Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kansas Jayhawks v Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders

2026-10-03 16:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kansas Jayhawks (Local)

Prediction 90.48%1.11fair odd
EV -2.29%
Edge -2.12%
Kelly -28.57%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
86.85%90.18%90.33%92.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.041.061.061.0896.15%94.51%94.34%92.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (Visit)

Prediction 9.52%10.50fair odd
EV +14.29%
Edge +1.19%
Kelly +1.30%
Growth +0.186%

assuming max odds 12.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.98%9.82%9.67%13.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.009.199.0012.0014.29%10.88%11.11%8.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Kansas Jayhawks (Local): 90.48%; Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (Visit): 9.52%. For Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 10.50. 5 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 12.00, producing a positive expected value of +14.29%.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -5.00%E -4.76%K -100.00%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +14.29%E +1.19%K +1.30%G +0.186%3.6%2026-09-27 17:20
theScore Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.90%E -5.68%K -147.62%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +14.29%E +1.19%K +1.30%G +0.186%4.5%2026-09-27 17:39
BetMGM🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 91.56%EV -4.10%E -3.86%K -68.26%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.44%EV +9.53%E +0.828%K +0.907%G +0.086%3.0%2026-09-27 19:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.90%E -5.68%K -147.62%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV +0.002%E +0.000%K +0.000%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-27 19:20
Neds🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.90%E -5.68%K -147.62%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV +0.002%E +0.000%K +0.000%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-27 19:19
Fanatics🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 90.33%EV -3.19%E -2.98%K -45.58%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.67%EV -4.76%E -0.476%K -0.529%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-27 19:00
FanDuel🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.33%EV -4.10%E -3.86%K -68.26%G +0.000%9.90I 10.10%NM 9.67%EV -5.71%E -0.577%K -0.642%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-27 19:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -5.90%E -5.68%K -147.62%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -9.52%E -1.00%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-27 19:09
SportsBet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.00%E -4.76%K -100.00%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -19.05%E -2.24%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-27 19:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.49%EV -2.29%E -2.12%K -28.57%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.51%EV -20.95%E -2.52%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-27 19:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -3.19%E -2.98%K -45.58%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -23.81%E -2.98%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-27 17:19
William Hill🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -3.19%E -2.98%K -45.58%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -28.57%E -3.81%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-27 19:25
ReBet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -3.19%E -2.98%K -45.58%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -28.57%E -3.81%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-27 19:20
LeoVegas🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.22%EV -3.19%E -2.98%K -45.58%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.78%EV -30.47%E -4.17%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-27 19:25
betano_uk🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 86.85%EV -4.10%E -3.86%K -68.26%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -33.33%E -4.76%K -5.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-27 19:23
Bet Victor🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 86.85%EV -4.10%E -3.86%K -68.26%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -33.33%E -4.76%K -5.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-27 19:22
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.09I 91.74%NM 91.07%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.93%0.7%2026-09-27 18:05
Novig◎1.04I 96.15%NM 91.01%10.53I 9.50%NM 8.99%5.7%2026-09-27 19:15