Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kennesaw State Owls v Georgia State Panthers

Kickoff: 2026-09-12 23:02 UTC

Final: Kennesaw State Owls 17–31 Georgia State Panthers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

43 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kennesaw State Owls (Local)

Prediction 72.52%1.38fair odd
EV +2.25%
Edge +1.60%
Kelly +5.49%
Growth +0.123%

assuming max odds 1.41

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.67%72.11%72.55%75.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.321.321.4180.00%75.85%75.76%70.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Georgia State Panthers (Visit)

Prediction 27.48%3.64fair odd
EV +3.06%
Edge +0.816%
Kelly +1.11%
Growth +0.034%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.00%27.89%27.45%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.823.403.453.7535.46%29.37%28.99%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kennesaw State Owls (Local): 72.52%; Georgia State Panthers (Visit): 27.48%. For Georgia State Panthers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.64. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.06%.

Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Marathon Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.67%EV +2.25%E +1.60%K +5.49%G +0.123%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.33%EV -22.50%E -7.98%K -12.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-12 22:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -1.38%E -1.01%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -17.55%E -5.85%K -8.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-12 23:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -2.10%E -1.56%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -10.68%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-12 22:45
Neds🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -2.10%E -1.56%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -10.68%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-12 22:45
BetMGM🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -2.83%E -2.11%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-12 22:45
theScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.55%E -2.67%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -3.81%E -1.09%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-12 16:25
BetUS🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.55%E -2.67%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -3.81%E -1.09%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-12 21:41
Everygame🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.55%E -2.67%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -3.81%E -1.09%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-12 21:43
GTbets🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.55%E -2.67%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -5.19%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-12 21:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.55%E -2.67%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -5.19%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-12 21:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.55%E -2.67%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -5.19%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-12 21:45
BetAnything🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.55%E -2.67%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-12 22:59
MyBookie.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.64%EV -3.55%E -2.67%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.36%EV -7.66%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-12 21:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.55%E -2.67%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -7.93%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 21:35
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.55%E -2.67%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -7.93%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 14:20
Dabble (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.55%E -2.67%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-12 21:35
betano_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -3.55%E -2.67%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -17.55%E -5.85%K -8.78%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-12 22:49
Bet Victor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -3.55%E -2.67%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -17.55%E -5.85%K -8.78%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-12 22:48
Pinnacle🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 73.06%EV -4.28%E -3.24%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.94%EV -1.61%E -0.451%K -0.625%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-12 22:45
Bovada🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -4.28%E -3.24%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -2.44%E -0.687%K -0.956%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-12 22:49
betPARX🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.28%E -3.24%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.81%E -1.09%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 21:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.28%E -3.24%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.81%E -1.09%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 21:30
Fanatics🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.28%E -3.24%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.81%E -1.09%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 21:25
FanDuel🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.28%E -3.24%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.19%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 16:25
TAB🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -4.28%E -3.24%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-12 14:20
DraftKings🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.00%E -3.82%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -1.06%E -0.295%K -0.409%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-12 23:00
Caesars🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.00%E -3.82%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.81%E -1.09%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-12 21:27
Fliff🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.00%E -3.82%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -5.19%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 22:20
Bet Right🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.73%E -4.41%K -19.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.44%E -0.687%K -0.956%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 22:59
Bally Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.73%E -4.41%K -19.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.44%E -0.687%K -0.956%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 23:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.73%E -4.41%K -19.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.44%E -0.687%K -0.956%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 23:00
Coolbet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.73%E -4.41%K -19.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.81%E -1.09%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-12 22:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.73%E -4.41%K -19.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.81%E -1.09%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-12 23:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.73%E -4.41%K -19.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.19%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-12 22:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.73%E -4.41%K -19.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.19%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-12 21:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.73%E -4.41%K -19.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.19%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-12 21:31
BetRivers🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.73%E -4.41%K -19.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.19%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-12 21:29
SportsBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -5.73%E -4.41%K -19.09%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -8.76%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 14:50
LeoVegas🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.73%E -4.41%K -19.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 22:59
Unibet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.45%E -5.00%K -22.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.81%E -1.09%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-12 23:00
Betsson🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.67%EV -6.45%E -5.00%K -22.25%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.33%EV -5.74%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-12 23:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.45%E -5.00%K -22.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-12 23:00
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -9.35%E -7.48%K -37.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +3.06%E +0.816%K +1.11%G +0.034%6.7%2026-09-12 23:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.65%3.64I 27.47%NM 27.35%0.5%2026-09-12 22:58
Matchbook◎1.34I 74.63%NM 73.41%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59%1.7%2026-09-12 22:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.34I 74.63%NM 73.41%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59%1.7%2026-09-12 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.34I 74.63%NM 73.41%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59%1.7%2026-09-12 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.34I 74.63%NM 73.41%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59%1.7%2026-09-12 23:00
ProphetX◎1.34I 74.63%NM 73.15%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.85%2.0%2026-09-12 23:00