Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Iowa State Cyclones v Southeast Missouri State Redhawks

2026-09-05 17:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

96%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Iowa State Cyclones (Local)

Prediction 96.48%1.04fair odd

EV -2.55%

Edge -2.53%

Kelly -255.44%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

91.23%96.12%96.48%96.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.001.011.011.01100.00%99.12%99.01%99.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Southeast Missouri State Redhawks (Visit)

Prediction 3.52%28.42fair odd

EV +9.09%

Edge +0.293%

Kelly +0.303%

Growth +0.028%

assuming max odds 31.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

3.13%3.88%3.52%8.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

10.5021.3318.5031.009.52%4.69%5.41%3.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Iowa State Cyclones (Local): 96.48%; Southeast Missouri State Redhawks (Visit): 3.52%. For Southeast Missouri State Redhawks (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 28.42. 3 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 31.00, producing a positive expected value of +9.09%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
Fanatics🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 96.84%EV -2.55%E -2.53%K -255.44%G +0.000%	31.00I 3.23%NM 3.16%EV +9.09%E +0.293%K +0.303%G +0.028%	2.2%	2026-08-10 16:40
DraftKings🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 96.84%EV -2.55%E -2.53%K -255.44%G +0.000%	31.00I 3.23%NM 3.16%EV +9.09%E +0.293%K +0.303%G +0.028%	2.2%	2026-08-10 15:55
SportsBet🎯	1.00I 100.00%NM 96.88%EV -3.52%E -3.52%K +0.000%G +0.000%	31.00I 3.23%NM 3.13%EV +9.09%E +0.293%K +0.303%G +0.028%	3.2%	2026-08-12 04:29
FanDuel🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 96.12%EV -2.55%E -2.53%K -255.44%G +0.000%	25.00I 4.00%NM 3.88%EV -12.02%E -0.481%K -0.501%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-08-12 04:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 94.82%EV -2.55%E -2.53%K -255.44%G +0.000%	18.50I 5.41%NM 5.18%EV -34.89%E -1.89%K -1.99%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-08-12 00:24
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -2.55%E -2.53%K -255.44%G +0.000%	18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV -36.65%E -2.04%K -2.16%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-12 00:25
Betr (AU)🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 93.38%EV -2.55%E -2.53%K -255.44%G +0.000%	14.25I 7.02%NM 6.62%EV -49.85%E -3.50%K -3.76%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-07-29 05:44
ReBet🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 92.66%EV -2.55%E -2.53%K -255.44%G +0.000%	12.75I 7.84%NM 7.34%EV -55.13%E -4.32%K -4.69%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-08-13 10:24
LeoVegas🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 91.23%EV -2.55%E -2.53%K -255.44%G +0.000%	10.50I 9.52%NM 8.77%EV -63.05%E -6.00%K -6.64%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-08-10 15:59

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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