The School of Odds

Iowa Hawkeyes v Iowa State Cyclones

2026-09-12 23:30 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Iowa Hawkeyes (Local)

Prediction 82.39%1.21fair odd
EV -3.61%
Edge -3.08%
Kelly -21.23%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
80.14%82.32%82.51%84.03%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.141.151.141.1787.72%87.21%87.72%85.47%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Iowa State Cyclones (Visit)

Prediction 17.61%5.68fair odd
EV +5.69%
Edge +0.948%
Kelly +1.14%
Growth +0.065%

assuming max odds 6.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.97%17.68%17.49%19.86%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
4.605.495.606.0021.74%18.22%17.86%16.67%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
ATG (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -6.08%E -5.33%K -43.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +5.69%E +0.948%K +1.14%G +0.065%4.4%2026-07-22 01:05
Svenska Spel1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -6.08%E -5.33%K -43.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +5.69%E +0.948%K +1.14%G +0.065%4.4%2026-07-22 01:05
betPARX1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -6.08%E -5.33%K -43.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +5.69%E +0.948%K +1.14%G +0.065%4.4%2026-07-22 01:05
Bally Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -6.08%E -5.33%K -43.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +5.69%E +0.948%K +1.14%G +0.065%4.4%2026-07-22 01:05
DraftKings1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -5.26%E -4.57%K -35.04%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV +0.401%E +0.070%K +0.085%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-23 21:00
Unibet (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -6.08%E -5.33%K -43.43%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -1.36%E -0.243%K -0.296%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-22 01:05
BetRivers1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -6.08%E -5.33%K -43.43%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -1.36%E -0.243%K -0.296%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-22 01:05
Unibet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -6.08%E -5.33%K -43.43%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -1.36%E -0.243%K -0.296%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-22 01:04
Unibet (NL)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -6.08%E -5.33%K -43.43%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -1.36%E -0.243%K -0.296%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-22 01:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -6.08%E -5.33%K -43.43%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -1.36%E -0.243%K -0.296%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-22 01:05
Coolbet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.26%E -4.57%K -35.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -3.12%E -0.568%K -0.694%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-23 21:05
FanDuel1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.43%E -3.82%K -27.70%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -4.88%E -0.904%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-21 15:50
Hard Rock Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -3.61%E -3.08%K -21.23%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -7.53%E -1.43%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-22 02:05
Betr (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.26%E -4.57%K -35.04%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -7.53%E -1.43%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-14 23:34
MyBookie.ag1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -4.43%E -3.82%K -27.70%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -10.17%E -1.99%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-23 21:03
Unibet (UK)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.43%E -3.82%K -27.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -11.93%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-23 20:59
PointsBet (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.08%E -5.33%K -43.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -11.93%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-21 15:50
LeoVegas1.14I 87.72%NM 80.14%EV -6.08%E -5.33%K -43.43%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.86%EV -18.97%E -4.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-23 21:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.