Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Iowa State Cyclones v Utah Utes

Kickoff: 2026-09-26 19:35 UTC

Final: Iowa State Cyclones 17–31 Utah Utes

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

44 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Iowa State Cyclones (Local)

Prediction 27.02%3.70fair odd
EV +4.02%
Edge +1.05%
Kelly +1.41%
Growth +0.057%

assuming max odds 3.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.10%27.36%27.01%30.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.463.503.8532.26%28.93%28.57%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Utah Utes (Visit)

Prediction 72.98%1.37fair odd
EV -1.48%
Edge -1.09%
Kelly -4.22%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.98%72.64%72.99%74.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.281.311.301.3578.13%76.54%76.92%74.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Iowa State Cyclones (Local): 27.02%; Utah Utes (Visit): 72.98%. For Iowa State Cyclones (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.70. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.02%.

Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%EV +4.02%E +1.05%K +1.41%G +0.057%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.90%EV -5.85%E -4.54%K -20.19%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-26 19:35
BetUS🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV -1.38%E -0.378%K -0.521%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -4.40%E -3.36%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-26 03:10
GTbets🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -1.38%E -0.378%K -0.521%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -5.12%E -3.94%K -17.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-26 03:10
Caesars🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -1.38%E -0.378%K -0.521%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -5.12%E -3.94%K -17.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-26 05:07
Bovada🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -1.38%E -0.378%K -0.521%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -5.12%E -3.94%K -17.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-26 13:54
BetOnline.ag🎯3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV -1.92%E -0.529%K -0.730%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV -4.40%E -3.36%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-26 03:05
DraftKings🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.73%E -0.759%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.40%E -3.36%K -14.18%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-25 21:50
BetMGM🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.73%E -0.759%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.40%E -3.36%K -14.18%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-26 14:40
Fanatics🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -2.73%E -0.759%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.12%E -3.94%K -17.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-26 12:25
BetAnything🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -2.73%E -0.759%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.12%E -3.94%K -17.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-22 00:29
Bet Right🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.08%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.12%E -3.94%K -17.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-26 14:39
BetRivers🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.08%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.12%E -3.94%K -17.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-26 19:09
ATG (SE)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.08%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.12%E -3.94%K -17.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-26 19:05
betPARX🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.08%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.12%E -3.94%K -17.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-26 19:05
Svenska Spel🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.08%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.12%E -3.94%K -17.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-26 19:05
Fliff🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.08%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.12%E -3.94%K -17.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-26 19:25
theScore Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -5.43%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -2.94%E -2.21%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-26 15:45
FanDuel🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -5.43%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -3.67%E -2.78%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-26 18:40
Betsson🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.43%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.12%E -3.94%K -17.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-26 19:30
Coolbet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.43%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.12%E -3.94%K -17.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-26 18:05
Unibet (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.43%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.12%E -3.94%K -17.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-26 19:35
Unibet (NL)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.43%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.12%E -3.94%K -17.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-26 19:35
Bally Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.43%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.12%E -3.94%K -17.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-26 19:35
Betway🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.43%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.85%E -4.54%K -20.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-26 19:35
NordicBet🎯3.46I 28.90%NM 27.16%EV -6.51%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.84%EV -5.85%E -4.54%K -20.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-26 19:35
LeoVegas🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.78%E -1.97%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.12%E -3.94%K -17.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-26 19:10
Betr (AU)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.78%E -1.97%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.12%E -3.94%K -17.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-26 19:25
Neds🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.78%E -1.97%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.12%E -3.94%K -17.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-26 19:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.78%E -1.97%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.12%E -3.94%K -17.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-26 19:34
Dabble (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -8.13%E -2.39%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.67%E -2.78%K -11.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-26 09:35
TAB🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.13%E -2.39%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.12%E -3.94%K -17.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-22 05:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.13%E -2.39%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.85%E -4.54%K -20.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-26 19:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -8.13%E -2.39%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.58%E -5.14%K -23.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-26 19:20
Coral🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -8.13%E -2.39%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.58%E -5.14%K -23.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-26 19:20
PlayUp🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -9.49%E -2.83%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.94%E -2.21%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-25 21:50
SportsBet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -9.49%E -2.83%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.12%E -3.94%K -17.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-26 18:50
Unibet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -12.19%E -3.75%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.12%E -3.94%K -17.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-26 19:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -12.19%E -3.75%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.12%E -3.94%K -17.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-26 19:05
Unibet (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -13.54%E -4.23%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -1.48%E -1.09%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-26 19:30
MyBookie.ag🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -13.54%E -4.23%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -1.48%E -1.09%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-26 19:35
Marathon Bet🎯3.14I 31.85%NM 29.91%EV -15.16%E -4.83%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.09%EV -2.21%E -1.65%K -6.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-26 13:54
betano_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -16.24%E -5.24%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -2.94%E -2.21%K -8.90%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-26 19:34
Bet Victor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -16.24%E -5.24%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -2.94%E -2.21%K -8.90%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-26 19:33
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -16.24%E -5.24%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -2.94%E -2.21%K -8.90%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-26 19:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%0.8%2026-09-26 19:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%0.8%2026-09-26 19:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%0.8%2026-09-26 19:35
ProphetX◎3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57%0.8%2026-09-26 19:30
Matchbook◎3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.32I 75.76%NM 74.95%1.1%2026-09-26 19:29
Novig◎3.77I 26.53%NM 26.08%1.33I 75.19%NM 73.92%1.7%2026-09-26 19:35