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Iowa State Cyclones v Oklahoma State Cowboys

Kickoff: 2026-10-31 23:10 UTC

Final: Iowa State Cyclones 51–49 Oklahoma State Cowboys

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

43 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Iowa State Cyclones (Local)

Prediction 24.67%4.05fair odd
EV +1.17%
Edge +0.285%
Kelly +0.376%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.37%24.75%24.61%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.843.804.1027.78%26.04%26.32%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Oklahoma State Cowboys (Visit)

Prediction 75.33%1.33fair odd
EV -2.83%
Edge -2.19%
Kelly -9.76%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.03%75.25%75.39%76.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.261.261.2983.33%79.29%79.37%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Iowa State Cyclones (Local): 24.67%; Oklahoma State Cowboys (Visit): 75.33%. For Iowa State Cyclones (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.05. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.17%.

Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV +1.17%E +0.285%K +0.376%G +0.004%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -5.09%E -4.04%K -19.58%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-31 22:35
BetUS🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV -0.067%E -0.017%K -0.022%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.27%EV -5.09%E -4.04%K -19.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-31 23:00
BetMGM🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -1.30%E -0.325%K -0.434%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.34%E -3.41%K -16.06%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-31 23:00
Dabble (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -1.30%E -0.325%K -0.434%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.60%E -5.32%K -27.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-31 22:55
TAB🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -1.30%E -0.325%K -0.434%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.60%E -5.32%K -27.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-31 21:09
SportsBet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.30%E -0.325%K -0.434%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.10%E -6.64%K -36.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-31 22:30
BetAnything🎯3.97I 25.19%NM 24.24%EV -2.04%E -0.514%K -0.687%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.76%EV -4.34%E -3.41%K -16.06%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-29 16:29
Pinnacle🎯3.96I 25.25%NM 24.57%EV -2.29%E -0.578%K -0.773%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 75.43%EV -2.83%E -2.19%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.8%2026-10-31 23:00
DraftKings🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -2.53%E -0.642%K -0.859%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -4.34%E -3.41%K -16.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-31 19:19
GTbets🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -2.53%E -0.642%K -0.859%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -4.34%E -3.41%K -16.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-31 19:20
MyBookie.ag🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -2.53%E -0.642%K -0.859%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -5.09%E -4.04%K -19.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-31 21:14
Caesars🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -2.53%E -0.642%K -0.859%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -5.09%E -4.04%K -19.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-31 23:00
Bovada🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -2.53%E -0.642%K -0.859%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -5.09%E -4.04%K -19.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-31 22:49
Everygame🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -3.77%E -0.966%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -3.58%E -2.80%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-31 20:56
Fanatics🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -3.77%E -0.966%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.34%E -3.41%K -16.06%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-31 04:00
theScore Bet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.77%E -0.966%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.09%E -4.04%K -19.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-31 23:00
BoyleSports🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -3.77%E -0.966%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.84%E -4.67%K -23.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-31 23:00
BetOnline.ag🎯3.89I 25.71%NM 24.76%EV -4.01%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.24%EV -3.58%E -2.80%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-31 22:25
LowVig.ag🎯3.89I 25.71%NM 24.76%EV -4.01%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.24%EV -3.58%E -2.80%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-31 22:25
Fliff🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.00%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.09%E -4.04%K -19.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-31 22:50
Betsson🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.00%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.09%E -4.04%K -19.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-31 23:00
Unibet (UK)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -6.24%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.34%E -3.41%K -16.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-31 23:00
Unibet (NL)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -6.24%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.34%E -3.41%K -16.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-31 22:50
Svenska Spel🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -6.24%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.34%E -3.41%K -16.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-31 22:50
betPARX🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -6.24%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.34%E -3.41%K -16.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-31 22:50
ATG (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -6.24%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.34%E -3.41%K -16.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-31 22:50
Coolbet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -6.24%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.34%E -3.41%K -16.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-31 22:55
Bet Right🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -6.24%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.34%E -3.41%K -16.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-31 23:00
Bally Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.24%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.84%E -4.67%K -23.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-31 23:00
Betway🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -7.47%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -2.83%E -2.19%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-31 22:55
Neds🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -7.47%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.58%E -2.80%K -12.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-31 22:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -7.47%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.34%E -3.41%K -16.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-31 16:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -7.47%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.09%E -4.04%K -19.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-31 23:00
Betr (AU)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -7.47%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.09%E -4.04%K -19.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-31 22:50
betfred_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.47%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.84%E -4.67%K -23.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-26 03:39
Paddy Power🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -7.47%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -9.61%E -8.01%K -48.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-31 22:30
picklebet_au🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -8.70%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.34%E -3.41%K -16.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-31 23:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.70%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.84%E -4.67%K -23.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-31 23:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -8.70%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -8.10%E -6.64%K -36.83%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-31 23:00
NordicBet🎯3.67I 27.25%NM 25.56%EV -9.44%E -2.57%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.44%EV -5.09%E -4.04%K -19.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-31 23:00
Marathon Bet🎯3.62I 27.62%NM 25.97%EV -10.68%E -2.95%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.03%EV -4.34%E -3.41%K -16.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-31 22:59
Bet Victor🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.17%E -3.10%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.84%E -4.67%K -23.37%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-31 22:53
betano_uk🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.17%E -3.10%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.84%E -4.67%K -23.37%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-31 22:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎4.08I 24.51%NM 24.44%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.56%0.3%2026-10-31 22:35
Polymarket◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%0.8%2026-10-31 12:55
Kalshi◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%0.8%2026-10-31 23:00
ProphetX◎4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07%1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93%1.3%2026-10-31 23:00
Matchbook◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50%1.3%2026-10-31 22:59