Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kansas State Wildcats v Washington State Cougars

Kickoff: 2026-09-12 16:02 UTC

Final: Kansas State Wildcats 34–7 Washington State Cougars

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

46 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kansas State Wildcats (Local)

Prediction 87.17%1.15fair odd
EV -2.36%
Edge -2.11%
Kelly -19.71%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
84.92%87.05%87.21%88.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.071.091.091.1293.46%91.43%91.74%89.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Washington State Cougars (Visit)

Prediction 12.83%7.80fair odd
EV +7.74%
Edge +0.921%
Kelly +1.05%
Growth +0.081%

assuming max odds 8.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.39%12.95%12.79%15.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.257.277.298.4016.00%13.75%13.71%11.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kansas State Wildcats (Local): 87.17%; Washington State Cougars (Visit): 12.83%. For Washington State Cougars (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.80. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.74%.

Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.61%EV -5.85%E -5.42%K -73.15%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.39%EV +7.74%E +0.921%K +1.05%G +0.081%4.5%2026-09-12 16:01
BetMGM🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%EV -4.11%E -3.73%K -41.08%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV +2.61%E +0.326%K +0.372%G +0.010%3.4%2026-09-12 16:00
ReBet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.98%E -4.57%K -55.33%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +2.61%E +0.326%K +0.372%G +0.010%4.2%2026-09-12 15:20
theScore Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.85%E -5.42%K -73.15%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +2.61%E +0.326%K +0.372%G +0.010%5.1%2026-09-12 15:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.80%EV -6.72%E -6.28%K -96.05%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.20%EV -1.24%E -0.161%K -0.185%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-12 15:20
Pinnacle🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.44%EV -4.11%E -3.73%K -41.08%G +0.000%7.66I 13.05%NM 12.56%EV -1.76%E -0.229%K -0.264%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-12 15:45
Fliff🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.46%EV -4.98%E -4.57%K -55.33%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.54%EV -2.52%E -0.332%K -0.383%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-12 15:59
MyBookie.ag🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.46%EV -4.98%E -4.57%K -55.33%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.54%EV -2.52%E -0.332%K -0.383%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-12 15:24
Fanatics🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -3.24%E -2.92%K -29.42%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV -3.81%E -0.508%K -0.586%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-12 14:20
DraftKings🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.11%E -3.73%K -41.08%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -3.81%E -0.508%K -0.586%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-12 16:01
Caesars🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.11%E -3.73%K -41.08%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -3.81%E -0.508%K -0.586%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-07 17:10
Coolbet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.98%E -4.57%K -55.33%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.81%E -0.508%K -0.586%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 14:20
Bet Right🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.98%E -4.57%K -55.33%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.81%E -0.508%K -0.586%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.98%E -4.57%K -55.33%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.81%E -0.508%K -0.586%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.98%E -4.57%K -55.33%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.81%E -0.508%K -0.586%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 14:20
BetRivers🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.98%E -4.57%K -55.33%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.81%E -0.508%K -0.586%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 14:19
Bally Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.98%E -4.57%K -55.33%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.81%E -0.508%K -0.586%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 14:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.98%E -4.57%K -55.33%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.81%E -0.508%K -0.586%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 14:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.98%E -4.57%K -55.33%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.81%E -0.508%K -0.586%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 14:20
betPARX🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.98%E -4.57%K -55.33%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.81%E -0.508%K -0.586%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.85%E -5.42%K -73.15%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -3.81%E -0.508%K -0.586%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-12 14:19
Unibet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.85%E -5.42%K -73.15%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -3.81%E -0.508%K -0.586%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-12 14:20
LeoVegas🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.11%EV -5.85%E -5.42%K -73.15%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.89%EV -6.37%E -0.873%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-12 15:20
Betsson🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.10%EV -5.85%E -5.42%K -73.15%G +0.000%7.29I 13.72%NM 12.90%EV -6.50%E -0.892%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-12 16:00
NordicBet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.10%EV -5.85%E -5.42%K -73.15%G +0.000%7.29I 13.72%NM 12.90%EV -6.50%E -0.892%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-12 16:01
BetAnything🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.72%EV -3.24%E -2.92%K -29.42%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.28%EV -7.01%E -0.967%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-12 14:20
Everygame🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.72%EV -3.24%E -2.92%K -29.42%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.28%EV -7.01%E -0.967%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-12 14:18
Bovada🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -4.11%E -3.73%K -41.08%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV -7.01%E -0.967%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 14:18
Neds🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.93%EV -4.98%E -4.57%K -55.33%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.07%EV -7.01%E -0.967%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-12 15:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.93%EV -4.98%E -4.57%K -55.33%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.07%EV -7.01%E -0.967%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-12 15:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.71%EV -3.24%E -2.92%K -29.42%G +0.000%7.24I 13.81%NM 13.29%EV -7.14%E -0.986%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-12 16:01
LowVig.ag🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.71%EV -3.24%E -2.92%K -29.42%G +0.000%7.24I 13.81%NM 13.29%EV -7.14%E -0.986%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-12 16:00
GTbets🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.94%EV -5.85%E -5.42%K -73.15%G +0.000%7.19I 13.91%NM 13.06%EV -7.78%E -1.08%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-12 16:01
BetUS🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.24%E -2.92%K -29.42%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -10.22%E -1.46%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-12 14:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.98%E -4.57%K -55.33%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -10.22%E -1.46%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-12 14:20
SportsBet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.85%E -5.42%K -73.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -10.22%E -1.46%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-12 16:01
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.85%E -5.42%K -73.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -10.22%E -1.46%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-12 16:00
William Hill🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.85%E -5.42%K -73.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -10.22%E -1.46%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -2.36%E -2.11%K -19.71%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -13.43%E -1.99%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-12 16:00
PlayUp🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.24%E -2.92%K -29.42%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -13.43%E -1.99%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-12 15:05
Dabble (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.24%E -2.92%K -29.42%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -16.63%E -2.56%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-12 14:20
Betway🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.11%E -3.73%K -41.08%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -16.63%E -2.56%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-12 16:00
TAB🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.11%E -3.73%K -41.08%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -16.63%E -2.56%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-08 02:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -3.24%E -2.92%K -29.42%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -19.84%E -3.17%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-12 16:00
betano_uk🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -4.11%E -3.73%K -41.08%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -19.84%E -3.17%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-12 15:45
Bet Victor🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -4.11%E -3.73%K -41.08%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -19.84%E -3.17%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-12 15:51
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 87.89%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11%0.7%2026-09-12 16:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%1.0%2026-09-12 16:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%1.0%2026-09-12 16:01
Matchbook1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%1.0%2026-09-12 15:59
ProphetX1.12I 89.29%NM 87.72%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.28%1.8%2026-09-12 16:01