Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kansas State Wildcats v Kansas Jayhawks

2026-10-17 16:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kansas State Wildcats (Local)

Prediction 74.75%1.34fair odd
EV -4.32%
Edge -3.38%
Kelly -15.44%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.45%74.75%74.75%75.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.271.271.271.2878.74%78.43%78.43%78.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kansas Jayhawks (Visit)

Prediction 25.25%3.96fair odd
EV -2.78%
Edge -0.722%
Kelly -0.975%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.95%25.25%25.25%25.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.703.783.783.8527.03%26.49%26.49%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Kansas State Wildcats (Local): 74.75%; Kansas Jayhawks (Visit): 25.25%. For Kansas Jayhawks (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.96. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.85, with an expected value of -2.78%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -4.32%E -3.38%K -15.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -2.78%E -0.722%K -0.975%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-28 17:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.07%E -3.99%K -18.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.57%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-28 17:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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