Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kennesaw State Owls v Liberty Flames

2026-10-22 23:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kennesaw State Owls (Local)

Prediction 23.51%4.25fair odd
EV -3.59%
Edge -0.876%
Kelly -1.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.22%23.51%23.51%25.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.914.004.1028.57%25.59%25.00%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Liberty Flames (Visit)

Prediction 76.49%1.31fair odd
EV -4.39%
Edge -3.51%
Kelly -17.57%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.47%76.49%76.49%76.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.231.231.2583.33%81.63%81.30%80.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Kennesaw State Owls (Local): 23.51%; Liberty Flames (Visit): 76.49%. For Kennesaw State Owls (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.25. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.10, with an expected value of -3.59%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.59%E -0.876%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.39%E -3.51%K -17.57%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-15 18:45
MyBookie.ag🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.59%E -0.876%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.16%E -4.16%K -21.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-15 19:10
Unibet (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -5.94%E -1.49%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.16%E -4.16%K -21.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-15 19:10
SportsBet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.94%E -1.49%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.69%E -5.48%K -30.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-15 18:35
Paddy Power🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -11.82%E -3.15%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -8.22%E -6.85%K -41.09%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-15 18:34
picklebet_au🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -17.70%E -5.06%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 74.47%EV -8.22%E -6.85%K -41.09%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-15 23:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎4.35I 22.99%NM 22.60%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.40%1.7%2026-10-16 00:40
Polymarket◎4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%6.3%2026-10-15 23:05
Novig◎3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.94%7.9%2026-10-15 21:33