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James Madison Dukes v Georgia State Panthers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
James Madison Dukes (Local)
Prediction 74.13%1.35fair odd
EV +2.29%
Edge +1.66%
Kelly +6.04%
Growth +0.139%
assuming max odds 1.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.06%73.63%74.15%75.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.281.281.3881.97%77.89%78.13%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Georgia State Panthers (Visit)
Prediction 25.87%3.86fair odd
EV +1.42%
Edge +0.363%
Kelly +0.488%
Growth +0.007%
assuming max odds 3.92
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.62%26.37%25.85%31.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.943.643.673.9234.01%27.48%27.25%25.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: James Madison Dukes (Local): 74.13%; Georgia State Panthers (Visit): 25.87%. For James Madison Dukes (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.35. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.38, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.29%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.06%EV +2.29%E +1.66%K +6.04%G +0.139% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.94%EV -23.93%E -8.14%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-17 15:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -1.41%E -1.06%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -12.03%E -3.54%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-17 15:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -2.89%E -2.21%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV -5.56%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-17 15:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -2.89%E -2.21%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -6.86%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-17 15:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.84%EV -3.64%E -2.80%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV -5.04%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-17 13:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.84%EV -3.64%E -2.80%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV -5.04%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-17 13:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.64%E -2.80%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -6.86%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-17 14:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.64%E -2.80%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -6.86%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-17 15:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.64%E -2.80%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -6.86%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-17 15:54 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.64%E -2.80%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.44%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-17 14:25 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.64%E -2.80%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.44%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-17 15:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -3.64%E -2.80%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -15.91%E -4.90%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-17 15:53 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.38%E -3.39%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -1.68%E -0.442%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-17 14:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.38%E -3.39%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -1.68%E -0.442%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-17 13:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.38%E -3.39%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.97%E -0.793%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-17 13:44 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.38%E -3.39%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.97%E -0.793%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-17 14:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.38%E -3.39%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -4.27%E -1.15%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-17 15:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.38%E -3.39%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -4.27%E -1.15%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-17 14:25 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.83%EV -4.38%E -3.39%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.17%EV -5.82%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-17 14:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.38%E -3.39%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.86%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-17 14:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.38%E -3.39%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.44%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-17 13:04 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.38%E -3.39%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.44%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-17 13:03 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.38%E -3.39%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -12.03%E -3.54%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-17 14:26 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.38%EV -5.12%E -4.00%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.62%EV +1.42%E +0.363%K +0.488%G +0.007% | 3.6% | 2026-10-17 15:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.12%E -4.00%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -1.68%E -0.442%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-17 14:23 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.12%E -4.00%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -2.97%E -0.793%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-17 04:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.12%E -4.00%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.27%E -1.15%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-17 15:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.12%E -4.00%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.27%E -1.15%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-17 15:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.12%E -4.00%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.86%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-17 15:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.12%E -4.00%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.86%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-17 15:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -5.86%E -4.61%K -21.70%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -0.387%E -0.101%K -0.136%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-17 14:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.86%E -4.61%K -21.70%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.97%E -0.793%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-17 14:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.86%E -4.61%K -21.70%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.97%E -0.793%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-17 14:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.86%E -4.61%K -21.70%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.97%E -0.793%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-17 14:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.86%E -4.61%K -21.70%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.97%E -0.793%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-17 14:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.86%E -4.61%K -21.70%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.97%E -0.793%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-17 14:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.86%E -4.61%K -21.70%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.97%E -0.793%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-17 14:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.86%E -4.61%K -21.70%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.97%E -0.793%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-17 14:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.86%E -4.61%K -21.70%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.97%E -0.793%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-17 14:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.86%E -4.61%K -21.70%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.97%E -0.793%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-17 15:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.81%EV -5.86%E -4.61%K -21.70%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.19%EV -7.37%E -2.06%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-17 14:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -6.60%E -5.24%K -25.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -2.97%E -0.793%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-17 14:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -6.60%E -5.24%K -25.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -2.97%E -0.793%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-17 14:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.54%EV -7.34%E -5.87%K -29.37%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 25.46%EV -5.30%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-17 15:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.34%E -5.87%K -29.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.44%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-17 13:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.34%E -5.87%K -29.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.44%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-17 13:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.15%EV -9.57%E -7.84%K -43.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -9.44%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-17 15:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.42% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 24.58% | 0.4% | 2026-10-17 15:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-10-17 14:25 |
| Novig◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-10-17 14:50 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77% | 0.9% | 2026-10-17 13:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67% | 1.3% | 2026-10-17 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.10% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.90% | 1.7% | 2026-10-17 15:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.10% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.90% | 1.7% | 2026-10-17 15:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.10% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.90% | 1.7% | 2026-10-17 15:45 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30% | 8.3% | 2026-10-17 15:24 |