Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kent State Golden Flashes v Ball State Cardinals

Kickoff: 2026-09-26 16:02 UTC

Final: Kent State Golden Flashes 26–13 Ball State Cardinals

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

42 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kent State Golden Flashes (Local)

Prediction 56.01%1.79fair odd
EV -0.862%
Edge -0.487%
Kelly -1.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.09%55.97%55.81%57.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.691.691.7762.11%59.13%59.17%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Ball State Cardinals (Visit)

Prediction 43.99%2.27fair odd
EV +0.296%
Edge +0.130%
Kelly +0.231%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.57%44.03%44.19%45.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.162.152.2848.78%46.36%46.51%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kent State Golden Flashes (Local): 56.01%; Ball State Cardinals (Visit): 43.99%. For Ball State Cardinals (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.27. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.28, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.296%.

Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -5.34%E -3.16%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV +0.296%E +0.130%K +0.231%G +0.001%3.0%2026-09-26 15:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.34%E -3.16%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.02%E -0.455%K -0.819%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-26 15:49
ReBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -5.34%E -3.16%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -2.34%E -1.06%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-26 15:49
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.22%E -2.47%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.22%E -1.46%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-26 16:00
BetUS🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.22%E -2.47%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.22%E -1.46%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-26 15:55
BetAnything🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.22%E -2.47%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.22%E -1.46%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-26 15:15
MyBookie.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.90%E -3.51%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.22%E -1.46%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-26 15:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.46%E -3.87%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.22%E -1.46%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-26 15:49
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.90%E -3.51%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.10%E -1.88%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-26 14:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.90%E -3.51%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.10%E -1.88%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-26 14:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.90%E -3.51%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.10%E -1.88%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-26 14:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.90%E -3.51%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.10%E -1.88%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-26 14:40
Bally Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.90%E -3.51%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.10%E -1.88%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-26 14:39
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.90%E -3.51%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.10%E -1.88%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-26 14:39
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -6.46%E -3.87%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -4.10%E -1.88%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-26 15:55
DraftKings🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%EV -8.14%E -4.97%K -12.72%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV -4.10%E -1.88%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-26 16:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.90%E -3.51%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.54%E -2.09%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-26 16:01
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.90%E -3.51%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.54%E -2.09%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-26 16:02
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.22%E -2.47%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -4.98%E -2.31%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-26 16:00
Unibet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.40%EV -6.46%E -3.87%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.60%EV -4.98%E -2.31%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-26 14:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.54%E -1.46%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-26 15:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.54%E -1.46%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-26 15:50
Coolbet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.22%E -2.47%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-26 15:50
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.22%E -2.47%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-26 15:55
Neds🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.78%E -2.81%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-26 15:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.78%E -2.81%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-26 15:59
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.78%E -2.81%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-26 15:50
Dabble (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.78%E -2.81%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-26 15:50
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.34%E -3.16%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-26 15:59
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -9.82%E -6.10%K -16.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-26 15:51
betano_uk🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -9.82%E -6.10%K -16.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-26 15:52
GTbets🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -5.90%E -3.51%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -5.86%E -2.74%K -5.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-26 16:00
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.66%E -2.13%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.74%E -3.18%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-26 16:00
SportsBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.82%EV -6.46%E -3.87%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.18%EV -7.18%E -3.40%K -6.47%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-26 16:00
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -0.862%E -0.487%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-26 15:58
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.78%E -2.81%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-26 15:50
NordicBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.78%E -2.81%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-26 15:59
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.78%E -2.81%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-26 15:55
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.46%E -3.87%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-26 14:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.46%E -3.87%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-26 15:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -3.66%E -2.13%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -8.94%E -4.32%K -8.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-26 15:55
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -2.54%E -1.46%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.82%E -4.79%K -9.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-26 16:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.74I 57.47%NM 57.25%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.75%0.4%2026-09-26 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-09-26 16:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-09-26 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-09-26 16:00
ProphetX◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%2.0%2026-09-26 16:00
BetOpenly◎1.71I 58.48%NM 56.60%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.40%3.3%2026-09-26 15:50