Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kansas State Wildcats v Tulane Green Wave

Kickoff: 2026-09-19 16:05 UTC

Final: Kansas State Wildcats 31–20 Tulane Green Wave

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

47 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kansas State Wildcats (Local)

Prediction 89.97%1.11fair odd
EV -1.94%
Edge -1.78%
Kelly -21.51%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.09

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
87.31%89.86%89.93%91.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.041.061.061.0996.15%94.40%94.34%91.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tulane Green Wave (Visit)

Prediction 10.03%9.97fair odd
EV +10.36%
Edge +0.942%
Kelly +1.04%
Growth +0.107%

assuming max odds 11.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.71%10.14%10.07%12.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.509.359.5011.0013.33%10.70%10.53%9.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kansas State Wildcats (Local): 89.97%; Tulane Green Wave (Visit): 10.03%. For Tulane Green Wave (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.97. 14 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 11.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.36%.

Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.53%E -5.27%K -110.70%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +10.36%E +0.942%K +1.04%G +0.107%4.3%2026-09-17 17:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.53%E -5.27%K -110.70%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +10.36%E +0.942%K +1.04%G +0.107%4.3%2026-09-17 17:50
Bally Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.53%E -5.27%K -110.70%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +10.36%E +0.942%K +1.04%G +0.107%4.3%2026-09-17 17:50
betPARX🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.53%E -5.27%K -110.70%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +10.36%E +0.942%K +1.04%G +0.107%4.3%2026-09-17 17:54
theScore Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.53%E -5.27%K -110.70%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +10.36%E +0.942%K +1.04%G +0.107%4.3%2026-09-19 15:10
FanDuel🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.14%EV -5.53%E -5.27%K -110.70%G +0.000%10.80I 9.26%NM 8.86%EV +8.36%E +0.774%K +0.853%G +0.071%4.5%2026-09-19 15:06
Caesars🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -4.64%E -4.37%K -77.25%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV +5.35%E +0.509%K +0.563%G +0.030%3.9%2026-09-19 14:01
Unibet (NL)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -6.43%E -6.19%K -160.86%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV +5.35%E +0.509%K +0.563%G +0.030%5.7%2026-09-17 17:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -6.43%E -6.19%K -160.86%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV +5.35%E +0.509%K +0.563%G +0.030%5.7%2026-09-17 17:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -6.43%E -6.19%K -160.86%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV +5.35%E +0.509%K +0.563%G +0.030%5.7%2026-09-17 17:50
BetRivers🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -6.43%E -6.19%K -160.86%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV +5.35%E +0.509%K +0.563%G +0.030%5.7%2026-09-17 17:50
Unibet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -6.43%E -6.19%K -160.86%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV +5.35%E +0.509%K +0.563%G +0.030%5.7%2026-09-17 17:50
BetMGM🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 90.33%EV -3.74%E -3.49%K -53.36%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.67%EV +0.331%E +0.033%K +0.037%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-19 15:44
BetAnything🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.64%E -4.37%K -77.25%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +0.331%E +0.033%K +0.037%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-18 11:05
Fliff🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.41%EV -5.53%E -5.27%K -110.70%G +0.000%9.90I 10.10%NM 9.59%EV -0.672%E -0.068%K -0.075%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-19 15:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.49%EV -6.43%E -6.19%K -160.86%G +0.000%9.90I 10.10%NM 9.51%EV -0.672%E -0.068%K -0.075%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 14:00
BetUS🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 90.11%EV -3.74%E -3.49%K -53.36%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.89%EV -2.18%E -0.223%K -0.249%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-19 15:43
MyBookie.ag🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.04%EV -4.64%E -4.37%K -77.25%G +0.000%9.58I 10.44%NM 9.96%EV -3.88%E -0.405%K -0.452%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-19 15:53
BetOnline.ag🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.93%EV -3.74%E -3.49%K -53.36%G +0.000%9.56I 10.46%NM 10.07%EV -4.08%E -0.427%K -0.477%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-19 15:44
LowVig.ag🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.93%EV -3.74%E -3.49%K -53.36%G +0.000%9.56I 10.46%NM 10.07%EV -4.08%E -0.427%K -0.477%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-19 15:43
DraftKings🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -3.74%E -3.49%K -53.36%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV -4.69%E -0.493%K -0.551%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-18 10:54
GTbets🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -3.74%E -3.49%K -53.36%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV -4.69%E -0.493%K -0.551%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-19 15:44
Coolbet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.64%E -4.37%K -77.25%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -4.69%E -0.493%K -0.551%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-15 07:34
Bet Right🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.64%E -4.37%K -77.25%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -4.69%E -0.493%K -0.551%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-18 04:15
ReBet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.68%EV -3.74%E -3.49%K -53.36%G +0.000%9.30I 10.75%NM 10.32%EV -6.69%E -0.720%K -0.806%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-19 15:54
Neds🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.72%EV -4.64%E -4.37%K -77.25%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.28%EV -7.19%E -0.778%K -0.872%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-19 15:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.72%EV -4.64%E -4.37%K -77.25%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.28%EV -7.19%E -0.778%K -0.872%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-19 15:44
Pinnacle🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 89.43%EV -2.84%E -2.63%K -35.45%G +0.000%9.14I 10.94%NM 10.57%EV -8.30%E -0.908%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-19 15:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.74%E -3.49%K -53.36%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -9.70%E -1.08%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-19 14:01
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.74%E -3.49%K -53.36%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -9.70%E -1.08%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-18 05:09
Betsson🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.64%E -4.37%K -77.25%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -9.70%E -1.08%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-19 15:59
NordicBet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.34%EV -5.53%E -5.27%K -110.70%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.66%EV -11.71%E -1.33%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 15:59
Everygame🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -3.74%E -3.49%K -53.36%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -12.21%E -1.40%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-16 16:08
Bovada🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.74%E -3.49%K -53.36%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -14.72%E -1.73%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-19 14:01
Betr (AU)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.64%E -4.37%K -77.25%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -14.72%E -1.73%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-19 15:39
SportsBet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.53%E -5.27%K -110.70%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -14.72%E -1.73%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-19 15:01
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.53%E -5.27%K -110.70%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -14.72%E -1.73%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-19 15:59
Coral🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.53%E -5.27%K -110.70%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -14.72%E -1.73%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-19 15:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.53%E -5.27%K -110.70%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -14.72%E -1.73%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-19 15:44
LeoVegas🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.61%EV -4.64%E -4.37%K -77.25%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.39%EV -17.23%E -2.09%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-19 14:01
Betway🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -3.74%E -3.49%K -53.36%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -19.73%E -2.47%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-19 15:59
William Hill🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.64%E -4.37%K -77.25%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -19.73%E -2.47%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-16 20:00
PlayUp🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -1.94%E -1.78%K -21.51%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -24.75%E -3.30%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-19 15:39
Dabble (AU)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -2.84%E -2.63%K -35.45%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -24.75%E -3.30%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-19 14:01
TAB🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -2.84%E -2.63%K -35.45%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -24.75%E -3.30%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-16 01:25
Bet Victor🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -4.64%E -4.37%K -77.25%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -24.75%E -3.30%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-19 15:52
betano_uk🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -4.64%E -4.37%K -77.25%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -24.75%E -3.30%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-18 05:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX◎1.08I 92.59%NM 91.41%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.59%1.3%2026-09-19 15:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.08I 92.59%NM 91.06%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.94%1.7%2026-09-19 15:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.08I 92.59%NM 91.06%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.94%1.7%2026-09-19 15:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.08I 92.59%NM 91.06%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.94%1.7%2026-09-19 15:59
Matchbook◎1.08I 92.59%NM 91.06%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.94%1.7%2026-09-19 15:59