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Iowa State Cyclones v Southeast Missouri State Redhawks

2026-09-05 17:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Iowa State Cyclones (Local)

Prediction 96.41%1.04fair odd
EV -2.63%
Edge -2.60%
Kelly -262.85%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
92.79%96.29%96.26%97.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.001.011.011.01100.00%99.21%99.01%99.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Southeast Missouri State Redhawks (Visit)

Prediction 3.59%27.84fair odd
EV +29.33%
Edge +0.815%
Kelly +0.838%
Growth +0.246%

assuming max odds 36.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
2.70%3.71%3.74%7.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
13.0021.6318.7536.007.69%4.62%5.33%2.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Iowa State Cyclones (Local): 96.41%; Southeast Missouri State Redhawks (Visit): 3.59%. For Southeast Missouri State Redhawks (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 27.84. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 36.00, producing a positive expected value of +29.33%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 97.30%EV -3.59%E -3.59%K +0.000%G +0.000%36.00I 2.78%NM 2.70%EV +29.33%E +0.815%K +0.838%G +0.246%2.8%2026-08-28 00:03
Fanatics🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 96.84%EV -2.63%E -2.60%K -262.85%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.16%EV +11.37%E +0.367%K +0.379%G +0.043%2.2%2026-09-04 04:40
theScore Bet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -2.63%E -2.60%K -262.85%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV -6.59%E -0.254%K -0.264%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-26 18:59
FanDuel🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 96.12%EV -2.63%E -2.60%K -262.85%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.88%EV -10.19%E -0.407%K -0.424%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-12 04:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -2.63%E -2.60%K -262.85%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV -31.74%E -1.67%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-04 00:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.82%EV -2.63%E -2.60%K -262.85%G +0.000%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.18%EV -33.54%E -1.81%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-30 17:35
SportsBet🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 94.44%EV -3.59%E -3.59%K +0.000%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.56%EV -38.93%E -2.29%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 15:54
ReBet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.23%EV -2.63%E -2.60%K -262.85%G +0.000%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.77%EV -40.72%E -2.47%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 02:37
Betr (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.38%EV -2.63%E -2.60%K -262.85%G +0.000%14.25I 7.02%NM 6.62%EV -48.81%E -3.42%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-29 05:44
LeoVegas🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -2.63%E -2.60%K -262.85%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -53.30%E -4.10%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 00:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.03I 97.09%NM 96.62%29.41I 3.40%NM 3.38%0.5%2026-09-04 14:34
ProphetX◎1.02I 98.04%NM 96.60%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.40%1.5%2026-09-04 14:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%3.8%2026-09-03 10:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%3.8%2026-09-03 09:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%3.8%2026-09-03 09:50