The School of Odds

Jacksonville State Gamecocks v Eastern Kentucky Colonels

2026-09-05 23:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Jacksonville State Gamecocks (Local)

Prediction 88.87%1.13fair odd
EV -4.02%
Edge -3.72%
Kelly -50.25%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
86.34%88.87%88.87%90.33%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.061.071.071.0894.34%93.46%93.46%92.59%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Eastern Kentucky Colonels (Visit)

Prediction 11.13%8.99fair odd
EV +10.18%
Edge +1.03%
Kelly +1.14%
Growth +0.116%

assuming max odds 9.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.67%11.13%11.13%13.66%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
6.707.957.609.9014.93%12.58%13.16%10.10%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel1.06I 94.34%NM 90.33%EV -5.80%E -5.47%K -96.62%G +0.000%9.90I 10.10%NM 9.67%EV +10.18%E +1.03%K +1.14%G +0.116%4.4%2026-07-27 06:10
MyBookie.ag1.08I 92.59%NM 87.70%EV -4.02%E -3.72%K -50.25%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.30%EV -14.30%E -1.86%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 06:09
Unibet (UK)1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.02%E -3.72%K -50.25%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -16.53%E -2.20%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-27 03:20
LeoVegas1.06I 94.34%NM 86.34%EV -5.80%E -5.47%K -96.62%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.66%EV -25.43%E -3.80%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-27 06:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.