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James Madison Dukes v Marshall Thundering Herd
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
James Madison Dukes (Local)
Prediction 84.22%1.19fair odd
EV -1.46%
Edge -1.25%
Kelly -8.60%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.17
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
82.29%84.18%84.15%86.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.091.121.131.1791.74%89.11%88.50%85.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Marshall Thundering Herd (Visit)
Prediction 15.78%6.34fair odd
EV +10.46%
Edge +1.49%
Kelly +1.74%
Growth +0.182%
assuming max odds 7.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.47%15.82%15.85%17.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.256.196.227.0019.05%16.16%16.08%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: James Madison Dukes (Local): 84.22%; Marshall Thundering Herd (Visit): 15.78%. For Marshall Thundering Herd (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.34. 16 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.46%.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -7.36%E -6.69%K -73.58%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +10.46%E +1.49%K +1.74%G +0.182% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 19:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -7.36%E -6.69%K -73.58%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +10.46%E +1.49%K +1.74%G +0.182% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 19:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -7.36%E -6.69%K -73.58%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +10.46%E +1.49%K +1.74%G +0.182% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 19:32 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -7.36%E -6.69%K -73.58%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +10.46%E +1.49%K +1.74%G +0.182% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 19:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -7.36%E -6.69%K -73.58%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +10.46%E +1.49%K +1.74%G +0.182% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 19:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -7.36%E -6.69%K -73.58%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +10.46%E +1.49%K +1.74%G +0.182% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 19:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -7.36%E -6.69%K -73.58%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +10.46%E +1.49%K +1.74%G +0.182% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 19:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -7.36%E -6.69%K -73.58%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +10.46%E +1.49%K +1.74%G +0.182% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 19:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -8.20%E -7.52%K -91.11%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV +10.46%E +1.49%K +1.74%G +0.182% | 6.0% | 2026-10-03 19:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -8.20%E -7.52%K -91.11%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV +10.46%E +1.49%K +1.74%G +0.182% | 6.0% | 2026-10-03 19:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -5.67%E -5.07%K -47.28%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV +6.51%E +0.965%K +1.13%G +0.074% | 4.1% | 2026-10-03 14:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.40%EV -4.83%E -4.28%K -37.16%G +0.000% | 6.61I 15.13%NM 14.60%EV +4.30%E +0.651%K +0.767%G +0.033% | 3.6% | 2026-10-03 19:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.51%EV -5.67%E -5.07%K -47.28%G +0.000% | 6.61I 15.13%NM 14.49%EV +4.30%E +0.651%K +0.767%G +0.033% | 4.4% | 2026-10-03 15:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.67%E -5.07%K -47.28%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +2.57%E +0.395%K +0.467%G +0.012% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 15:25 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.67%E -5.07%K -47.28%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +2.57%E +0.395%K +0.467%G +0.012% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 15:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.87%EV -4.83%E -4.28%K -37.16%G +0.000% | 6.34I 15.77%NM 15.13%EV +0.042%E +0.007%K +0.008%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-03 19:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.79%EV -4.83%E -4.28%K -37.16%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.21%EV -0.589%E -0.093%K -0.111%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-03 19:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.91%EV -5.67%E -5.07%K -47.28%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.09%EV -0.589%E -0.093%K -0.111%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 19:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.57%EV -3.99%E -3.50%K -28.49%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.43%EV -1.38%E -0.220%K -0.262%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-03 19:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.83%E -4.28%K -37.16%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -1.38%E -0.220%K -0.262%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-03 19:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.83%E -4.28%K -37.16%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -1.38%E -0.220%K -0.262%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-03 19:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.67%E -5.07%K -47.28%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -1.38%E -0.220%K -0.262%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 19:34 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.74%EV -5.67%E -5.07%K -47.28%G +0.000% | 6.22I 16.08%NM 15.26%EV -1.85%E -0.298%K -0.355%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-03 19:38 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -3.99%E -3.50%K -28.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -5.32%E -0.887%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-03 15:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.83%E -4.28%K -37.16%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.32%E -0.887%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 14:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.83%E -4.28%K -37.16%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.32%E -0.887%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 19:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.83%E -4.28%K -37.16%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.32%E -0.887%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 19:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.83%E -4.28%K -37.16%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.32%E -0.887%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 19:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.83%E -4.28%K -37.16%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.32%E -0.887%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 19:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.67%E -5.07%K -47.28%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.32%E -0.887%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-03 15:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.18%EV -5.67%E -5.07%K -47.28%G +0.000% | 5.96I 16.78%NM 15.82%EV -5.95%E -0.999%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-03 19:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -4.83%E -4.28%K -37.16%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -8.48%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-03 19:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -4.83%E -4.28%K -37.16%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -8.48%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-03 19:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -5.67%E -5.07%K -47.28%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -8.48%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-03 19:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -4.83%E -4.28%K -37.16%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -11.63%E -2.08%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-03 16:08 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -1.46%E -1.25%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -13.21%E -2.40%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-03 15:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.15%E -2.74%K -20.98%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -13.21%E -2.40%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 19:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.99%E -3.50%K -28.49%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -13.21%E -2.40%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-03 19:35 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.99%E -3.50%K -28.49%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -13.21%E -2.40%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-03 19:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.99%E -3.50%K -28.49%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -13.21%E -2.40%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-03 14:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -6.52%E -5.87%K -59.23%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -13.21%E -2.40%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-03 19:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -6.52%E -5.87%K -59.23%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -13.21%E -2.40%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-03 19:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -4.83%E -4.28%K -37.16%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -14.79%E -2.74%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-03 14:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.29%EV -4.83%E -4.28%K -37.16%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -17.16%E -3.27%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-03 19:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.29%EV -4.83%E -4.28%K -37.16%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -17.16%E -3.27%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-03 19:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.99% | 7.12I 14.04%NM 14.01% | 0.3% | 2026-10-03 19:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 0.9% | 2026-10-03 19:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 0.9% | 2026-10-03 19:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.13% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.87% | 1.0% | 2026-10-03 19:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.19% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.81% | 1.2% | 2026-10-03 19:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.05% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95% | 1.4% | 2026-10-03 19:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.05% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95% | 1.4% | 2026-10-03 19:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.05% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95% | 1.4% | 2026-10-03 19:35 |