Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kansas State Wildcats v Houston Cougars

2026-10-10 19:30 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

21 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kansas State Wildcats (Local)

Prediction 53.78%1.86fair odd
EV -4.26%
Edge -2.39%
Kelly -5.47%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.44%53.92%53.66%55.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.751.741.7858.14%57.21%57.47%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Houston Cougars (Visit)

Prediction 46.22%2.16fair odd
EV -2.02%
Edge -0.955%
Kelly -1.81%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.94%46.08%46.34%46.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.072.062.1250.00%48.24%48.54%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Kansas State Wildcats (Local): 53.78%; Houston Cougars (Visit): 46.22%. For Houston Cougars (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.16. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.12, with an expected value of -2.02%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -4.26%E -2.39%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -4.80%E -2.33%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-04 07:05
Coolbet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.26%E -2.39%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.26%E -2.57%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-04 09:40
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.80%E -2.71%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.95%E -1.40%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-04 11:55
betfred_uk🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.80%E -2.71%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.26%E -2.57%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 09:40
Bet Right🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.80%E -2.71%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.26%E -2.57%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 09:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.80%E -2.71%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.26%E -2.57%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 09:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.34%E -3.03%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.26%E -2.57%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-04 09:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -5.34%E -3.03%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -6.65%E -3.29%K -6.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-04 12:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -5.88%E -3.36%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -5.72%E -2.80%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-04 07:10
ReBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%EV -5.88%E -3.36%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.54%EV -7.11%E -3.54%K -7.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-04 07:16
ATG (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -6.41%E -3.69%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -2.02%E -0.955%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-04 11:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -6.41%E -3.69%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -2.02%E -0.955%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-04 11:50
betPARX🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -6.41%E -3.69%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -2.02%E -0.955%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-04 11:49
Bally Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -6.41%E -3.69%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -2.02%E -0.955%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-04 11:54
SportsBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.60%EV -6.41%E -3.69%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.40%EV -7.11%E -3.54%K -7.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-04 11:13
Unibet (NL)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -6.95%E -4.02%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -2.02%E -0.955%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-04 11:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -6.95%E -4.02%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -2.02%E -0.955%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-04 11:49
BetRivers🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -6.95%E -4.02%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -2.02%E -0.955%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-04 11:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.49%E -4.35%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -2.95%E -1.40%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-04 11:49
Unibet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.49%E -4.35%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -2.95%E -1.40%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-04 11:49
LeoVegas🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -7.49%E -4.35%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -7.57%E -3.78%K -7.57%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-04 07:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%3.9%2026-10-04 13:15
Novig◎1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.50%6.7%2026-10-04 13:16