Language:English
Iowa Hawkeyes v Ohio State Buckeyes
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Iowa Hawkeyes (Local)
Prediction 16.04%6.24fair odd
EV +4.24%
Edge +0.652%
Kelly +0.770%
Growth +0.033%
assuming max odds 6.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.70%16.27%15.97%18.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.755.806.5020.00%17.39%17.24%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Ohio State Buckeyes (Visit)
Prediction 83.96%1.19fair odd
EV -1.76%
Edge -1.51%
Kelly -10.37%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.17
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
81.43%83.73%84.03%85.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.111.131.131.1790.09%88.14%88.50%85.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Iowa Hawkeyes (Local): 16.04%; Ohio State Buckeyes (Visit): 83.96%. For Iowa Hawkeyes (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.24. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.24%.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +4.24%E +0.652%K +0.770%G +0.033% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.96%E -5.32%K -49.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 19:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 6.13I 16.31%NM 15.68%EV -1.70%E -0.277%K -0.331%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.32%EV -4.28%E -3.76%K -30.58%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-03 19:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.50%EV -2.98%E -0.493%K -0.590%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.50%EV -6.80%E -6.13%K -61.82%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-03 19:27 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -3.78%E -0.630%K -0.756%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -3.44%E -2.99%K -22.95%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-03 19:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -3.78%E -0.630%K -0.756%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.28%E -3.76%K -30.58%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-03 19:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -3.78%E -0.630%K -0.756%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.28%E -3.76%K -30.58%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-03 19:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.78%E -0.630%K -0.756%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.12%E -4.53%K -39.39%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 19:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.78%E -0.630%K -0.756%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.12%E -4.53%K -39.39%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 19:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.78%E -0.630%K -0.756%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.12%E -4.53%K -39.39%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 19:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.78%E -0.630%K -0.756%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.12%E -4.53%K -39.39%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-01 17:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.78%E -0.630%K -0.756%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.12%E -4.53%K -39.39%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-01 17:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.78%E -0.630%K -0.756%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.12%E -4.53%K -39.39%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-01 17:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.78%E -0.630%K -0.756%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.12%E -4.53%K -39.39%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-01 17:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.78%E -0.630%K -0.756%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.12%E -4.53%K -39.39%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-01 17:04 |
| Caesars🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.78%E -0.630%K -0.756%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.12%E -4.53%K -39.39%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 19:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.78%E -0.630%K -0.756%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.96%E -5.32%K -49.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-03 19:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.78%E -0.630%K -0.756%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.96%E -5.32%K -49.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-03 19:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.96I 16.78%NM 15.82%EV -4.42%E -0.742%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.18%EV -5.96%E -5.32%K -49.67%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-03 19:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.83%EV -5.39%E -0.913%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.17%EV -6.80%E -6.13%K -61.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-03 19:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -6.99%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.12%E -4.53%K -39.39%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-01 17:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -6.99%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.12%E -4.53%K -39.39%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-01 17:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -6.99%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.12%E -4.53%K -39.39%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-01 17:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -6.99%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -5.96%E -5.32%K -49.67%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-01 17:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -6.99%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -5.96%E -5.32%K -49.67%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-01 17:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -7.63%E -1.32%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -3.44%E -2.99%K -22.95%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-02 20:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -7.63%E -1.32%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -3.44%E -2.99%K -22.95%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-02 20:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -7.79%E -1.35%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.28%E -3.76%K -30.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 19:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -7.79%E -1.35%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -6.80%E -6.13%K -61.82%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-03 19:34 |
| GTbets🎯 | 5.71I 17.51%NM 16.52%EV -8.43%E -1.48%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.48%EV -5.12%E -4.53%K -39.39%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-03 19:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV -8.59%E -1.51%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -3.44%E -2.99%K -22.95%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-02 20:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV -8.59%E -1.51%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -4.28%E -3.76%K -30.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 16:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -8.59%E -1.51%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.58%EV -5.96%E -5.32%K -49.67%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-03 19:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -10.20%E -1.82%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -4.28%E -3.76%K -30.58%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-03 19:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -10.20%E -1.82%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -4.28%E -3.76%K -30.58%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-03 19:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -11.80%E -2.15%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -1.76%E -1.51%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-03 19:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -11.80%E -2.15%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.44%E -2.99%K -22.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 19:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -11.80%E -2.15%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.44%E -2.99%K -22.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-02 20:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -11.80%E -2.15%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.28%E -3.76%K -30.58%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-03 19:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -11.80%E -2.15%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.96%E -5.32%K -49.67%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-03 19:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -11.80%E -2.15%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.96%E -5.32%K -49.67%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-03 19:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -15.81%E -3.01%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -2.60%E -2.24%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 19:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -15.81%E -3.01%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -2.60%E -2.24%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 19:25 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -15.81%E -3.01%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -3.44%E -2.99%K -22.95%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-03 19:34 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -15.81%E -3.01%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -3.44%E -2.99%K -22.95%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-03 18:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -19.82%E -3.96%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -4.28%E -3.76%K -30.58%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-03 19:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -19.82%E -3.96%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -4.28%E -3.76%K -30.58%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-03 19:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94% | 0.6% | 2026-10-03 19:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54% | 1.1% | 2026-10-03 19:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54% | 1.1% | 2026-10-03 19:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54% | 1.1% | 2026-10-03 19:35 |
| Novig◎ | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.81% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.19% | 1.2% | 2026-10-03 19:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.81% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.19% | 1.2% | 2026-10-03 19:35 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 6.92I 14.45%NM 14.25% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 85.75% | 1.4% | 2026-10-03 19:29 |
| ProphetX◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.76% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.24% | 2.3% | 2026-10-03 19:35 |