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Iowa Hawkeyes v Iowa State Cyclones
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Iowa Hawkeyes (Local)
Prediction 82.93%1.21fair odd
EV -2.97%
Edge -2.54%
Kelly -17.48%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.17
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
80.81%82.67%83.09%84.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.111.151.151.1790.09%86.96%86.96%85.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Iowa State Cyclones (Visit)
Prediction 17.07%5.86fair odd
EV +2.42%
Edge +0.403%
Kelly +0.484%
Growth +0.012%
assuming max odds 6.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.85%17.33%16.91%19.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.805.495.606.0020.83%18.20%17.86%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Iowa Hawkeyes (Local): 82.93%; Iowa State Cyclones (Visit): 17.07%. For Iowa State Cyclones (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.86. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.42%.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.29%E -5.57%K -48.37%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +2.42%E +0.403%K +0.484%G +0.012% | 5.2% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.93%EV -7.12%E -6.36%K -59.32%G +0.000% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 16.07%EV -0.143%E -0.024%K -0.029%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-12 23:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -7.12%E -6.36%K -59.32%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -0.996%E -0.172%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-12 23:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -4.63%E -4.03%K -30.87%G +0.000% | 5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -1.68%E -0.291%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-12 23:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -4.63%E -4.03%K -30.87%G +0.000% | 5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -1.68%E -0.291%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-12 23:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 83.09%EV -2.97%E -2.54%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.91%EV -1.85%E -0.322%K -0.389%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-12 19:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.21%EV -3.80%E -3.28%K -23.76%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV -1.85%E -0.322%K -0.389%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-12 22:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -4.63%E -4.03%K -30.87%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -1.85%E -0.322%K -0.389%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-12 23:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -4.63%E -4.03%K -30.87%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -1.85%E -0.322%K -0.389%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-12 23:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -4.63%E -4.03%K -30.87%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -1.85%E -0.322%K -0.389%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-12 23:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -4.63%E -4.03%K -30.87%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -1.85%E -0.322%K -0.389%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-12 23:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -4.63%E -4.03%K -30.87%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -1.85%E -0.322%K -0.389%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-12 23:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -4.63%E -4.03%K -30.87%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -1.85%E -0.322%K -0.389%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-07 03:53 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -4.63%E -4.03%K -30.87%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -1.85%E -0.322%K -0.389%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-12 23:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.46%E -4.79%K -39.00%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -1.85%E -0.322%K -0.389%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-12 23:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.46%E -4.79%K -39.00%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -1.85%E -0.322%K -0.389%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-12 23:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -4.63%E -4.03%K -30.87%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV -2.70%E -0.474%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-12 23:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -4.63%E -4.03%K -30.87%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV -2.70%E -0.474%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-12 23:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -4.63%E -4.03%K -30.87%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -4.41%E -0.787%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-12 23:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -4.63%E -4.03%K -30.87%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -4.41%E -0.787%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-12 23:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.46%E -4.79%K -39.00%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -4.41%E -0.787%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-08 14:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -6.29%E -5.57%K -48.37%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -4.41%E -0.787%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-12 23:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -2.97%E -2.54%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -6.12%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-12 20:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.63%E -4.03%K -30.87%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.12%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-12 15:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.63%E -4.03%K -30.87%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.12%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-12 15:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.41%EV -2.97%E -2.54%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 5.48I 18.25%NM 17.59%EV -6.46%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-12 23:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -2.97%E -2.54%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -7.82%E -1.45%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-12 14:18 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.95%EV -7.95%E -7.16%K -72.25%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.05%EV -7.82%E -1.45%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-12 23:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.52%EV -5.46%E -4.79%K -39.00%G +0.000% | 5.38I 18.59%NM 17.48%EV -8.17%E -1.52%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-12 23:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -2.97%E -2.54%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -10.38%E -1.98%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-12 23:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -3.80%E -3.28%K -23.76%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -10.38%E -1.98%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-12 23:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.63%E -4.03%K -30.87%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -10.38%E -1.98%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-12 23:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -3.80%E -3.28%K -23.76%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -11.24%E -2.16%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-12 23:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -3.80%E -3.28%K -23.76%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -11.24%E -2.16%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-12 23:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -5.46%E -4.79%K -39.00%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -12.94%E -2.54%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-12 23:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.97%E -2.54%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -14.65%E -2.93%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-12 23:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.97%E -2.54%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -14.65%E -2.93%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-12 23:29 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.97%E -2.54%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -14.65%E -2.93%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -3.80%E -3.28%K -23.76%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -14.65%E -2.93%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-09 03:48 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -5.46%E -4.79%K -39.00%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -18.07%E -3.76%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-12 23:18 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -5.46%E -4.79%K -39.00%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -18.07%E -3.76%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-12 23:18 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57% | 0.4% | 2026-09-12 22:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57% | 0.4% | 2026-09-12 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96% | 5.1% | 2026-09-12 23:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24% | 5.4% | 2026-09-12 23:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53% | 5.8% | 2026-09-12 23:35 |