Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kansas State Wildcats v Kansas Jayhawks

2026-10-17 16:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

72%

28%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kansas State Wildcats (Local)

Prediction 71.96%1.39fair odd

EV -4.30%

Edge -3.23%

Kelly -13.03%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

71.73%71.96%71.96%72.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.311.321.321.3376.34%75.76%75.76%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kansas Jayhawks (Visit)

Prediction 28.04%3.57fair odd

EV -1.84%

Edge -0.527%

Kelly -0.737%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

27.23%28.04%28.04%28.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.353.433.453.5029.85%29.13%28.99%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Kansas State Wildcats (Local): 71.96%; Kansas Jayhawks (Visit): 28.04%. For Kansas Jayhawks (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.57. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.50, with an expected value of -1.84%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
DraftKings🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -4.30%E -3.23%K -13.03%G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -3.25%E -0.941%K -1.32%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-08-11 16:09
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.02%E -3.80%K -15.69%G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.05%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-11 16:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.74%E -4.38%K -18.51%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -1.84%E -0.527%K -0.737%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-08-11 16:10

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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