Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kansas Jayhawks v LIU Sharks

Kickoff: 2026-09-05 00:00 UTC

Final: Kansas Jayhawks 51–6 LIU Sharks

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kansas Jayhawks (Local)

Prediction 96.36%1.04fair odd
EV -2.68%
Edge -2.65%
Kelly -267.52%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
92.31%96.36%97.27%99.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.001.001.001.01100.00%99.72%100.00%99.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

LIU Sharks (Visit)

Prediction 3.64%27.48fair odd
EV +631.40%
Edge +3.14%
Kelly +3.16%
Growth +19.93%

assuming max odds 201.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
0.50%3.64%2.73%7.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
12.0049.6131.00201.008.33%2.02%3.23%0.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kansas Jayhawks (Local): 96.36%; LIU Sharks (Visit): 3.64%. For LIU Sharks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 27.48. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 201.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +631.40%.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Unibet (UK)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 99.50%EV -3.64%E -3.64%K +0.000%G +0.000%201.00I 0.50%NM 0.50%EV +631.40%E +3.14%K +3.16%G +19.93%0.5%2026-09-01 18:14
William Hill🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -3.64%E -3.64%K +0.000%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +49.19%E +1.20%K +1.23%G +0.605%2.4%2026-08-31 03:59
Fanatics🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 97.27%EV -2.68%E -2.65%K -267.52%G +0.000%36.00I 2.78%NM 2.73%EV +31.00%E +0.861%K +0.886%G +0.275%1.8%2026-08-31 11:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 96.88%EV -3.64%E -3.64%K +0.000%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.13%EV +12.80%E +0.413%K +0.427%G +0.055%3.2%2026-08-31 04:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.38%EV -2.68%E -2.65%K -267.52%G +0.000%14.25I 7.02%NM 6.62%EV -48.15%E -3.38%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 07:14
Bet Victor🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 92.31%EV -3.64%E -3.64%K +0.000%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -56.33%E -4.69%K -5.12%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-04 01:20
betano_uk🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 92.31%EV -3.64%E -3.64%K +0.000%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -56.33%E -4.69%K -5.12%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-04 01:23
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.00I 100.00%NM 99.01%100.00I 1.00%NM 0.99%1.0%2026-09-02 15:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.01I 99.01%NM 97.41%38.00I 2.63%NM 2.59%1.6%2026-09-03 09:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.01I 99.01%NM 97.41%38.00I 2.63%NM 2.59%1.6%2026-09-03 10:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 97.41%38.00I 2.63%NM 2.59%1.6%2026-09-03 10:00