Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kansas State Wildcats v Houston Cougars

2026-10-10 19:30 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

39 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kansas State Wildcats (Local)

Prediction 56.15%1.78fair odd
EV -2.30%
Edge -1.32%
Kelly -3.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.62%56.04%56.27%56.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.701.701.7460.61%58.83%58.82%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Houston Cougars (Visit)

Prediction 43.85%2.28fair odd
EV -3.53%
Edge -1.60%
Kelly -2.94%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.08%43.96%43.73%46.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.152.152.2050.00%46.58%46.51%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Kansas State Wildcats (Local): 56.15%; Houston Cougars (Visit): 43.85%. For Kansas State Wildcats (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.78. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.74, with an expected value of -2.30%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
ATG (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.30%E -1.32%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -7.03%E -3.32%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-05 15:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.30%E -1.32%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -7.03%E -3.32%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-05 15:00
betPARX🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.30%E -1.32%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -7.03%E -3.32%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-05 15:00
Bally Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.30%E -1.32%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -7.03%E -3.32%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-05 15:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.30%E -1.32%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.91%E -3.77%K -7.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-04 14:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -2.86%E -1.66%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -7.03%E -3.32%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-05 15:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -2.86%E -1.66%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -7.03%E -3.32%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-05 15:00
BetRivers🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -2.86%E -1.66%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -7.03%E -3.32%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-05 15:00
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -2.86%E -1.66%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -12.30%E -6.15%K -12.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-04 07:09
Pinnacle🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -3.42%E -1.99%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -4.40%E -2.02%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-04 20:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.42%E -1.99%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.91%E -3.77%K -7.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-05 15:01
Unibet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.42%E -1.99%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.91%E -3.77%K -7.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-05 15:00
GTbets🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.99%E -2.33%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.53%E -1.60%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-04 21:00
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.99%E -2.33%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.53%E -1.60%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-05 13:55
Bovada🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.99%E -2.33%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.53%E -1.60%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-04 20:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.99%E -2.33%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.53%E -1.60%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-05 14:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.99%E -2.33%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.53%E -1.60%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-05 14:40
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.99%E -2.33%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-04 20:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -3.99%E -2.33%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -8.35%E -4.00%K -7.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-05 13:25
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.55%E -2.68%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.53%E -1.60%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-04 21:00
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.55%E -2.68%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.84%E -2.23%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-05 10:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.55%E -2.68%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 20:00
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.55%E -2.68%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-05 09:30
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.11%E -3.02%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.53%E -1.60%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-05 13:55
betfred_uk🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.11%E -3.02%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.53%E -1.60%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-05 13:55
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.11%E -3.02%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.53%E -1.60%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-05 13:55
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.11%E -3.02%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.53%E -1.60%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-04 18:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.11%E -3.02%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.40%E -2.02%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-05 14:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.67%E -3.38%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-05 14:00
Neds🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.67%E -3.38%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-05 13:55
Dabble (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.67%E -3.38%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-05 14:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.23%E -3.73%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-05 14:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.23%E -3.73%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-05 13:55
ReBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.20%EV -6.79%E -4.09%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.80%EV -6.60%E -3.10%K -5.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-05 14:55
Bet Right🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -7.36%E -4.46%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -4.40%E -2.02%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-05 13:59
SportsBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.36%E -4.46%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-05 13:55
LeoVegas🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.36%E -4.46%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.91%E -3.77%K -7.19%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-05 14:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.36%E -4.46%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.91%E -3.77%K -7.19%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-05 14:00
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.36%E -4.46%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.91%E -3.77%K -7.19%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-05 13:58
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.3%2026-10-05 09:55
Kalshi◎1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.9%2026-10-05 06:45
ProphetX◎1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%2.7%2026-10-05 13:40
Polymarket◎1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%4.2%2026-10-05 05:00