Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Indiana Hoosiers v Northwestern Wildcats

2026-09-26 00:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

26 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Indiana Hoosiers (Local)

Prediction 92.80%1.08fair odd
EV -3.49%
Edge -3.35%
Kelly -87.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.04

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
89.19%92.52%93.05%94.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.011.031.031.0499.01%97.38%97.09%96.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Northwestern Wildcats (Visit)

Prediction 7.20%13.89fair odd
EV +22.36%
Edge +1.32%
Kelly +1.40%
Growth +0.313%

assuming max odds 17.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
5.66%7.48%6.95%10.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.5012.6813.4017.0011.76%7.89%7.46%5.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Indiana Hoosiers (Local): 92.80%; Northwestern Wildcats (Visit): 7.20%. For Northwestern Wildcats (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 13.89. 12 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 17.00, producing a positive expected value of +22.36%.

Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -5.34%E -5.24%K -267.08%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +22.36%E +1.32%K +1.40%G +0.313%3.9%2026-09-20 07:09
theScore Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -5.34%E -5.24%K -267.08%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +15.16%E +0.948%K +1.01%G +0.153%4.3%2026-09-20 10:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.41%E -4.29%K -147.12%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +7.97%E +0.531%K +0.569%G +0.045%3.8%2026-09-20 06:49
Unibet (NL)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.34%E -5.24%K -267.08%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +7.97%E +0.531%K +0.569%G +0.045%4.7%2026-09-20 10:44
Unibet (SE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.34%E -5.24%K -267.08%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +7.97%E +0.531%K +0.569%G +0.045%4.7%2026-09-20 10:44
BetRivers🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.34%E -5.24%K -267.08%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +7.97%E +0.531%K +0.569%G +0.045%4.7%2026-09-20 10:44
betPARX🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.34%E -5.24%K -267.08%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +7.97%E +0.531%K +0.569%G +0.045%4.7%2026-09-20 10:44
ATG (SE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.34%E -5.24%K -267.08%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +7.97%E +0.531%K +0.569%G +0.045%4.7%2026-09-20 10:44
Svenska Spel🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.34%E -5.24%K -267.08%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +7.97%E +0.531%K +0.569%G +0.045%4.7%2026-09-20 10:44
Bally Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.34%E -5.24%K -267.08%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +7.97%E +0.531%K +0.569%G +0.045%4.7%2026-09-20 10:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -6.27%E -6.21%K -626.97%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV +0.768%E +0.055%K +0.059%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 10:44
Unibet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -6.27%E -6.21%K -626.97%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV +0.768%E +0.055%K +0.059%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 10:43
FanDuel🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.05%EV -4.41%E -4.29%K -147.12%G +0.000%13.80I 7.25%NM 6.95%EV -0.672%E -0.049%K -0.052%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-20 06:39
Bet Right🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.41%E -4.29%K -147.12%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -6.43%E -0.495%K -0.536%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-20 06:49
Coolbet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.41%E -4.29%K -147.12%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -10.03%E -0.802%K -0.872%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-20 06:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.61%EV -4.41%E -4.29%K -147.12%G +0.000%11.25I 8.89%NM 8.39%EV -19.03%E -1.69%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-20 12:24
Betsson🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.49%E -3.35%K -87.14%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -20.83%E -1.89%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-20 12:24
NordicBet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.41%E -4.29%K -147.12%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -20.83%E -1.89%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 12:24
MyBookie.ag🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.66%EV -3.49%E -3.35%K -87.14%G +0.000%10.10I 9.90%NM 9.34%EV -27.30%E -2.70%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-20 10:49
William Hill🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -3.49%E -3.35%K -87.14%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -28.02%E -2.80%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 07:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -3.49%E -3.35%K -87.14%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -28.02%E -2.80%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 07:14
SportsBet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -4.41%E -4.29%K -147.12%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -28.02%E -2.80%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 06:39
ReBet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.04%EV -3.49%E -3.35%K -87.14%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 9.96%EV -32.34%E -3.44%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-20 10:44
Bet Victor🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -4.41%E -4.29%K -147.12%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -35.22%E -3.91%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-20 10:44
betano_uk🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -4.41%E -4.29%K -147.12%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -35.22%E -3.91%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-20 10:47
LeoVegas🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 89.19%EV -4.41%E -4.29%K -147.12%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.81%EV -38.82%E -4.57%K -5.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-20 10:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.06I 94.34%NM 93.09%14.29I 7.00%NM 6.91%1.3%2026-09-20 12:54
Novig1.05I 95.24%NM 93.16%14.29I 7.00%NM 6.84%2.2%2026-09-20 12:29