Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.12
assuming max odds 8.13
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: James Madison Dukes (Local): 87.17%; Troy Trojans (Visit): 12.83%. For Troy Trojans (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.79. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.13, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.34%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 88.08%EV -4.12%E -3.74%K -41.17%G +0.000% | 8.13I 12.30%NM 11.92%EV +4.34%E +0.534%K +0.609%G +0.026% | 3.2% | 2026-10-29 23:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.99%E -4.58%K -55.43%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +2.67%E +0.334%K +0.382%G +0.010% | 4.2% | 2026-10-29 23:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.99%E -4.58%K -55.43%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +2.67%E +0.334%K +0.382%G +0.010% | 4.2% | 2026-10-29 23:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.86%E -5.43%K -73.26%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +2.67%E +0.334%K +0.382%G +0.010% | 5.1% | 2026-10-29 23:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.86%E -5.43%K -73.26%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +2.67%E +0.334%K +0.382%G +0.010% | 5.1% | 2026-10-29 23:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.57%EV -4.12%E -3.74%K -41.17%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.43%EV -0.538%E -0.069%K -0.080%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-29 23:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.57%EV -4.12%E -3.74%K -41.17%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.43%EV -0.538%E -0.069%K -0.080%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-29 23:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.40%EV -3.25%E -2.92%K -29.51%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.60%EV -1.18%E -0.153%K -0.176%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-10-29 23:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.00%EV -8.48%E -8.07%K -169.51%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.00%EV -1.18%E -0.153%K -0.176%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-29 23:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.37%EV -4.12%E -3.74%K -41.17%G +0.000% | 7.61I 13.14%NM 12.63%EV -2.33%E -0.307%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-29 23:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.37%EV -4.12%E -3.74%K -41.17%G +0.000% | 7.61I 13.14%NM 12.63%EV -2.33%E -0.307%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-29 23:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -3.25%E -2.92%K -29.51%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV -3.75%E -0.499%K -0.576%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-29 23:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.12%E -3.74%K -41.17%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -3.75%E -0.499%K -0.576%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-29 23:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.12%E -3.74%K -41.17%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -3.75%E -0.499%K -0.576%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-29 23:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.99%E -4.58%K -55.43%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.75%E -0.499%K -0.576%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-29 23:34 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.99%E -4.58%K -55.43%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.75%E -0.499%K -0.576%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-29 23:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.99%E -4.58%K -55.43%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.75%E -0.499%K -0.576%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-29 23:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.99%E -4.58%K -55.43%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.75%E -0.499%K -0.576%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-29 23:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.73%E -6.29%K -96.17%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -3.75%E -0.499%K -0.576%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-29 23:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.24%EV -4.99%E -4.58%K -55.43%G +0.000% | 7.45I 13.42%NM 12.76%EV -4.39%E -0.589%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-29 23:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.10%EV -5.86%E -5.43%K -73.26%G +0.000% | 7.29I 13.72%NM 12.90%EV -6.44%E -0.884%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-29 23:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.59%EV -4.12%E -3.74%K -41.17%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.41%EV -8.88%E -1.25%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-29 23:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.80%EV -5.86%E -5.43%K -73.26%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.20%EV -8.88%E -1.25%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-29 23:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.12%E -3.74%K -41.17%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -10.16%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-29 23:08 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.12%E -3.74%K -41.17%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -10.16%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-29 23:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.12%E -3.74%K -41.17%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -10.16%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-29 23:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.12%E -3.74%K -41.17%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -10.16%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-29 23:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.99%E -4.58%K -55.43%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -10.16%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-29 23:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.86%E -5.43%K -73.26%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -10.16%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-29 23:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.86%E -5.43%K -73.26%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -10.16%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-29 23:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.86%E -5.43%K -73.26%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -10.16%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-29 23:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.86%E -5.43%K -73.26%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -10.16%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-29 23:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.86%E -5.43%K -73.26%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -10.16%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-29 23:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.12%E -3.74%K -41.17%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -13.37%E -1.98%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-29 23:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 86.65%EV -9.35%E -8.99%K -233.68%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.35%EV -13.37%E -1.98%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-10-29 23:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.68%EV -2.37%E -2.12%K -19.78%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.32%EV -14.01%E -2.09%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-29 23:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.25%E -2.92%K -29.51%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -16.58%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-29 23:35 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.12%E -3.74%K -41.17%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -16.58%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-29 23:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.12%E -3.74%K -41.17%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -16.58%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-29 23:14 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.12%E -3.74%K -41.17%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -16.58%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-29 23:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.12%E -3.74%K -41.17%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -16.58%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-29 23:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -4.99%E -4.58%K -55.43%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -16.58%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-29 23:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -5.86%E -5.43%K -73.26%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -16.58%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-29 23:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -5.86%E -5.43%K -73.26%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -16.58%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-29 23:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -4.12%E -3.74%K -41.17%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -19.79%E -3.17%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-29 23:18 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -3.25%E -2.92%K -29.51%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -23.00%E -3.83%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-29 23:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -3.25%E -2.92%K -29.51%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -23.00%E -3.83%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-29 23:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 84.75%EV -5.86%E -5.43%K -73.26%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -23.00%E -3.83%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-29 23:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 84.75%EV -5.86%E -5.43%K -73.26%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -23.00%E -3.83%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-29 23:10 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 89.47% | 9.52I 10.50%NM 10.53% | -0.2% | 2026-10-29 23:29 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 0.9% | 2026-10-29 23:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 0.9% | 2026-10-29 23:29 |
| Novig◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38% | 1.0% | 2026-10-29 23:35 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.15% | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.85% | 1.3% | 2026-10-29 23:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.15% | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.85% | 1.3% | 2026-10-29 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.54% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.46% | 2.9% | 2026-10-29 23:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.54% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.46% | 2.9% | 2026-10-29 23:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.26% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.74% | 3.2% | 2026-10-29 23:35 |