Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Indiana Hoosiers v Western Kentucky Hilltoppers

Kickoff: 2026-09-19 20:08 UTC

Final: Indiana Hoosiers 38–0 Western Kentucky Hilltoppers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Indiana Hoosiers (Local)

Prediction 98.34%1.02fair odd
EV -0.673%
Edge -0.666%
Kelly -67.25%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
93.38%97.69%98.34%98.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.001.001.001.01100.00%99.88%100.00%99.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (Visit)

Prediction 1.66%60.39fair odd
EV +50.69%
Edge +0.557%
Kelly +0.563%
Growth +0.286%

assuming max odds 91.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
1.09%2.31%1.66%6.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
14.2553.4161.0091.007.02%1.87%1.64%1.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Indiana Hoosiers (Local): 98.34%; Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (Visit): 1.66%. For Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 60.39. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 91.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +50.69%.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Coral🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 98.91%EV -1.66%E -1.66%K +0.000%G +0.000%91.00I 1.10%NM 1.09%EV +50.69%E +0.557%K +0.563%G +0.286%1.1%2026-09-19 20:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 98.91%EV -1.66%E -1.66%K +0.000%G +0.000%91.00I 1.10%NM 1.09%EV +50.69%E +0.557%K +0.563%G +0.286%1.1%2026-09-19 20:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 98.61%EV -1.66%E -1.66%K +0.000%G +0.000%71.00I 1.41%NM 1.39%EV +17.57%E +0.248%K +0.251%G +0.044%1.4%2026-09-19 19:59
Fanatics🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 98.61%EV -1.66%E -1.66%K +0.000%G +0.000%71.00I 1.41%NM 1.39%EV +17.57%E +0.248%K +0.251%G +0.044%1.4%2026-09-19 20:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 98.08%EV -1.66%E -1.66%K +0.000%G +0.000%51.00I 1.96%NM 1.92%EV -15.54%E -0.305%K -0.311%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-13 14:19
Coolbet🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -1.66%E -1.66%K +0.000%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV -65.22%E -3.11%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-14 02:19
Bet Right🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 94.44%EV -1.66%E -1.66%K +0.000%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.56%EV -71.85%E -4.23%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-17 05:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.38%EV -0.673%E -0.666%K -67.25%G +0.000%14.25I 7.02%NM 6.62%EV -76.40%E -5.36%K -5.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-14 02:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎1.00I 100.00%NM 99.66%296.00I 0.34%NM 0.34%0.3%2026-09-19 14:01
Kalshi◎1.00I 100.00%NM 99.01%100.00I 1.00%NM 0.99%1.0%2026-09-13 05:00