K -24.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 12:30
LeoVegas🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.88%E -5.73%K -34.40%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-06 14:55
Neds🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.78%E -3.05%K -15.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 15:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.78%E -3.05%K -15.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 15:20
Dabble (AU)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -13.76%E -3.57%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -3.78%E -3.05%K -15.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 13:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82%1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18%0.7%2026-09-06 12:35
Novig4.55I 21.98%NM 21.69%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.31%1.3%2026-09-06 15:35