Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jacksonville State Gamecocks v Eastern Kentucky Colonels

Kickoff: 2026-09-05 23:03 UTC

Final: Jacksonville State Gamecocks 49–7 Eastern Kentucky Colonels

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

26 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jacksonville State Gamecocks (Local)

Prediction 91.09%1.10fair odd
EV -1.62%
Edge -1.50%
Kelly -20.25%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
87.70%91.13%91.06%92.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.021.041.041.0898.04%95.94%96.15%92.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Eastern Kentucky Colonels (Visit)

Prediction 8.91%11.23fair odd
EV +15.80%
Edge +1.22%
Kelly +1.32%
Growth +0.208%

assuming max odds 13.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.34%8.87%8.94%12.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.7010.7110.8513.0012.99%9.34%9.22%7.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jacksonville State Gamecocks (Local): 91.09%; Eastern Kentucky Colonels (Visit): 8.91%. For Eastern Kentucky Colonels (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 11.23. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 13.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +15.80%.

Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Fanatics🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -4.35%E -4.15%K -87.06%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +15.80%E +1.22%K +1.32%G +0.208%2.9%2026-09-04 12:14
theScore Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -6.17%E -5.99%K -205.82%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +15.80%E +1.22%K +1.32%G +0.208%4.8%2026-09-01 15:44
betPARX🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -6.17%E -5.99%K -205.82%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +11.34%E +0.907%K +0.986%G +0.112%5.1%2026-09-02 14:08
Bally Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -6.17%E -5.99%K -205.82%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +11.34%E +0.907%K +0.986%G +0.112%5.1%2026-09-02 14:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -6.17%E -5.99%K -205.82%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +11.34%E +0.907%K +0.986%G +0.112%5.1%2026-09-02 14:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -6.17%E -5.99%K -205.82%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +11.34%E +0.907%K +0.986%G +0.112%5.1%2026-09-02 14:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -6.17%E -5.99%K -205.82%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +6.89%E +0.574%K +0.626%G +0.043%5.4%2026-09-02 14:09
BetRivers🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -6.17%E -5.99%K -205.82%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +6.89%E +0.574%K +0.626%G +0.043%5.4%2026-09-02 14:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -7.09%E -6.95%K -354.28%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +6.89%E +0.574%K +0.626%G +0.043%6.4%2026-09-02 14:10
Unibet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -7.09%E -6.95%K -354.28%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +6.89%E +0.574%K +0.626%G +0.043%6.4%2026-09-02 14:10
DraftKings🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -3.44%E -3.25%K -57.37%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV -2.02%E -0.183%K -0.202%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-04 12:27
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.35%E -4.15%K -87.06%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -2.02%E -0.183%K -0.202%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-03 21:19
Fliff🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.33%EV -5.26%E -5.06%K -131.59%G +0.000%10.95I 9.13%NM 8.67%EV -2.46%E -0.225%K -0.248%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 12:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.26%EV -6.17%E -5.99%K -205.82%G +0.000%10.75I 9.30%NM 8.74%EV -4.24%E -0.395%K -0.435%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 09:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.35%E -4.15%K -87.06%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -6.47%E -0.616%K -0.681%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 23:05
FanDuel🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.59%EV -3.44%E -3.25%K -57.37%G +0.000%10.20I 9.80%NM 9.41%EV -9.14%E -0.896%K -0.994%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-01 15:45
ReBet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.67%EV -4.35%E -4.15%K -87.06%G +0.000%10.20I 9.80%NM 9.33%EV -9.14%E -0.896%K -0.994%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 23:05
Betway🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.35%E -4.15%K -87.06%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -10.93%E -1.09%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 21:15
Caesars🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.35%E -4.15%K -87.06%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -10.93%E -1.09%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 00:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -4.35%E -4.15%K -87.06%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -17.61%E -1.90%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 12:28
LeoVegas🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -5.26%E -5.06%K -131.59%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -19.83%E -2.20%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-03 21:20
SportsBet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -4.35%E -4.15%K -87.06%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -24.29%E -2.86%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-21 01:29
betano_uk🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -5.26%E -5.06%K -131.59%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -24.29%E -2.86%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-04 06:35
Bet Victor🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -5.26%E -5.06%K -131.59%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -24.29%E -2.86%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-04 06:37
NordicBet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.88%EV -3.44%E -3.25%K -57.37%G +0.000%8.47I 11.81%NM 11.12%EV -24.55%E -2.90%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-28 18:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.70%EV -1.62%E -1.50%K -20.25%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.30%EV -31.41%E -4.08%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-10 16:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.07I 93.46%NM 92.11%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.89%1.5%2026-09-04 09:08
ProphetX◎1.07I 93.46%NM 91.49%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.51%2.2%2026-09-04 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.07I 93.46%NM 89.78%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.22%4.1%2026-09-04 04:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.07I 93.46%NM 89.78%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.22%4.1%2026-09-04 04:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.07I 93.46%NM 89.78%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.22%4.1%2026-09-04 04:35