The School of Odds

Iowa Hawkeyes v Northern Illinois Huskies

2026-09-05 20:15 UTC — NCAAF

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Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Iowa Hawkeyes (Local)

Prediction 94.97%1.05fair odd
EV -3.13%
Edge -3.07%
Kelly -156.39%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
90.83%95.13%94.95%97.30%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.001.011.011.02100%99%99%98%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Northern Illinois Huskies (Visit)

Prediction 5.03%19.89fair odd
EV +80.98%
Edge +2.25%
Kelly +2.31%
Growth +1.87%

assuming max odds 36.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
2.70%4.87%5.05%9.17%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
10.0018.5016.0036.0010%5%6%3%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel1.00I 100.00%NM 97.30%EV -5.03%E -5.03%K +0.000%G +0.000%36.00I 2.78%NM 2.70%EV +80.98%E +2.25%K +2.31%G +1.87%2.8%2026-06-24 19:30
DraftKings1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.08%E -4.04%K -407.76%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +30.71%E +1.18%K +1.23%G +0.377%2.9%2026-07-20 20:50
theScore Bet1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -4.08%E -4.04%K -407.76%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +5.57%E +0.265%K +0.279%G +0.016%3.8%2026-07-14 20:04
Caesars1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.08%E -4.04%K -407.76%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV -4.48%E -0.236%K -0.249%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-20 20:50
Coolbet1.01I 99.01%NM 94.23%EV -4.08%E -4.04%K -407.76%G +0.000%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.77%EV -17.05%E -1.03%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-24 14:00
Unibet (UK)1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -3.13%E -3.07%K -156.39%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV -19.56%E -1.22%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-22 00:40
Hard Rock Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -3.13%E -3.07%K -156.39%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV -19.56%E -1.22%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-22 00:39
PointsBet (AU)1.00I 100.00%NM 93.75%EV -5.03%E -5.03%K +0.000%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.25%EV -24.59%E -1.64%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-01 10:49
Betr (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 93.38%EV -4.08%E -4.04%K -407.76%G +0.000%14.25I 7.02%NM 6.62%EV -28.36%E -1.99%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-08 10:40
MyBookie.ag1.01I 99.01%NM 93.16%EV -4.08%E -4.04%K -407.76%G +0.000%13.75I 7.27%NM 6.84%EV -30.87%E -2.25%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-07 21:04
LeoVegas1.01I 99.01%NM 90.83%EV -4.08%E -4.04%K -407.76%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -49.73%E -4.97%K -5.53%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-02 10:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.